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Weekend Thread: | Estimates (per BOM) ~ M:I-F 35M, DCR 25.003M, TSWDM 12.35M, MM!HWGA 9.09M, TE2 8.83M, HT3:SV 8.2M, AMatW 6.188M, TDM 5.8M

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high domestic earner stamina comparison

 

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)
90% of
Gross
on Day
Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW)
Domestic
Gross
First
Weekend
Box Office
Position
Batman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016)
Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.52 $213.0M $84.4M #6 (2018)
Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 25 2.74 $405.6M $148.0M #4 (2018)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015)
It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017)
Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017)
Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.53 $318.0M $125.5M #5 (2018)
Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016)
Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017)
Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 30 3.19 $583.1M $182.7M #3 (2018)
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.1M $257.7M #2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015)
Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015)
Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015)
Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017)
Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015)
Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015)
Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017)
Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016)
Black Panther (Feb. 2018)* 38 3.47 $700.0M $202.0M #1 (2018)
Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015)
The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016)
Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017)
The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015)
Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017)
average of table 32 3.38      
median of table 30 2.87      
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
 
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 5, 2018


M:I - Rogue Nation was 37 days...it'll be interesting to see if the new one has the same amount of gas in the tank or not (if it's more frontloaded); it could eventually make the table >$200M. Ant-Man and the Wasp will be joining the table next time >$200M.

Edited by MagnarTheGreat
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34 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Even more impressive for Fallout considering how many tentpoles/sequels this summer - well-received, too - had to drop in the vicinity of 60% before course-correcting. 

 

Now it's gonna course correct into an increase next weekend.

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Spoiler

 

51 minutes ago, MagnarTheGreat said:

high domestic earner stamina comparison

 

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)
90% of
Gross
on Day
Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW)
Domestic
Gross
First
Weekend
Box Office
Position
Batman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016)
Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.52 $213.0M $84.4M #6 (2018)
Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 25 2.74 $405.6M $148.0M #4 (2018)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015)
It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017)
Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017)
Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.53 $318.0M $125.5M #5 (2018)
Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016)
Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017)
Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 30 3.19 $583.1M $182.7M #3 (2018)
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.1M $257.7M #2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015)
Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015)
Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015)
Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017)
Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015)
Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015)
Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017)
Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016)
Black Panther (Feb. 2018)* 38 3.47 $700.0M $202.0M #1 (2018)
Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015)
The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016)
Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017)
The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015)
Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017)
average of table 32 3.38      
median of table 30 2.87      
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
 
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 5, 2018


M:I - Rogue Nation was 37 days...it'll be interesting to see if the new one has the same amount of gas in the tank or not (if it's more frontloaded); it could eventually make the table >$200M. Ant-Man and the Wasp will be joining the table next time >$200M.

 

 

AM&tW prediction:      

 

36 days 2.93    $222M  $75.8M  #10

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