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Weekend Thread : Asgardian #'s on p.17 ~ 19.6M Saturday

By sfran43, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Rthmessiah,

19.6
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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
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That's actually a really solid expansion for Beautiful Boy. Clearly the aggressive amount of TV spots over the past week pushing the film's "seeking help" angle paid off.

 

Suspiria also did fine numbers but is most likely gonna freefall once WOM from unsuspecting moviegoers spreads.

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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5 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Is $46M a good number for BR?

out of the Forbes quote:

Quote

The presumed $47m debut weekend will be (easily) the second-biggest launch for a musical biopic behind Straight Outta Compton’s $60m debut three years ago.

 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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for the holdover's comparisons to last week

Quote

Friday, November 2, 2018
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr
     
>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 - Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $18,400,000 - - 4,000 $4,600 $18,400,000 1
2 - The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $5,619,000 - - 3,766 $1,492 $5,619,000 1
3 - Nobody's Fool Par. $4,800,000 - - 2,468 $1,945 $4,800,000 1
4 1 Halloween (2018) Uni. $3,331,000 +121% -66% 3,775 $882 $142,724,705 15
5 2 A Star is Born (2018) WB $3,150,000 +121% -24% 3,431 $918 $157,684,566 29
6 3 Venom (2018) Sony $1,975,000 +153% -31% 3,067 $644 $192,788,348 29
7 4 Hunter Killer LG/S $1,030,000 +95% -60% 2,720 $379 $10,470,116 8
8 6 The Hate U Give Fox $910,000 +163% -37% 1,507 $604 $20,970,924 29
9 7 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $825,000 +163% -54% 2,828 $292 $40,957,316 22
10 8 Smallfoot WB $720,000 +170% -36% 2,002 $360 $74,399,301 36
11 5 First Man Uni. $628,000 +74% -55% 1,712 $367 $40,417,870 22
12 11 Night School (2018) Uni. $524,000 +196% -44% 1,271 $412 $72,919,215 36
- - Suspiria Amazon $422,000 +3,602% +627% 311 $1,357 $672,857 8
- 9 Mid90s A24 $407,000 +65% -70% 1,091 $373 $4,867,967 15
- - Beautiful Boy (2018) Amazon $385,000 +405% +110% 540 $713 $2,188,242 22
- 10 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $300,000 +51% -45% 765 $392 $8,470,687 36
- - Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $300,000 +956% +192% 180 $1,667 $1,020,140 15
- - Johnny English Strikes Again Uni. $262,000 +130% -49% 552 $475 $2,478,765 8
- - Indivisible PFR $247,000 +96% -60% 742 $333 $2,376,873 8
- - Incredibles 2 BV $40,000 +253% +17% 150 $267 $607,980,568 141
- - Disney's Christopher Robin BV $38,000 +335% +47% 165 $230 $98,909,049 92

 

 

 

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CoolioD1 Global Phenomenon

CoolioD1

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5 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Great for Bohemian Rhapsody, might go and see it tomorrow. It’s been huge here. 

 

Thats solid for Suspiria. What’s Amazons plans? Are they going to release it online shortly? 

no amazon isn't like netflix they generally act like a normal movie studio w/ theatrical releases.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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22 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Great for Bohemian Rhapsody, might go and see it tomorrow. It’s been huge here. 

 

Thats solid for Suspiria. What’s Amazons plans? Are they going to release it online shortly? 

It's getting another expansion next week (probably 600-700 theaters). It won't be on Amazon Prime until 2-3 months after the Blu-Ray comes out n January/February.

 

16 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Boy Erased is looking at a $44-45K average from 5 theaters this weekend according to Hollywood Reporter (or $220-225K for the weekend).

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/bohemian-rhapsody-box-office-rocks-39m-previews-1157472

I can see it doing decently over the early December lull if it doesn't get forgotten over Thanksgiving.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I can see it doing decently over the early December lull if it doesn't get forgotten over Thanksgiving.

FWIW it's a better launch than fellow November Focus awards contenders The Theory of Everything (also in 5 theaters), The Danish Girl (4 theaters), and Loving (also 4 theaters), and close to Darkest Hour's 5-day launch in 4 theaters. It won't do anything amazing unless it becomes a major contender but $10M+ should be easy, especially with endorsements from numerous LGBT organizations.

 

We don't have much left in terms of contenders for a $100K+ opening PTA this year. Last year had one (Call Me by Your Name) and the year before had two (La La Land and Moonlight). The Favourite seems like the only one left with the strongest chance at it.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

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3 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

I don't know which is more impressive: Bohemian Rhapsody's opening or A Star is Born only dropping 24% even with direct competition.

Probably A Star is Born. I could see it going as high as $225M now with that Oscar push.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

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4 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

First Man is looking at another 50+% drop. Yikes, the news keeps getting worse and worse. I haven't been this obsessed with a failure/under performer since Solo.

Hardly a surprise considering it lost nearly 1,250 theaters.

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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Quote
 12 minutes ago

Friday : Tops $200M Worldwide As Nears $200M Domestic via by

Quote

The bad news is that Halloween took a dive as November began. The good news is that the $10 million slasher pic wasn’t counting on long legs, especially after it snagged a $76.2m opening weekend. The Jamie Lee Curtis sequel earned $3.31m yesterday (-66%), but I think Blumhouse and friends will be okay. The Universal/Comcast Corp. release topped $200m worldwide yesterday, meaning it is Blumhouse’s third-biggest global grosser behind Split ($278m) and Get Out ($256M). It is right between Split ($138m) and Get Out ($176m) in domestic earnings. With a likely $10.8m (-66%) weekend, it’ll be just over/under the $150m mark by tomorrow. It looks like an over/under $176m finish for this one.

.

A Star Is Born is holding well enough that it is earning more, in terms of weekend-to-weekend grosses, than Venom (which opened on the same day to nearly double the respective opening weekend) and Halloween (which opened just two weeks ago). The Bradley Cooper/Lady Gaga romantic drama earned $3.15 million (-25%) on its fifth Friday to bring its domestic cume to $157.6m. We’re looking at a $10.93m (-22%) weekend and a $165.5m domestic total for Warner Bros. and MGM’s $36m-budgeted musical remake. Inflation notwithstanding, it’ll be a day away from passing Fifty Shades of Grey ($166m in 2015) to become the fourth-biggest straight-up romantic drama behind only Pearl Harbor ($198m), Ghost ($217m) and Titanic ($658m).

.

Venom earned $1.97 million (-31%) ....has now earned $192.8m and should snag $7.4m (-30%) over the weekend for a new $198.213m domestic total. We’ll get an overseas update tomorrow, but I’m expecting a total over/under $535m plus whatever it earns in Japan.

....  Makes you wonder what would have happened if Sony had just gone for it back in 2014 with their Spidey spin-offs and/or Amazing Spider-Man 3.

.

.....

 

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

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Ridiculous opening for Bohemian Rhapsody. Music-related movies, whether that be musicals, biopics, animation, etc., seem to be one of the biggest things going right now, alongside comic book movies and horror. And it's going to hit close to 150M DOM, maybe over that, as it really seems to be a crowdpleaser.

 

Nutcracker woeful. Disney's third mega bomb of the year, ouch. I have no idea what kind of OS appeal does this have, but it better pray that it has some of it at all. But even then, a 120M budget is pretty significant.

8 hours ago, Krissykins said:

 

My list would have most of the same films but in different orders.

 

Avengers 4 wasn’t out of the ordinary. I wouldn’t say Incredibles wasn’t expected either. 

2 billion worldwide, OS record shattered left and right, nearly 700M DOM and over TFA's OW (when a lot of people didn't think it would do that) isn't out of the ordinary?

 

Crushing the animated OW record by ~50M and coming close to beating the adjusted for inflation animated DOM total record isn't out of the ordinary?

 

Not a lot of people expected either movie to go the way they did. One thing is maybe they didn't impress you, as you've hinted big blockbusters doing massive numbers is a thing that bores you cause it's 'expected'. Fair enough. I also would say that, in terms of unexpected/small scale breakouts, the heights that the likes of The Meg, CRA and A Quiet Place hit were a lot more positively surprising. But what those two - and Black Panther - did is nothing short of stunning.

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Felandria Indie Sensation

Felandria

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Surprised Nobody’s Fool isn’t doing that well, it seemed like Perry was playing to a more general audience with this one.

 

and I can’t quite believe how poorly Suspiria expanded, was figuring a 90% PTA drop at worst and this is well past that.

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