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Weekend Thread | Estimates per DHD (p.15): J 19.75M, 12S 15.3M, DoT 14.7M, TP 12.1M, TGS 11.1M, P2 8.3M, TC 6.8M, TLJ 6.5M, I:TLK 5.9M, FMG 4.3M

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@baumer

As far as your TGS is like making a feel good movie about the holocaust analogy goes, it falls apart if you’d realize ANIMALS ARENT INVOLVED IN THE FILM. So if anything, it’s like making a feel good movie set during the holocaust that doesn’t involve the Jews, let alone any romantisizing of what they went through. 

 

The Barnum character in the film is as fictional as it gets, to the point they don’t even bother with any “inspired by” nonsense at the beginning. If anything, the movie is bringing MORE awareness to who Barnum was in real life since everyone can tell the characters and plot  in the film is fictional and are then becoming curious to know more about the real man. I’ve seen like a bazillion articles online and on social media in the last couple weeks talking about what the real Barnum was like thanks to the success of the film. It’s success is an all around win. The movie is succeeding as a feel good work of FICTION, and also bringing way more awareness of who the non-fictional person whose name they borrowed really was. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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Forecasting TGS with an 11.8M weekend (wtf):
 

Remainder of this week: 5M (119.3M Total)

Jan 26: 11.5M (5M weekdays, 135.8M Total)

Feb 2: 10.3M (3.7M weekdays, 149.8M Total)

Feb 9: 8.9M (3.2M weekdays, 161.9M Total)

Feb 16: 7.6M (4.2M weekdays, 173.7M Total)

Feb 23: 6M (2.4M weekdays, 182.1M Total)

Mar 2: 4.6M (2M weekdays, 188.7M Total)

Mar 9: 4M (1.5M weekdays, 194.2M Total)

Mar 16: 2.8M (1.2M weekdays, 198.2M Total)

Mar 23: 2M (800k weekdays, 201M Total)

Mar 30: 1.4M (600k weekdays, 203M Total)

Final Total: 207M (15.45x from 5 day/23.52x from 3 day)

 

globesjackman0801a.jpg

Edited by WrathOfHan
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15 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Forecasting TGS with an 11.8M weekend (wtf):
 

Remainder of this week: 5M (119.3M Total)

Jan 26: 11.5M (5M weekdays, 135.8M Total)

Feb 2: 10.3M (3.7M weekdays, 149.8M Total)

Feb 9: 8.9M (3.2M weekdays, 161.9M Total)

Feb 16: 7.6M (4.2M weekdays, 173.7M Total)

Feb 23: 6M (2.4M weekdays, 182.1M Total)

Mar 2: 4.6M (2M weekdays, 188.7M Total)

Mar 9: 4M (1.5M weekdays, 194.2M Total)

Mar 16: 2.8M (1.2M weekdays, 198.2M Total)

Mar 23: 2M (800k weekdays, 201M Total)

Mar 30: 1.4M (600k weekdays, 203M Total)

Final Total: 207M (15.45x from 4 day/23.52x from 3 day)

 

globesjackman0801a.jpg

 

“Even with Tintin legs, it will only hit $65M”

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Jumanji forecast with a 21.1M weekend (slightly less wtf but still wtf):

 

Remainder of this week: 7.4M (325.4M Total)

Jan 26: 21.5M (7.4M weekdays, 354.3M Total)

Feb 2: 17.8M (6.6M weekdays, 378.9M Total)

Feb 9: 16.8M (5.5M weekdays, 401.2M Total)

Feb 16: 13.3M (6.6M weekdays, 421.1M Total)

Feb 23: 9.6M (3.2M weekdays, 433.9M Total)

Mar 2: 8.2M (2.4M weekdays, 444.5M Total)

Mar 9: 6M (2.1M weekdays, 452.6M Total)

Mar 16: 5M (1.6M weekdays, 459.2M Total)

Mar 23: 3M (1.3M weekdays, 463.5M Total)

Mar 30: 2M (800k weekdays, 466.3M Total)

Final Total: 471M (8.92x from 5 day/16.24x from 3 day)

 

jumanji-ii.jpg?w=446&h=299&crop=1

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4 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

@baumer

As far as your TGS is like making a feel good movie about the holocaust analogy goes, it falls apart if you’d realize ANIMALS ARENT INVOLVED IN THE FILM. So if anything, it’s like making a feel good movie set during the holocaust that doesn’t involve the Jews, let alone any romantisizing of what they went through. 

 

The Barnum character in the film is as fictional as it gets, to the point they don’t even bother with any “inspired by” nonsense at the beginning. If anything, the movie is bringing MORE awareness to who Barnum was in real life since everyone can tell the characters and plot  in the film is fictional and are then becoming curious to know more about the real man. I’ve seen like a bazillion articles online and on social media in the last couple weeks talking about what the real Barnum was like thanks to the success of the film. It’s success is an all around win. The movie is succeeding as a feel good work of FICTION, and also bringing way more awareness of who the non-fictional person whose name they borrowed really was. 

 

That's the whole point.  It doesn't involve animals, so it's lies and conjecture.  It's romantacizing  man who was an evil twisted fuck.  I have no desire to see it.  You can love it, wax poetic about it and recommend it to anyone and everyone.  I will be no part of any of this film.  

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Forecasting The Last Jedi with a 6.8M weekend (honestly who cares about this anymore):

 

Remainder of this week: 2.1M (606.6M Total)

Jan 26: 3.3M (1.1M weekdays, 611M Total)

Feb 2: 1.3M (500k weekdays, 612.8M Total)

Final Total: 615M (2.8x)

 

The TC drop next weekend is going to get ugly with two movies opening in 3k theaters, Oscar contenders expanding, and holds that are doing great (or significantly more than TLJ). Theaters are ditching this junk :hahaha: 

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34 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Forecasting TGS with an 11.8M weekend (wtf):
 

Remainder of this week: 5M (119.3M Total)

Jan 26: 11.5M (5M weekdays, 135.8M Total)

Feb 2: 10.3M (3.7M weekdays, 149.8M Total)

Feb 9: 8.9M (3.2M weekdays, 161.9M Total)

Feb 16: 7.6M (4.2M weekdays, 173.7M Total)

Feb 23: 6M (2.4M weekdays, 182.1M Total)

Mar 2: 4.6M (2M weekdays, 188.7M Total)

Mar 9: 4M (1.5M weekdays, 194.2M Total)

Mar 16: 2.8M (1.2M weekdays, 198.2M Total)

Mar 23: 2M (800k weekdays, 201M Total)

Mar 30: 1.4M (600k weekdays, 203M Total)

Final Total: 207M (15.45x from 5 day/23.52x from 3 day)

 

globesjackman0801a.jpg

 

14 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Jumanji forecast with a 21.1M weekend (slightly less wtf but still wtf):

 

Remainder of this week: 7.4M (325.4M Total)

Jan 26: 21.5M (7.4M weekdays, 354.3M Total)

Feb 2: 17.8M (6.6M weekdays, 378.9M Total)

Feb 9: 16.8M (5.5M weekdays, 401.2M Total)

Feb 16: 13.3M (6.6M weekdays, 421.1M Total)

Feb 23: 9.6M (3.2M weekdays, 433.9M Total)

Mar 2: 8.2M (2.4M weekdays, 444.5M Total)

Mar 9: 6M (2.1M weekdays, 452.6M Total)

Mar 16: 5M (1.6M weekdays, 459.2M Total)

Mar 23: 3M (1.3M weekdays, 463.5M Total)

Mar 30: 2M (800k weekdays, 466.3M Total)

Final Total: 471M (8.92x from 5 day/16.24x from 3 day)

 

jumanji-ii.jpg?w=446&h=299&crop=1

If both of these happen I will step down from being a mod and legit leave BOT forever. And when I have the money to do so I will catch a plane to Florida and build a statue in WOH's honor.

 

Not even joking. Quote me if it happens.

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