Thanksgiving Weekend Thread: ESTIMATES (Page 40) | Ralph 55.7M (84.5M Total) | Creed II 35.3M (55.8M Total) | The Grinch 30.2M | Grindelwald 29.7M | Robin Hood 9.1M (14.2M Total) | AMAZING BLACK FRIDAY SALE

[Premium George]

Pretty top heavy year.

[Valonqar]

9 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Pretty diverse studio-wise. Not all Disney and not all MCU either. MPR and Aquaman will likely push some movies down. 

 

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Barnack]

2 hours ago, YLF said:

Is widows a flop? No chance at oscars now?

Spider Web is a flop, Widows is more borderline than that.

 

It is a bit early to tell with 10 markets (with at least 3 major one) to go for a movie that could make close is budget at the domestic box office alone, but legs seem to be mediocre in many market.

 

And that the bigger issue, a movie flopping do not necessarily matter much at the Oscar, Hugo was one of the biggest flop ever that broke major relationship and producing houses, still got nominated. It will still do more than the Phantom Thread, Room, Brooklyn, etc....

 

The bigger issue is the what look like timid reception from the old audience that saw it (79% above 25) that usually match a little bit the Academy in taste. Taste between people tend to be quite correlated and if the older audience do not like something, Academy voters also does not like it almost systematically. For all the talk above about the box office of Oscar movies, they almost are still well liked by the people that actually watched them in theater and have good legs.

 

Now, there is so many new voters from so many country, that precedent in what they like and how they vote is not necessarily a strong metric.

 

 

Edited November 26, 2018 by Barnack

[GraceRandolph]

3 hours ago, Napoleon said:

Great numbers for Ralph 2. My girl Gal Gadot continues to put out one hit after another and finish ScarJo's career for good.

 

Justice League says hello

[sfran43]

 

[GraceRandolph]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Wow poor Lady Gaga

[YLF]

Wow, was queen that popular all over the world? I never even knew. I’m not old enough to know I guess. I’ve heard their songs but didn’t know the extent of the popularity since I’m a 90s baby.

[YLF]

8 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said:

Wow poor Lady Gaga

Well her movie will probably have more award success, so...

[Julian1410]

Bohemian rhapsody’s trailer was also Little bit more commercial and flashier Then A Star Is Born. I also think BR appealed to both men and women whereas A Star Is Born appealed to mostly women. I thought they were both great.

 

 

[CoolioD1]

if lady gaga played freddie mercury that movie woulda been really something.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

Edited November 26, 2018 by sfran43

[sfran43]

 

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

I really don't understand why Bohemian Rhapsody's success is considered anything of a slight against A Star Is Born - a movie that is going to have made x10 its budget when all is said and done.

 

The two are barely comparable (original drama featuring original songs v semi-fictionalised biopic that essentially is a stream of music videos of pre-existing massively popular songs), and regardless it's like trying to claim that Avatar outgrossed Jurassic World, ergo the latter is a failure.

[Jiffy]

7 minutes ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

I really don't understand why Bohemian Rhapsody's success is considered anything of a slight against A Star Is Born - a movie that is going to have made x10 its budget when all is said and done.

 

The two are barely comparable (original drama featuring original songs v semi-fictionalised biopic that essentially is a stream of music videos of pre-existing massively popular songs), and regardless it's like trying to claim that Avatar outgrossed Jurassic World, ergo the latter is a failure.

It's only a slight in the mind of bitter Britney stans lol. 

[DAJK]

I mean 500 is obvs locked for BR, but how are people seeing 600? Are there any more markets left to open?

 

I'm thinking 35 more in Domestic, but another 80+ overseas? 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]