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Eric Quinn

Weekend Box Office: Actuals (Page 55): BP $26.6M TR $23.7M ICOI $17.1M AWIT $16.3M LS $11.8M, PR crosses $100M, Jumanji crosses $400M

By Eric Quinn, in Numbers and Data

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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

Posted
Posted (edited)

Tomorrow Black Panther will officially hit a 3 multiplier (rounded at two decimal places it has done so: 2.997 = 3.00). It will join the elusive 3+ multiplier club for live action comic book films, and isn't close to done yet with a $27M weekend just under its belt. What remains to be seen is where it will end - how much will it leg it out over the remainder of it's run? A really incredible leggy run for such a huge (and holiday-inflated) $202M opening weekend in February.

 

Live Action Comic Book Film Multipliers for $40+ million Openers

 

Rank / Title (Year) / Opening Weekend Gross (Multiplier)

 

1. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 207.4 million (3.00)
2. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.00)^
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 191.3 million (2.40)
4. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 179.1 million (2.28)
5. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 174.1 million (2.35)
6. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 166.0 million (1.99)
7. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 160.9 million (2.79)
8. The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38)
9. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 151.1 million (2.23)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 146.5 million (2.66)
11. Suicide Squad (2016) — 133.7 million (2.43)
12. Deadpool (2016) — 132.4 million (2.74)
13. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 128.1 million (2.44)
14. Thor: Ragnarok (2017) — 122.7 million (2.57)
15. Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 117.0 million (2.86)
16. Man of Steel (2013) — 116.6 million (2.50)
17. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
18. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
19. X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 102.8 million (2.28)
20. Iron Man (2008) — 98.6 million (3.23)
21. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 95.0 million (2.73)
22. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
23. Justice League (2017) — 93.8 million (2.44)
24. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 91.6 million (2.21)
25. X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 90.8 million (2.58)
26. Logan (2017) — 88.4 million (2.56)
27. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 88.2 million* 
28. Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 85.7 million (2.41)
29. X2: X-Men United (2003) — 85.6 million (2.51)
30. Doctor Strange (2016) — 85.1 million (2.74)

The rest in spoilers:

Spoiler

31. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 85.1 million (2.11)
32. 300 (2007) — 70.9 million (2.97)
33. X-Men: Apocalypse (2016) — 65.8 million (2.36)
34. Thor (2011) — 65.7 million (2.75)
35. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) — 65.6 million (2.92)
36. Captain America: The First Avenger (2011) — 65.1 million (2.72)
37. Hulk (2003) — 62.1 million (2.13)
38. The Amazing Spider-Man (2012) — 62.0 million**
39. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007) — 58.1 million (2.27)
40. Ant-Man (2015) — 57.2 million (3.15)
41. Fantastic Four (2005) — 56.1 million (2.76)
42. The Incredible Hulk (2008) — 55.4 million (2.43)
43. Watchmen (2009) — 55.2 million (1.95)
44. X-Men: First Class (2011) — 55.1 million (2.66)
45. MIB 3 (2012) — 54.6 million (3.28)
46. X-Men (2000) — 54.5 million (2.89)
47. Green Lantern (2011) — 53.2 million (2.19)
48. The Wolverine (2013) — 53.1 million (2.49)
49. Batman Forever (1995) — 52.8 million (3.49)
50. Superman Returns (2006) — 52.5 million*
51. Men in Black II (2002) — 52.1 million*
52. Men in Black (1997) — 51.1 million*
53. Batman Begins (2005) — 48.7 million*
54. Batman Returns (1992) — 45.7 million (3.56)
55. Ghost Rider (2007) — 45.4 million (2.55)
56. 300: Rise of an Empire (2014) — 45.0 million (2.37)
57. Batman and Robin (1997) — 42.9 million (2.50)
58. Batman (1989) — 40.5 million (6.20)
59. Daredevil (2003) — 40.3 million (2.54)

 

*Wednesday Opener (thus not comparable)
**Tuesday Opener (thus not comparable)
^So Far - Box Office Run Not Yet Complete

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited by MikeQ
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MovieMan89 Global Phenomenon

MovieMan89

Posted
Posted (edited)
8 hours ago, BK007 said:

 

Your club failed naturally. It's okay. We all get things wrong.

Yep. :) But Freed is not why it failed naturally. 

 

9 hours ago, Porthos said:

Problem is, how does one define 'playing out naturally'?  Given how many variables there are in every film's run, I don't know how it's possible to define it.

 

FTR, I don't think any sort of fudging is going on in regards to Freed.   It'll hit 100m the old-fashioned way:  By keeping it in enough theaters so it crosses over. 

 

If we define this as fudging, then we also have to define studios that leave films in theaters for months as fudging as well.  And I personally would rather not go down that road. 

What you described isn't fudge at all. Leaving a movie in theaters to gross is perfectly natural, you could even argue it's unnatural to pull it when it's still making notable money. Studios giving theaters incentives to hold onto screens for a movie they would have dumped otherwise is entirely unnatural and manipulation, aka fudge. The latter is what happened with Freed this weekend. Almost every fudge job by studios start that way, whether they  get to the reallocating money phase or not is dependent upon if the TC incentive or expansion fudge works on its own.  

Edited by MovieMan89
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Kvikk Lunsj Global Phenomenon

Kvikk Lunsj

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

Yep. :) But Freed is not why it failed naturally. 

 

What you described isn't fudge at all. Leaving a movie in theaters to gross is perfectly natural, you could even argue it's unnatural to pull it when it's still making notable money. Studios giving theaters incentives to hold onto screens for a movie they would have dumped something otherwise is entirely unnatural and manipulation, aka fudge. The latter is what happened with Freed this weekend. 

What grade did give Freed?

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EmpireCity Blockbuster

EmpireCity

Posted
Posted
Just now, MovieMan89 said:

Yep. :) But Freed is not why it failed naturally. 

 

What you described isn't fudge at all. Leaving a movie in theaters to gross is perfectly natural, you could even argue it's unnatural to pull it when it's still making notable money. Studios giving theaters incentives to hold onto screens for a movie they would have dumped something otherwise is entirely unnatural and manipulation, aka fudge. The latter is what happened with Freed this weekend. 

Bullshit.  That is not a fudge on any level.  It isn't like we are in week 20 of a movie and they are paying an incentive to keep the movie in theaters so it can make artificial gross.  

 

Fifty Shades is well within its natural run and it is the only Universal picture in the market.  

 

Nothing about this is a "fudge".  

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John Marston Global Phenomenon

John Marston

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Yep. :) But Freed is not why it failed naturally. 

 

What you described isn't fudge at all. Leaving a movie in theaters to gross is perfectly natural, you could even argue it's unnatural to pull it when it's still making notable money. Studios giving theaters incentives to hold onto screens for a movie they would have dumped otherwise is entirely unnatural and manipulation, aka fudge. The latter is what happened with Freed this weekend. Almost every fudge job by studios start that way, whether they  get to the reallocating money phase or not is dependent upon if the TC incentive or expansion fudge works on its own.  

 

 

Dropping 55% is fudging :hahaha:

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MovieMan89 Global Phenomenon

MovieMan89

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

Bullshit.  That is not a fudge on any level.  It isn't like we are in week 20 of a movie and they are paying an incentive to keep the movie in theaters so it can make artificial gross.  

 

Fifty Shades is well within its natural run and it is the only Universal picture in the market.  

 

Nothing about this is a "fudge".  

Lmfao, you literally admitted earlier in this thread that Uni gave theaters an incentive to hold screens for Freed this weekend and now you're back tracking in an ill fated attempt to prove that's not manipulation. Freed would never get to week 20 in any natural form, hence why Darker ended at week 7. 

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KeepItU25071906 Box Office Gold

KeepItU25071906

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

What you described isn't fudge at all. Leaving a movie in theaters to gross is perfectly natural, you could even argue it's unnatural to pull it when it's still making notable money. Studios giving theaters incentives to hold onto screens for a movie they would have dumped otherwise is entirely unnatural and manipulation, aka fudge. The latter is what happened with Freed this weekend. Almost every fudge job by studios start that way, whether they  get to the reallocating money phase or not is dependent upon if the TC incentive or expansion fudge works on its own.  

9Z7JH3M.gif

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Kvikk Lunsj Global Phenomenon

Kvikk Lunsj

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

Lmfao, you literally admitted earlier in this thread that Uni gave theaters an incentive to hold screens for Freed this weekend and now you're back tracking in an ill fated attempt to prove that's not manipulation. Freed would never get to week 20 in any natural form, hence why Darker ended at week 7. 

Stop being so bitter. 

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EmpireCity Blockbuster

EmpireCity

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Lmfao, you literally admitted earlier in this thread that Uni gave theaters an incentive to hold screens for Freed this weekend and now you're back tracking in an ill fated attempt to prove that's not manipulation. Freed would never get to week 20 in any natural form, hence why Darker ended at week 7. 

 

What do you think I "admitted" to earlier?  What do you think "incentive" means in this case?  

 

I'm not backtracking from anything, you simply don't understand how all of this actually works.  

 

**Hint** the "incentive" is currently being given to about 30 other movies currently playing.  

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