Weekend Thread | Avengers 2nd Weekend - 114.774 only a 21.5% drop on Sunday

[HeyItsMoses]

16 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

Doable but Avengers didn't deal with two back-to-back 100 million openers in its first month. We'll see how that goes.

Okay, so, knowing how that could possibly hinder its total, I feel that it might be able to still thrive among its competitors. 

 

personally, $700m...is locked. right? right!

[a2k]

55-60% 2nd weekend drop in this era for a cbm three-quel that broke the ow record is mind-numbing.

[Cap]

53 minutes ago, Chewy said:

lol we legit don't have any MCU emojis btw

 

@Ebony Maw it is your time

And vote for Steve’s “really, Allens” from avengers. Cause it is not quite Winona’s emotion. It’s more. Honestly. Really. This. We are having this conversation again 

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, Ethan Hunt said:

You do realize there's  a 0%chance of it hitting that number with that Friday number? I was just coming to ask if it was gonna go under Black Panthers second weekend. Seems like a s trech but if it's in the low end of that Friday number it could happen

There is literally no chance it goes under BP's second weekend on the low end.

 

also, see iw you h8er

[Belle]

I'd say anywhere between 115-130M. 

[a2k]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

There is literally no chance it goes under BP's second weekend on the low end.

 

also, see iw you h8er

imo on the low-end is possible but it would have to emulate avenger's surprisingly low sat bump of 47% (compared to other mcu movies on 2nd sat).

31.0

47.0 (+52%)

33.0 (-30%)

= 111

(but it's not very probable. should manage close to 115 or more)

[HeyItsMoses]

just realized that by the end of week 4, it'll earn about 82-92% of it's domestic total. I think getting that extra week of avoiding competition is going to help a lot!

[a2k]

Quote

3rd Update Friday 8:55PM after 12:12PM post: Chart coming Disney/Marvel’s Avengers: Infinity War with an estimated $115.1M at 4,474 theaters is looking at the second best weekend ever at the domestic B.O. behind Force Awakens ($149.2M) and ahead of Black Panther ($111.6M). In addition, the Anthony and Joe Russo-directed movie will cross the $400M mark in 9 days tomorrow, the second fastest to that point after Force Awakens’ 8 day record. Infinity War‘s second Friday is estimated to be $30.3M today (-72% from last Friday because it was padded with previews) with a total by Sunday of $453.5M. As Nancy already reported, Infinity War is the fastest title ever to $1 billion.

http://deadline.com/2018/05/avengers-infinity-war-second-weekend-box-office-overboard-tully-bad-samaritan-1202382713/

[aabattery]

55% drop from true Friday.

[Belle]

4 hours ago, Moviefanatic said:

Hmm it’s early so maybe it will go up throughout the day. Even if the number is 31 million, it could act like BP. Meh Friday’s followed by gargantuan Saturday increases and strong Sunday holds. 

Like I said in another thread, I may be wrong but because of the bigger weekday numbers, we may see a small jump on Friday then a huge increase on Saturday. Not so sure about Sunday holds but it should be decent at least. 

[Eric S'ennui]

http://deadline.com/2018/05/avengers-infinity-war-second-weekend-box-office-overboard-tully-bad-samaritan-1202382713/

 

Don't think this was updated here yet.

 

Quote

Disney/Marvel’s Avengers: Infinity War with an estimated $115.1M at 4,474 theaters is looking at the second best weekend ever at the domestic B.O. behind Force Awakens ($149.2M) and ahead of Black Panther ($111.6M). In addition, the Anthony and Joe Russo-directed movie will cross the $400M mark in 9 days tomorrow, the second fastest to that point after Force Awakens’ 8 day record. Infinity War‘s second Friday is estimated to be $30.3M today (-72% from last Friday because it was padded with previews) with a total by Sunday of $453.5M. As Nancy already reported, Infinity War is the fastest title ever to $1 billion.

 

Black Panther with $693.3M looks to only have $6.7M to get to $700M and odds are Disney should be able to keep the movie in theaters just like Sony marched Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle toward $400M. Not only that, there’s an overlap in business between Infinity War and Black Panther. At 1,641 locations this weekend, T’Challa isn’t slowing down drawing $3.3M in weekend 12, -30%.

 

Lionsgate/Pantelion/MGM’s Overboard will take second place with $4.4M today and $13.1M for the weekend at 1,623 venues. The film cost in the low teens and Lionsgate has these Eugenio Derbez films down to a box office and ancillary science, stoking the Hispanic market and churning out a home entertainment life that’s 2x domestic B.O. PostTrak reports a Hispanic turnout of 41% with the demo giving the pic an 83% positive. Four stars overall for the pic and a shiney A- CinemaScore. Overboard‘s opening is higher than the Mexican star’s April 28 release last year, How to Be a Latin Lover which opened to $12.2M and yielded a 2.6 multiple for a final $32.1M.

 

RelishMix considers the social buzz on Overboard to be good with a social media universe of 120M above the genre’s typical online reach of 115M and video materials going viral at 11 to 1. Females are the majority at Overboard making up 59% of the crowd per PostTrak. Women over 25 at 45% give the pic a 77% positive.

 

Focus Features’ Tully could take fifty with $1.3M today and $3.5M at 1,353 locations. Despite having the best reviews of the weekend with an 89% certified fresh Rotten Tomatoes score, this is not a great start for Tully. Sources tells me that $6.5M would be a great start for this pic which would get it to a $15M. Pic’s start isn’t that far from Reitman’s wide drama Labor Day which bowed to $5.1M and ended its run at $13.3M.

 

The film in its intrigue appeals more to the younger crowd than the intended adult audience, but the former isn’t showing up. Over 25 make up 87% of the audience, but give it a 71% positive score, while 13% under 25 like Tully at 85%. Overall three stars here.

 

 

Dean Devlin’s self-distributed Bad Samaritan is crashing in 9th place with an estimated $650K today and $1.8M for the weekend. A very low 52% overall positive score on PostTrak with a (gulp) 1 1/2 stars and a 20% definite recommend. Eighty percent of the audience were over 25 with 51/49 female to male split.

 

Magnolia’s RBG is doing great with an estimated $15,5K per theater at 34 locations and an estimated $525K start.

 

 

[Legion Again]

Less than 100% from Thurs? It’s a good thing I never believe Deadline over Rth or I would have to go find some gifs of a house of cards.

[a2k]

Can see sub-115 with 30.3 Friday

 

30.3

49.0 (+62%)

34.2 (-30%)

= 113.5

[John Marston]

4 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said:

http://deadline.com/2018/05/avengers-infinity-war-second-weekend-box-office-overboard-tully-bad-samaritan-1202382713/

 

 

700m looks dead. Trashmerica is not pulling their weight

[baumer]

It is also very early 4 a true number from deadline. It is still only 9 p.m. on the west coast so that number could definitely go up.

[The Mad Titan]

$30.3 million today is a smidgen disappointing given it's only 4% over TA1 2nd Friday while it's Thursday was 24% over TA1. 

[baumer]

My gosh what happened to the other two openers LOL. Those are some truly pathetic numbers.

[John Marston]

What’s with the shitting horrible sub 100% increase? This isn’t summer or holidays 

[a2k]

Just now, John Marston said:

What’s with the shitting horrible sub 100% increase? This isn’t summer or holidays 

I think that Wed drop was very strong at -28%. Thu hold was good too. Coming off a high base wasn't gonna be easy to post a big bump. BP also jumped "only" 102% on Fri on it's way to an amazing 44% drop.

[Ryan Reynolds]

An ok hold, should have held a little better given the weak openers