filmlover Posted July 3, 2018 Share Posted July 3, 2018 (edited) It's all gonna come down to what Focus thinks is their biggest players and what makes the most impact. Right now, BlacKkKlansman and Boy Erased are in the best positions (the latter will certainly premiere at TIFF, etc.). Edited July 3, 2018 by filmlover 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted July 9, 2018 Share Posted July 9, 2018 On 5/17/2018 at 9:17 PM, Valonqar said: Like I said, wait and see. It's the movie of the year. Media and public pressure is going to be big. They will want to atone for TDK and just scoring a blockbuster spot is not it. Coogler is in. 4 spots up for grabs left. I know. SH movie stigma. Easier to break Picture barrier than Director (less spots). But I have a good feeling about this. But it's not good enough? I get it had an important political message if you call holding a grudge against colonizers still till this day important but that doesn't mean it deserves a BD spot, or BP for that matter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 TIFF announces their first bit of the line up on Tuesday. Some films we could see there: First Man Mary, Queen of Scots Boy Erased Beautiful Boy The Favourite Shoplifters Can You Ever Forgive Me? A Star is Born Suspiria Peterloo The Forntrunner Widows Welcome to Marwen Under the Silver Lake Cold War Ben is Back On the Basis of Sex Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 6 hours ago, Spagheditary said: TIFF announces their first bit of the line up on Tuesday. Some films we could see there: First Man Mary, Queen of Scots Boy Erased Beautiful Boy The Favourite Shoplifters Can You Ever Forgive Me? A Star is Born Suspiria Peterloo The Forntrunner Widows Welcome to Marwen Under the Silver Lake Cold War Ben is Back On the Basis of Sex White Boy Rick seems destined to premiere there considering it opens on September 14. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 So we got Netflix releases with the clout of the Coens and Cuaron behind them this year. Will be interesting to see if they can improve on Mudbound and break through into the biggest categories, provided they're good/acclaimed enough obviously. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PenguinHyphy Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 (edited) I posted about hearing great things about BlacKkKlansman and that Melissa McCarthy movie in January. I thought that Melissa McCarthy's might just be for the performance, but the movie premiering at Telluride is pretty big, suggesting that they are pushing more than just the performance. I posted a while ago that the things being revealed about Boy Erased are not great, so it appearing to not play at the festivals, at least not at Toronto initially, is really not surprising. Edited July 27, 2018 by PenguinHyphy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted July 28, 2018 Share Posted July 28, 2018 (edited) On 7/26/2018 at 6:14 AM, Jake Gittes said: So we got Netflix releases with the clout of the Coens and Cuaron behind them this year. Will be interesting to see if they can improve on Mudbound and break through into the biggest categories, provided they're good/acclaimed enough obviously. The Coen movie seems unconventional for the academy (given it seems like a collection of short stories), but I think Roma has a great shot, as it’s seeming like they’re very confident in it Edited July 28, 2018 by Pandamia! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 Eighth Grade and Elsie Fisher deserve the nominations that they won't get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 On 7/29/2018 at 11:23 PM, filmlover said: Eighth Grade and Elsie Fisher deserve the nominations that they won't get. A Summer indie usually hits and Eighth Grade is A24’s best shot at a nom this year. I think it has a chance (idk about fisher though because of age) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Pandamia! said: A Summer indie usually hits and Eighth Grade is A24’s best shot at a nom this year. I think it has a chance (idk about fisher though because of age) Have to wait and see what kind of impact BlacKkKlansman makes first to see what will emerge as that summer indie favorite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Sight unseen, I'm not big on Eighth Grade's chances. It's tempting to say it will follow in Lady Bird's footsteps (A24 coming-of-age comedy with a female lead and glowing reviews), but Lady Bird had a late year release, a twice-nominated lead whose previous nods were for Best Picture nominees, and a writer-director with a pre-existing small-but-vocal niche of fans (plus extra motivation to shine a spotlight on female filmmakers in the wake of MeToo). Eighth Grade, on the other hand, has a slate of unseen films to compete against, a previously unknown lead, and... Bo Burnham (I love the guy's previous work, but I doubt that many Oscar voters are also fans of young YouTube comedians). It's not impossible, but scoring major nods will be a tough battle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 The best Eighth Grade can hope for is a Screenplay nomination. It's in a much weaker position than The Big Sick was last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 25 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: The best Eighth Grade can hope for is a Screenplay nomination. It's in a much weaker position than The Big Sick was last year. This, pretty much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 10 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: The best Eighth Grade can hope for is a Screenplay nomination. It's in a much weaker position than The Big Sick was last year. Yeah, having seen it, seems like the kind of film that would only get a lone screenplay nom. Its a shame cause the film is pretty damn good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Time for me new predictions given the shake ups! Best Picture Ad Astra Backseat Black Panther BlacKkKlansman Eighth Grade First Man Leave No Trace Mary, Queen of Scots Roma A Star is Born Alt: Widows/Suspiria/Mary Poppins Returns Best POPULAR Picture Black Panther First Man Mary Poppins Returns Mission: Impossible - Fallout A Quiet Place Alt: One of the Best Picture nominees that meets the criteria or something Best Director Damien Chazelle, First Man Alfonso Cuaron, Roma Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman Adam McKay, Backseat Josie Rourke, Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: James Gray, Ad Astra/Ryan Coogler, Black Panther Best Actor Christian Bale, Backseat Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born Ryan Gosling, First Man Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman Alt: Steve Carell, Beautiful Boy Best Actress Viola Davis, Widows Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade Lady Gaga, A Star is Born Thomasin McKenzie, Leave No Trace Saoirse Ronan, Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?/Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns Best Supporting Actor Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman Sam Elliott, A Star is Born Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther Sam Rockwell, Backseat Alt: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams, Backseat Claire Foy, First Man Marina de Tavira, Roma Margot Robbie, Mary, Queen of Scots Meryl Streep, Mary Poppins Returns Alt: Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased Original Screenplay Ad Astra Backseat The Ballad of Buster Scruggs Eighth Grade Roma Alt: The Favorite Adapted Screenplay BlacKkKlansman Black Panther First Man Leave No Trace Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: Suspiria Editing Backseat Black Panther BlacKkKlansman First Man Roma Alt: Mary, Queen of Scots Cinematography Ad Astra First Man Mary, Queen of Scots Roma A Star is Born Alt: Black Panther Production Design Ad Astra Black Panther First Man Mary Poppins Returns Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald Costume Design Ad Astra Black Panther Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald Mary Poppins Returns Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: First Man Makeup and Hairstyling Backseat Black Panther Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: Bohemian Rhapsody Original Score Ad Astra Backseat First Man Mary Queen of Scots Isle of Dogs Alt: Black Panther Original Song Pray for Me, Black Panther Bohemian Rhapsody Song Mary Poppins Returns Song The Shallow, A Star is Born A Star is Born Song Alt: Mary Poppins Returns Song Sound Mixing Avengers: Infinity War Bohemian Rhapsody Mary Poppins Returns A Star is Born A Quiet Place Alt: First Man Sound Editing Ad Astra Avengers: Infinity War Black Panther First Man A Star is Born Alt: Bohemian Rhapsody Visual Effects Ad Astra Avengers: Infinity War Black Panther First Man Mission: Impossible - Fallout Alt: Solo: A Star Wars Story Animated Feature Incredibles 2 Isle of Dogs Lu Over the Wall Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse Alt: Mirai Documentary Feature Fahrenheit 11/9 RBG Three Identical Strangers Whitney Won't You Be My Neighbor? Alt: Jane Fonda in Five Acts Nomination Count: First Man - 12 Black Panther - 11 Mary, Queen of Scots - 10 Backseat - 9 A Star is Born - 9 Ad Astra - 8 BlacKkKlansman - 6 Roma - 6 Mary Poppins Returns - 6 Avengers: Infinity War - 3 Eighth Grade - 3 Leave No Trace - 3 Bohemian Rhapsody - 2 Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 2 A Quiet Place - 2 Isle of Dogs - 2 The Ballad of Buster Scroogs - 1 Beautiful Boy - 1 Boy Erased - 1 Fahrenheit 11/9 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald - 1 Incredibles 2 - 1 Lu Over the Wall - 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 - 1 RBG - 1 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 1 Three Identical Strangers - 1 Whitney - 1 Won't You Be My Neighbor? - 1 Widows - 1 Win Count Backseat - 6 Mary, Queen of Scots - 4 Black Panther - 2 A Star is Born - 2 Avengers: Infinity War - 1 Beautiful Boy - 1 BlacKkKlansman - 1 First Man - 1 Incredibles 2 - 1 Roma - 1 Won't You Be My Neighbor? - 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 11 minutes ago, Pandamia! said: Best Director Damien Chazelle, First Man Alfonso Cuaron, Roma Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman Adam McKay, Backseat Josie Rourke, Mary, Queen of Scots Alt: James Gray, Ad Astra/Ryan Coogler, Black Panther Shit looks like an anonymous TV movie. I know we all want female filmmakers to contend and win but come on. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 i don't need to see these movies to know those are bad predictions. who wrote the new song for bohemian rhapsody? did they find the demo in freddie's attic? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said: Shit looks like an anonymous TV movie. I know we all want female filmmakers to contend and win but come on. literally if you replace every nomination for Mary Queen of Scots with nominations for The Favourite (like for real not even costumes? this is gonna be fox searchlight's big play this year) the predictions start to make a little sense. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 I would also be surprised if the Barry Jenkins got shut out. I was impressed by the trailer (and I'm a known Moonlight skeptic), I know it's just a trailer but if the movie's as good I'd give it better chances than I would to Roma or Klansman. Lanthimos is also definitely primed to hit all the big categories this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 Also legit dying to know if anything might actually happen with The Other Side of the Wind. Imagine Orson Welles nominated for best director in 2019. Or even just Michel Legrand pulling a Morricone. (I know he's already won but still.) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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