Weekend Thread | Estimates (per DHD) ~ MR:TDC 23M, J 15.8M, H 9.8M, TGS 9.3M, TP 8.7M, 12S/DoT 7.9M, TSOW 5.7M, P2 5.5M, TLJ 4M, TBOEM 3.6M

[weresweresweres]

15 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Considering it's beating NATM legs so far, matching NATM from now on itself requires slowing down. That gives it ~393.5m. Don't think it will go sub-385m. SM2 is well toast. Question is, will it get to SM1?

Are you still ignoring -9.9% natm weekend?

[SLAM!]

In other box office news, Wonder just lept over Transformers: The Last Knight on the year's domestic chart.

[MaxAggressor]

15 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Considering it's beating NATM legs so far, matching NATM from now on itself requires slowing down. That gives it ~393.5m. Don't think it will go sub-385m. SM2 is well toast. Question is, will it get to SM1?

I checked J2's last 4 Friday against NATM's corresponding Friday and it looks like J2 will outpace the 3 previous Friday increments by a good margin.

 

Fri. of Weekend 3 - +51.25%

Fri. of Weekend 4 - +46.12%

Fri. of Weekend 5 - +56.79%

Fri. of Weekend 6 - +66.59%

 

The whole weekend itself is also going to be J2's best w.r.t NATM's corresponding weekend in 2018

 

Weekend 3 - +56.81%

Weekend 4 - +63.74%

Weekend 5 - +62.39%

Weekend 6 - +65.32%

 

J2 will continue to reign supreme until FSF & BL drops in consecutive weekends next month. But will J2 be able to post significant numbers on and after Feb. 9th??

[a2k]

13 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

Are you still ignoring -9.9% natm weekend?

you are focusing on that weekend too much imo. Take say all the coming Tuesdays it's gonna beat NATM %-wise due to Discount Tuesday. That and a 2-3 better weekends can well compensate for whatever extra it's gonna fall that weekend compared to -10%.

Edited January 27, 2018 by a2knet

[filmlover]

34 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

-

-

Get Out

Uni.

$53,000

-

-

468

$113

$175,739,870

148

 

That was a given. It's been available for home viewing for a long time (and has been on HBO for a while now).

[MaxAggressor]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

you are focusing on that weekend too much imo. Take say all the coming Tuesdays it's gonna beat NATM %-wise due to Discount Tuesday. That and a 2-3 better weekends can well compensate for whatever extra it's gonna fall that weekend compared to -10%.

In the last 3 Tuesdays, J2 was up by

 

3rd Tuesday - +189.4%

4th Tuesday - +192.6%

5th Tuesday - +200.7%

 

So it's actually trending upwards   

 

J2 also increased way better on New Year's Eve Weekend and held slightly better on MLK weekend w.r.t NATM. Maybe President's Day+Valentine's Day Weekend will buck that trend what with BP opening. But history does suggest that J2 has exceeded expectations on the holiday weekends. So I wouldn't bet against J2 atm. It might just drop relatively well that weekend and still remain on course for NATM-lite legs after that weekend.

[La Binoche]

The only nomination that overrated movie should have gotten is Best Supporting Actress for this scene: 

 

[filmlover]

11 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

The only nomination that overrated movie should have gotten is Best Supporting Actress for this scene: 

 

No, it should've gotten a nom for:

[The Panda]

I’m thinking 150m+ OW for BP right now, it has a lot of hype and will be the first 2018 release to do decent numbers.

Edited January 27, 2018 by New Year New Panda

[The Panda]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

No, it should've gotten a nom for:

She has more than one boffy vote rn, could she make a surprise show up here?

[filmlover]

Just now, New Year New Panda said:

She has more than one boffy vote rn, could she make a surprise show up here?

I haven't sent in mine yet but she's making mine too. 

[a2k]

Just now, New Year New Panda said:

I’m thinking 150m+ OW for BP right now, it has a lot of hype and will be the first 208 release to do decent numbers.

AIW,BP could make it CBM #1,#2 DOM for the first time after TA,TDKR and MCU #1,#2 for the first time ever.

[weresweresweres]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

you are focusing on that weekend too much imo. Take say all the coming Tuesdays it's gonna beat NATM %-wise due to Discount Tuesday. That and a 2-3 better weekends can well compensate for whatever extra it's gonna fall that weekend compared to -10%.

Natm still had very good numbers in march, i'm not sure if jumanji will have much better numbers in march...

 

After 6th weekend Jumanji will be around 337mln, WW was 368. WW added 44 mln, will Jumanji add 50% more with worst weekdays, and without reexpansion like WW? It's highly unlikely. 

Edited January 27, 2018 by weresweresweres

[La Binoche]

The Greatest Showman 

Day 1: $2,451,071

Day 38: $2,540,000

 

[The Panda]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

AIW,BP could make it CBM #1,#2 DOM for the first time after TA,TDKR and MCU #1,#2 for the first time ever.

That’s possible but would require BP to hit its uppermost cap, IW to hit mid to high range and everything else to either underperform or hit mid-low range (sub-400m)

 

I think at least one of TI2, Poppins, Solo, Grinch, JW2, and Deadpool 2 will go past 415m DOM or so.  I have a hard time seeing BP have the same appeal as WW.

[WrathOfHan]

#ISawTGSWhenItWasABomb

[a2k]

1 minute ago, La Binoche said:

The Greatest Showman 

Day 1: $2,451,071

Day 38: $2,540,000

By next weekend (probably on Sat) itself it will have 10x+ it's 5-day ow of 13.4m 

[Mr Impossible]

Paddington having phenomenal holds! $50M DOM is likely? 

Nice # for Hostiles bo.com was only predicting $4.5M for it so very happy it overperformed going to watch it again! 

Maze Runner 3 seems to be ending the franchise on a positive note and that’s all you can really ask for when it belongs to a genre (YA adaptations) that’s on life support. 

Greatest Showman and Jumanji is spreading dem legs and they looking sexy! 

[a2k]

Just now, Mr Impossible said:

Paddington having phenomenal holds! $50M DOM is likely? 

Nice # for Hostiles bo.com was only predicting $4.5M for it so very happy it overperformed going to watch it again! 

Maze Runner 3 seems to be ending the franchise on a positive note and that’s all you can really ask for when it belongs to a genre (YA adaptations) that’s on life support. 

Greatest Showman and Jumanji is spreading dem legs and they looking sexy! 

50m dom is around the max Padd2 can do imo. 34%+ drop from Padd1's 76m+ dom. Showing strong legs but only after a low ow.

[Webslinger]

37 minutes ago, New Year New Panda said:

She has more than one boffy vote rn, could she make a surprise show up here?

Damn right she does.

 

I'm surprised that Universal even bothered with bringing Get Out back to theaters. It's been on home video since May and it's not like they needed to bump up that final gross.