Wednesday Numbers: IW 4.2- 4.4 (Asgard 2)

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

It's going to do it!

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Captain Craig]

33 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

So just enough to get it to $697m going into the weekend?

It'll be $698M+ come Monday and make that last $1.5m at minimum during the Solo OW. 

It's going to need Memorial Day weekend to hit $700m. It's run is closing in on a $703m-ish finish it seems.

[IronJimbo]

Infinity War is running extremely similarly to how it did last week in comparison to black panther, it's following a similar trend.

 

Last week.

IW                   BP

$8,283,575       $8,098,481   Monday

$10,673,500     $10,204,038  Tuesday
$7,051,981       $6,876,570   Wednesday
$6,895,697       $6,607,691   Thursday

$15,986,612     $16,257,536  Friday
$26,938,937     $30,052,665  Saturday
$19,152,498     $19,996,734  Sunday

 

Then this week

IW                   BP

$4,625,938       $4,720,738 MONDAY
$6,009,292       $6,258,583 TUESDAY
$4,190,000       $3,941,783 WEDNESDAY

 

OK here's what I think it looks like without Deadpool2

 

$4,550,000     $4,251,525 THURSDAY (GUESS)               

$9,800,000     $10,018,785 FRIDAY (GUESS)

$16,500,000   $18,352,112 SATURDAY (GUESS)

$11,300,000   $12,446,683 SUNDAY (GUESS) (reduced 5% because it's not mothers day)

 

Now I'm just going to MULTI by DEADPOOL2 for the weekend.

Going with a 0.9x multi...

$8.82m

$14.9m

$10.7m

 

FOR A GRAND TOTAL OF $34.42m | -44.5%

 

heard it here first

 

 

 

 

Edited May 17, 2018 by IronJimbo

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Infinity War is running extremely similarly to how it did last week in comparison to black panther, it's following a similar trend.

 

Last week.

IW                   BP

$8,283,575       $8,098,481   Monday

$10,673,500     $10,204,038  Tuesday
$7,051,981       $6,876,570   Wednesday
$6,895,697       $6,607,691   Thursday

$15,986,612     $16,257,536  Friday
$26,938,937     $30,052,665  Saturday
$19,152,498     $19,996,734  Sunday

 

Then this week

IW                   BP

$4,625,938       $4,720,738 MONDAY
$6,009,292       $6,258,583 TUESDAY
$4,190,000       $3,941,783 WEDNESDAY

 

OK here's what I think it looks like without Deadpool2

 

$4,550,000     $4,251,525 THURSDAY (GUESS)               

$9,800,000     $10,018,785 FRIDAY (GUESS)

$16,500,000   $18,352,112 SATURDAY (GUESS)

$11,300,000   $12,446,683 SUNDAY (GUESS) (reduced 5% because it's not mothers day)

 

Now I'm just going to MULTI by DEADPOOL2 for the weekend.

Going with a 0.9x multi...

$8.82m

$14.9m

$10.7m

 

FOR A GRAND TOTAL OF $34.42m | -55.5%

 

heard it here first

 

That's a 45% drop. Sounds good to me though. 

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

That's a 45% drop. Sounds good to me though. 

That's what I said!

Edited May 17, 2018 by IronJimbo

[KP1025]

That Thursday is too high. BP only increased because of a very harsh drop on Wednesday. IW should drop from yesterday because of DP2 previews tonight.

[sfran43]

> NEW RELEASES 1 - Deadpool 2 Fox 4,349 - - 1 4 - Show Dogs Global Road 3,145 - - 1 5 - Book Club Paramount 2,781 - - 1 18 - Pope Francis - A Man of His Word Focus Features 346 - - 1 40 - First Reformed A24 4 - - 1 41 - On Chesil Beach Bleecker Street 4 - - 1 42 - That Summer IFC 1 - - 1 > EXPANDING 17 24 RBG Magnolia 375 +196 +109.5% 3 27 39 The Rider Sony Classics 90 +5 +5.9% 6 32 82 Beast Roadside Attractions 31 +27 +675.0% 2 35 55 Death Wish (2018) MGM 25 +2 +8.7% 12 39 79 The Seagull Sony Classics 13 +7 +116.7% 2 > NO CHANGE 3 2 Life of the Party Warner Bros. (New Line) 3,656 - - 2 6 6 Breaking In (2018) Universal 2,537 - - 2 25 33 102 Not Out Sony / Columbia 102 - - 3 31 47 Pandas Warner Bros. 35 - - 7 > DECLINING 2 1 Avengers: Infinity War Buena Vista 4,002 -472 -10.5% 4 7 3 A Quiet Place Paramount 2,327 -817 -26.0% 7 8 7 Overboard (2018) Pantelion 1,820 -186 -9.3% 3 9 4 I Feel Pretty STX Entertainment 1,505 -1,353 -47.3% 5 10 5 Rampage (2018) Warner Bros. (New Line) 1,466 -1,082 -42.5% 6 11 11 Black Panther Buena Vista 935 -435 -31.8% 14 12 12 Tully (2018) Focus Features 668 -688 -50.7% 3 13 14 Blockers Universal 438 -673 -60.6% 7 14 17 Sherlock Gnomes Paramount 419 -189 -31.1% 9 15 16 Ready Player One Warner Bros. 388 -416 -51.7% 8 16 13 Truth or Dare Universal 379 -890 -70.1% 6 19 18 I Can Only Imagine Roadside Attractions 274 -155 -36.1% 10 20 8 A Wrinkle in Time Buena Vista 230 -1,754 -88.4% 11 21 20 Chappaquiddick Entertainment Studios 150 -167 -52.7% 7 22 25 Tomb Raider Warner Bros. 134 -26 -16.3% 10 23 26 Game Night Warner Bros. (New Line) 121 -37 -23.4% 13 24 21 Tyler Perry's Acrimony Lionsgate 116 -141 -54.9% 8 26 22 The Miracle Season Mirror/LD 101 -133 -56.8% 7 28 19 Traffik Lionsgate 81 -300 -78.7% 5 29 42 God's Not Dead: A Light in Darkness Pure Flix 45 -22 -32.8% 8 30 27 Lean on Pete A24 44 -85 -65.9% 7 33 44 Finding Your Feet Roadside Attractions 30 -31 -50.8% 8 34 43 The Leisure Seeker Sony Classics 29 -38 -56.7% 22 36 41 Beirut Bleecker Street 15 -52 -77.6% 6 37 54 Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron 15 -9 -37.5% 11 38 53 Final Portrait Sony Classics 14 -10 -41.7% 9
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Edited May 17, 2018 by sfran43

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, KP1025 said:

That Thursday is too high. BP only increased because of a very harsh drop on Wednesday. IW should drop from yesterday because of DP2 previews tonight.

Yeah, Thur will drop but the Friday jump is also too low at 115%. 

[LinksterAC]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Yeah, Thur will drop but the Friday jump is also too low at 115%. 

Yeah, I think it's tracking to about a 46% drop and a $34M weekend.

[IceFire9yt]

Well, right now it's weekdays are showing a 43% drop against last week.

 

Thor Ragnarok dropped 56% on the Monday through Wednesday the week before Justice League opened, where it had a 62% drop.  So if it takes the same kind of hit, we'd see a drop just around 49%.

 

The Winter Soldier had a 47.2% drop the same period before TASM2 opened, where it dropped 52.1%.  So with that kind of hit we'd see a 48% drop.

 

Its hard to find other good comparisons.  Can't use GOTG2 v. Wonder Woman, and several others, because Memorial Day screws that up.  So I'm going with a drop just shy of 50%, 30-32M.

 

 

[Rebeccas]

Um a sub-50 drop against DP2? That seems crazy optimistic to me but IW is a weirdo at the box office I guess.

[aabattery]

1 hour ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

It is very important to me that tomorrow's BP number comes in under $146,983.

[Ledmonkey96]

8 minutes ago, aabattery said:

 

It is very important to me that tomorrow's BP number comes in under $146,983.

An almost 10% drop on a Thursday? That'll depend on it's TC for the weekend  I guess.

[sfran43]

4 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

An almost 10% drop on a Thursday? That'll depend on it's TC for the weekend  I guess.

935 for BP

[sfran43]

Top MCU 3rd Wednesday gross:

Avengers: Age of Ultron

The Avengers

Captain America 3

Black Panther

Avengers: Infinity War

$2,329,898 -22.9% / -46.3% $380,816,733 / 20

$3,968,406 -19.3% / -37.4% $472,239,621 / 20

$2,272,708 -21.4% / -41.7% $355,399,099 / 20

$3,941,783 -37% / -42.7% $516,628,076 / 20

$4,193,985 -30.2% / -40.5% $562,919,365 / 20

 

Top MCU 3rd Thursday gross (sans AIW):

Avengers: Age of Ultron

The Avengers

Captain America 3

Black Panther

$2,353,746 +1% / -41.7% $383,170,479 / 21

$4,445,167 +12% / -28.4% $476,684,788 / 21

$2,076,849 -8.6% / -44.3% $357,475,948 / 21

$4,251,525 +7.9% / -35.7% $520,879,601 / 21

[Ledmonkey96]

Was Friday a holiday for Avengers or something? +12% is pretty impressive.

[KP1025]

47 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

20 8 A Wrinkle in Time Buena Vista 230 -1,754 -88.4% 11

 

How exactly is Disney planning to fudge to $100 million again? 

 

[Krissykins]

3 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

 

How exactly is Disney planning to fudge to $100 million again? 

 

The defintiely tried, they must’ve just accepted defeat.