Thanksgiving Weekend Thread: ESTIMATES (Page 40) | Ralph 55.7M (84.5M Total) | Creed II 35.3M (55.8M Total) | The Grinch 30.2M | Grindelwald 29.7M | Robin Hood 9.1M (14.2M Total) | AMAZING BLACK FRIDAY SALE

[Firepower]

1 hour ago, The Futurist said:

Michelle Williams in Venom was a revelation.

Still my favourite performance of 2018.

It was like watching someone slowly dying inside, scene after scene.

Very few actors can access to that level of darkness & despair but Michelle pulled it off brilliantly.

 Simply incredible and terrifying.

Thanks to this role, she will be due for her Oscar next time she cries and sobs 3 times on cue for her next drama.

She won't get Oscar nom for this powerhouse perfomance because The Academy doesn't like cbm movies, but she has very high chances to get Razzies, deservingly so, because noone did such a convincing impression of the worst Megan Fox perfomances before, especially from high-profile actresses.

Edited November 25, 2018 by Firepower

[Eric is Quiet]

https://deadline.com/2018/11/netflix-roma-opening-weekend-box-office-1202508491/

 

Quote

Netflix isn’t reporting weekend grosses for Alfonso Cuarón‘s Roma, but we’ve been hearing since Wednesday about sell-out shows at the Landmark’s Pico Blvd Los Angeles and W. 57th New York locations, and Manhattan’s IFC Center, and all in, Deadline industry sources say that the 5-day gross is an estimated $200K which works out to be $66,6K a screen.

 

That’s very good for a foreign film, and though apples-to-oranges in comparisons, that take is higher than the 3-day opening screen averages of such subtitled fare as Ang Lee’s Lust, Caution ($63,9K) and South Korea’s Battleship Island from CJ ($59,3K) (which both opened on one screen) and Walter Salles’ The Motorcycle Diaries ($53,2K average at three sites ) and Pedro Almodovar’s Talk to Her ($52,1K average at two), all of which are some of the best foreign film launches.

 

Also to explain Favourite's frontloadedness

 

Quote

Fox Searchlight’s The Favourite scored the best opening screen average of the year at $105K off four New York and Los Angeles theaters this weekend or $420K, but we are hearing that was padded by early shows on Wednesday and Thursday.

 

[Jiffy]

Yes, we saw The Favourite on Thursday and had assumed it was a Wed release like the rest, so was surprised when no numbers were reported for those days.

[Valonqar]

2 hours ago, Ithil said:

Bombin Hood going to challenge Solo for flop of the year.

Nope, because RH bombing was expected. Star Wars bombing was not. people expected under 1B and I think 700M+ was the lowest they thought it would go but under 400M is absolutely embarrassing for such a big brand. 

[The Futurist]

Watch Disney do a live action remake of their Robin Hood with a talking CGI Fox walking on two legs making 1B WW.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

39 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Watch Disney do a live action remake of their Robin Hood with a talking CGI Fox walking on two legs making 1B WW.

Then they'll do a crossover with the eventual Zootopia remake

[The Futurist]

6 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Then they'll do a crossover with the eventual Zootopia remake

Circle of Life.

[Eric is Quiet]

47 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Watch Disney do a live action remake of their Robin Hood with a talking CGI Fox walking on two legs making 1B WW.

This would be the Black Panther for furries

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Maybe we'll get to the stage where Disney releases the animated film and the remake in the same year 

[The Futurist]

Pixar will do Star Wars films that will get their live action remakes when nostalgia hits in 2065.

[charlie Jatinder]

Ralph Breaks The Internet $9,347,151 reported at 9PM EST. -30% from Saturday at same time. The full day could be around $13.5mn. That will give FSS of $56.3mn.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Creed II $4,767,870 reported Sunday at 9PM. -32% from Saturday at same time. The full day would be $8.5mn, that will give FSS of $36.3mn Approx.

[charlie Jatinder]

The Grinch reported Sunday is $4,934,353, that's 32% down from Saturday. The full day could be $7.2mn. This gives FSS of $30.5mn.

[charlie Jatinder]

Fantasic Beasts: Crimes of Grindelwald reported Sunday of $4,282,006 i.e. 43% down from Saturday. Final day would be $6mn. Only film in top 4 to fall short of estimates. FSS would be $29.2mn. #4 in its sophomore session. Shame.

[MattW]

20 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Ralph Breaks The Internet $9,347,151 reported at 9PM EST. -30% from Saturday at same time. The full day could be around $13.5mn. That will give FSS of $56.3mn.

 

13.5 is 36% off from Saturday's estimate so you're doing a direct time of day comp Sat to Sun.  Are you looking at past years' Sunday at the same point to come up with the 13.5 number?

[sfran43]

 

[charlie Jatinder]

33 minutes ago, MattW said:

13.5 is 36% off from Saturday's estimate so you're doing a direct time of day comp Sat to Sun.  Are you looking at past years' Sunday at the same point to come up with the 13.5 number?

Sunday night shows will be weaker than Saturday. So 30% drop at 9PM EST will come out as 35% full day. Playing safe with 36%.

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited December 2, 2018 by skunk works

[Rthmessiah]

Sunday fly bye

WIRBI 13.5, C@ 7.9, TG 7.2, FBCOG 6.6, BR 3.3, RH 2.1

[Rthmessiah]

12 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Off topic. Will any film ever break the PTA record of The Lion King. Freaking $793,377.

 

12 hours ago, TomeRide said:

I have no idea how that number was even physically possible. How much did they charge for a ticket?

Probably not, it played New York Radio City Music Hall 5000 seats 3-4 session a day(weekend most sessions sold out) and the regular El Capitan in LA(1000 seats, at the time it had a record Saturday), the lion's share (haha)  of cause was taken by Radio City (probably have the figure somewhere). From memory tickets were like $25-30 back in 1994. That first week the PTA was like 1.6m. There was also a bit of a live show with it as well.