INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

[narniadis]

13 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

It's nuts that there's 5 openers in three months that hit 200M.

Well, think about it it really is similar to the gradual explosion of the 100m mark...

 

2002 - 1, 100m     2007 - 1, 150m    2012 - 1, 200m   2018 - 1, 250m

2003 - 0, 100m     2008 - 1, 150m    2013 - 0, 200m   ???

2004 - 1, 100m     2009 - 0, 150m    2014 - 0, 200m

2005 - 2, 100m     2010 - 0, 150m    2015 - 2, 200m

2006 - 2, 100m     2011 - 1, 150m    2016 - 0, 200m

2007 - 3, 100m     2012 - 3, 150m    2017 / 2018 - 3, 200m

***IN THE SAME MONTH!***   ***in a 4 month spread***   ***in a 4 month spread***

 

edited to add - 100m doesn't seem special anymore because it has become WAY more common place.

 

6 films in 2015

8(!) films in 2016

7 films in 2017

Edited April 30, 2018 by narniadis

[Sam]

12 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said:

Friday - 103

Saturday - 83

Sunday - 71 (-14.5%)

= 260 weekend

 

Monday - 22.4 (-68.5%)

Tuesday - 24.6 (+10%)

Wednesday - 16.6 (-32.5%)

Thursday - 16.4

= 80 weekdays, 340 total.

That’s a very plausible projection. 

 

And one that sets it on good track for a great second weekend too.

[TalismanRing]

 

9 minutes ago, narniadis said:

And then add ~110m for the 2nd weekend and boom 450m knocking on Ultron's Door!

With that Thur $ the second w/e with just AOU jumps would be $148m...

Edited April 30, 2018 by TalismanRing

[Eldenfirefly]

1 minute ago, narniadis said:

Well, think about it it really is similar to the gradual explosion of the 100m mark...

 

Except that only Disney is achieving this "casual" 200 million opener in 5 months thingy. No other movie studio is doing this.

[grey ghost]

32 minutes ago, RRA said:

I meant DP is an exception regarding your point about Fox putting out stuff different from what MCU was doing, and that's a legitimate point because that and LOGAN wouldn't have happened in Feige's MCU. They just wouldn't. But the other X-Men movies (good and bad)? To argue they're a bridge far away from the MCU stuff is a stretch. At the most, they're as different as say that generic PS4 controller made by a 3rd party manufacturer can plug into your PS4 and work fine. 

 

I mean jesus, don't forget that leather X-Men uniform look has fans in the MCU. Just ask Hawkeye/Black Widow. 

 

 

But what if we lose Logan and get an Cap or Avengers level X-men trilogy instead?

[narniadis]

5 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

With that Thur $ the second w/e with just AOU jumps would be $148m...

I am being uber conservative lol (would be mad if it could take the top 2nd weekend as well - DURING A NON HOLIDAY!)

[EmpireCity]

Disney is going to throw in another couple $150m range openers in the next 6 weeks as well and a potential $80m+ opener a few weeks after that.  

[dxmatrixdt]

19 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said:

Friday - 103

Saturday - 83

Sunday - 71 (-14.5%)

= 260 weekend

 

Monday - 22.4 (-68.5%)

Tuesday - 24.6 (+10%)

Wednesday - 16.6 (-32.5%)

Thursday - 16.4

= 80 weekdays, 340 total.

adjusting weekdays

 

Friday - 103

Saturday - 83

Sunday - 70 = 259 weekend.

 

Monday - 20 (-71.4%)

Tuesday - 22

Wednesday - 16

Thursday - 16, 333 total.

 

Friday - 32

Saturday - 49

Sunday - 37

= 118 second weekend, 451 total.

[narniadis]

4 minutes ago, Eldenfirefly said:

 

Except that only Disney is achieving this "casual" 200 million opener in 5 months thingy. No other movie studio is doing this.

Well, considering what film properties are making those marks it kind of makes sense...

 

I mean the only other franchises that could come close are either done (Potter) or so screwed up it's not funny (DC).... Let's see what happens this summer with Jurassic World and see if Uni can manage another one.

[LonePirate]

Here's a Rotten Tomatoes update for AIW.

 

All Critics:

84%

226 Fresh

42 Rotten

7.5/10 Average Rating

 

Top Critics:

74%

35 Fresh

12 Rotten

 

So my 6/10 rating for the film is just a little below the average RT rating. 

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

Disney is going to throw in another couple $150m range openers in the next 6 weeks as well and a potential $80m+ opener a few weeks after that.  

It is just crazy to think about. We have never had more than 3 150m openers in a year and here Disney is going to stroll along and open 4(!) of them between February and June.... bonkers

[Ledmonkey96]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Disney is going to throw in another couple $150m range openers in the next 6 weeks as well and a potential $80m+ opener a few weeks after that.  

Only 80mil for Ant-Man and the Wasp? That seems kind of low given the post-Avengers bump... though I guess it does take place before IW....

[Biggestgeekever]

On the fandango tracking site http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt

 

2018-04-29 22:00:00	2701	Avengers Infinity War
2018-04-29 22:00:00	460	Avengers Infinity War 3D
2018-04-29 22:00:00	191	Avengers Infinity War The IMAX 2D Experience
2018-04-29 22:00:00	139	Avengers Infinity War An IMAX 3D Experience
2018-04-29 22:00:00	89	A Quiet Place
2018-04-29 22:00:00	69	Deadpool 2

 

Yesterday
 

2018-04-28 22:00:00	2579	Avengers Infinity War
2018-04-28 22:00:00	571	Avengers Infinity War 3D
2018-04-28 22:00:00	166	Avengers Infinity War The IMAX 2D Experience
2018-04-28 22:00:00	133	A Quiet Place
2018-04-28 22:00:00	123	Avengers Infinity War An IMAX 3D Experience

 

Still staying strong going into the late evening.

[TalismanRing]

Just now, narniadis said:

I am being uber conservative lol (would be mad if it could take the top 2nd weekend as well - DURING A NON HOLIDAY!)

I know but I couldn't resist running the calculation with those realistic bordering a bit on conservative drops and seeing what that would mean for the 2nd w/e.

 

The big Saturday jump couples with what looks to be a super small Sunday drop really put a great second w/e drop into play.  It's a weird weekend with an near SW sized Thur preview + an Avengers sized opening Day + a Civil War sized Saturday% jump + the small AOU Sunday drop.  It got the best of all worlds.

[Rebeccas]

93% audience rating on RT and 9.1 imdb rating still holding strong. 

[EmpireCity]

I am most interested to see how all of this affects Deadpool 2 at this point. 

 

On one hand you could say that the huge popularity of Thanos as a villain will help the movie having Brolin as Cable.  

 

On the other hand, you could say with the potential that the movie will be very hard to replicate the success of the first movie and potentially poorly reviewd, having Brolin likely giving an inferior performance comparatively could lead people to avoid Deadpool 2 having watched something even better recently.  

 

Haven't really dug into it yet, but should be interesting to see what happens.  My initial thought is it will be somewhat weird for people and there will be slight fatigue and poorer reviews will lead to quite a decrease for Deadpool 2.  

[Sam]

4 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Here's a Rotten Tomatoes update for AIW.

 

All Critics:

84%

226 Fresh

42 Rotten

7.5/10 Average Rating

 

Top Critics:

74%

35 Fresh

12 Rotten

 

So my 6/10 rating for the film is just a little below the average RT rating. 

You’re trying way too hard, dude.

[Rebeccas]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

I am most interested to see how all of this affects Deadpool 2 at this point. 

 

On one hand you could say that the huge popularity of Thanos as a villain will help the movie having Brolin as Cable.  

 

On the other hand, you could say with the potential that the movie will be very hard to replicate the success of the first movie and potentially poorly reviewd, having Brolin likely giving an inferior performance comparatively could lead people to avoid Deadpool 2 having watched something even better recently.  

 

Haven't really dug into it yet, but should be interesting to see what happens.  My initial thought is it will be somewhat weird for people and there will be slight fatigue and poorer reviews will lead to quite a decrease for Deadpool 2.  

Are the "it's bad" rumors really true though? Too much back and forth on that issue lol can't keep up. 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said:

adjusting weekdays

 

Friday - 103

Saturday - 83

Sunday - 70 = 259 weekend.

 

Monday - 20 (-71.4%)

Tuesday - 22

Wednesday - 16

Thursday - 16, 333 total.

 

Friday - 32

Saturday - 49

Sunday - 37

= 118 second weekend, 451 total.

Friday jumps

 

AOU - 146.5%

Avengers: 130%

CW: 140%

IM3: 159%

 

[narniadis]

Just now, EmpireCity said:

I am most interested to see how all of this affects Deadpool 2 at this point. 

 

On one hand you could say that the huge popularity of Thanos as a villain will help the movie having Brolin as Cable.  

 

On the other hand, you could say with the potential that the movie will be very hard to replicate the success of the first movie and potentially poorly reviewd, having Brolin likely giving an inferior performance comparatively could lead people to avoid Deadpool 2 having watched something even better recently.  

 

Haven't really dug into it yet, but should be interesting to see what happens.  My initial thought is it will be somewhat weird for people and there will be slight fatigue and poorer reviews will lead to quite a decrease for Deadpool 2.  

It seems to be that way via BOM's projections. If it hadn't been for Guardians being an action-comedy I would almost be positive that Deadpool would fall quite a bit (comedy retention is SOOO much harder as you know) but I am not quite ready to pull the trigger, other than to no go back to the well myself (once was enough)