Weekend Thread | Estimates per DHD (p.15): J 19.75M, 12S 15.3M, DoT 14.7M, TP 12.1M, TGS 11.1M, P2 8.3M, TC 6.8M, TLJ 6.5M, I:TLK 5.9M, FMG 4.3M

[Webslinger]

I'm kinda stunned by how well Den of Thieves has done all the way around thus far. It looked like the definition of a "Fuck You, It's January!" movie, and yet reviews weren't awful (the 50 score at Metacritic is about 20 points higher than I expected) and it overperformed on Friday. 12 Strong's showing makes sense considering that this time frame has proven successful for launching 21st Century war movies in the last half-decade, but Den of Thieves is a legit surprise.

 

Nevertheless, Jumanji will climb from third on Friday to first for the weekend. Taking three weekends at #1 after spending two in second feels like a throwback to before the first film was even released.

[WrathOfHan]

Like seriously, that is a TERRIBLE expansion for CMBYN. Even with a BP nomination, it won't be picking up many additional theaters.

[Fancyarcher]

10 minutes ago, New Year New Panda said:

My nightmare of TGS run

 

This weekend: 11.9m (114.4m)

Week 5: 4.3m (118.7m)

Wknd 6: 10.8m (129.5m)

Week 6: 3.9m (133.4m)

Wknd 7: 8.4m (141.8m)

Week 7: 3.5m (145.3m)

Wknd 8: 10m (155.3m)

Week 8: 6.8m (162.1m)

Wknd 9: 7m (169.1m)

Week 9: 3.1m (172.2m)

Wknd 10: 6.2m (178.4m)

Week 10: 2.7m (181.1m)

Wknd 11: 5.6m (186.7m)

Week 11: 2.3m (189m)

Wknd 12: 5m (194m)

Week 12: 1.9m (195.9m)

Wknd 13: 4.6m (200.5m)

Week 13: 2.1m (202.6m)

Wknd 14: 4m (206.6m)

Week 14: 2m (208.6m)

Wknd 15: 5.3m (213.9m)

Week 15: 2.2m (216.1m)

Wknd 16: 3.7m (219.8m)

Week 16: 1.6m (221.4m)

Wknd 17: 3.4m (224.7m)

Week 17: 1.2m (225.9m)

Wknd 18: 3.1m (229m)

Week 18: 1m (230m)

Wknd 19: 3m (232m)

Week 19: 0.9m (232.9m)

Wknd 20: 2m (234.9m)

Week 20: 0.6m (235.5m)

Wknd 21: 1.9m (237.4m)

Week 21: 0.5m (237.9m)

Wknd 22: 1.5m (239.4m)

Week 22: 0.3m (239.7m)

Wknd 23: 2m (241.7m)

Week 23: 1m (242.7m)

Wknd 24: 1.6m (244.3m)

Week 24: 0.6m (244.9m)

Wknd 25: 1.4m (246.3m)

Week 25: 0.6m (246.9m)

Wknd 26: 1.1m (248m)

Week 26: 0.6m (248.6m)

Wknd 27: 0.9m (249.5m)

Week 27: 0.6m (250.1m)

TOTAL: 257.4m

 

TGS suddenly starts increasing every weekend, and now ends its run at 280m - The world is out to get you. 

[Webslinger]

Having (finally) seen it last night, I get why Call Me by Your Name hasn't caught on. It's a great film, but maaannnnn is it gonna struggle outside of the art house circuit. At least the six of us at my screening last night all appeared to know what we were getting ourselves into; I can't imagine what the reaction would be from a mainstream mall multiplex crowd.

[WrathOfHan]

Actually, this might be the most theaters CMBYN gets. Nebraska got 968 theaters after Oscar nominations yet only had a $1,604 PTA coming off $2,165 in 400 theaters the prior weekend. Phantom Thread ($3,900+), I, Tonya ($3,600+), SOW ($2,700+ when its TC has been basically stagnant since the holidays), and 3B ($2,000+) are all going to have higher PTAs than CMBYN this weekend, and 3B already hit a significant amount of theaters last month.

Edited January 20, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

16 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

lmfao, in what universe is an $1,800 PTA acceptable? 

It's a better wide expansion than Foxcatcher (another SPC title that expanded wide two months after starting in limited release), and that film had pretty much fallen out of the race by then (it collected another $2M for the rest of its run after that wide expansion). With the "Nominated for (however many nominations it gets) including Best Picture" marketing angle bound to give it a nice boost next weekend (meaning theaters won't be eager to drop it yet), it can still double its gross (which will be over $9M by tomorrow).

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

It's a better wide expansion than Foxcatcher (another SPC title that expanded wide two months after starting in limited release), and that film had pretty much fallen out of the race by then (it collected another $2M for the rest of its run after that wide expansion). With the "Nominated for (however many nominations it gets) including Best Picture" marketing angle bound to give it a nice boost next weekend (meaning theaters won't be eager to drop it yet), it can still double its gross (which will be over $9M by tomorrow).

Obviously. I wasn't referring to that; this PTA makes it impossible for it to gain more than a few new theaters.

[tonytr87]

21 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Like seriously, that is a TERRIBLE expansion for CMBYN. Even with a BP nomination, it won't be picking up many additional theaters.

 

I'm a film nerd and even I have no interest in it. If you've seen plenty of foreign films there's nothing all that unique about it. I feel like our culture is starting to move past the novelty of indie period gay romances like Brokeback, Carol, Call Me, etc. It's time to modernize and mainstream these ideas on screen...which is why I think Love, Simon could be a hit. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Obviously. I wasn't referring to that; this PTA makes it impossible for it to gain more than a few new theaters.

Pretty sure this number of theaters was always their plan though considering how much they were banking on the Oscar buzz/nominations. SPC didn't even give it a TV push until recently, unlike Focus and Phantom Thread (which will likely fade quickly from here without a Best Picture nom to help it stand out).

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

 

I'm a film nerd and even I have no interest in it. If you've seen plenty of foreign films there's nothing all that unique about it. I feel like our culture is starting to move past the novelty of indie period gay romances like Brokeback, Carol, Call Me, etc. It's time to modernize and mainstream these ideas on screen...which is why I think Love, Simon could be a hit. 

Oh yeah, Love, Simon is 1000x more appealing to wide audiences than CMBYN even if it'll still do meh in rural areas.

 

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Pretty sure this number of theaters was always their plan though considering how much they were banking on the Oscar buzz/nominations. SPC didn't even give it a TV push until recently, unlike Focus and Phantom Thread (which will likely fade quickly from here without a Best Picture nom to help it stand out).

[Webslinger]

10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Oh yeah, Love, Simon is 1000x more appealing to wide audiences than CMBYN even if it'll still do meh in rural areas.

I wouldn't sleep on the rural areas, actually. It's clearly making its biggest play at teens, and it's not like gay teens have a whole lot of control over where they live.

[filmlover]

Love, Simon is gonna be that next Wonder-esque surprise hit. Book it. At the very least it'll do better than Tomb Raider (bombs away!) that same weekend.

Edited January 20, 2018 by filmlover

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, Webslinger said:

I wouldn't sleep on the rural areas, actually. It's clearly making its biggest play at teens, and it's not like gay teens have a whole lot of control over where they live.

Or teens in general  

[MrPink]

Hostiles increasing from last weekend without adding any new theaters, the promotion is working! 

Edited January 20, 2018 by MrPink

[The Panda]

7 minutes ago, MrPink said:

Hostiles increasing from last weekend without adding any new theaters, the promotion is working! 

The increase is only from the number of times Tele saw it this weekend!

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, MrPink said:

Hostiles increasing from last weekend without adding any new theaters, the promotion is working! 

We.

Are.

All.

HOSTILES.

[Ethan Hunt]

Holy fuck

[James]

54 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Holy fuck

CMBYN?

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, James said:

CMBYN?

Indeed

[babz06]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Obviously. I wasn't referring to that; this PTA makes it impossible for it to gain more than a few new theaters.

I doubt its going to get over 1000 theaters with this PTA either. 800-900 is the widest its going to go.