Avengers: Endgame Monday Thread (4/29): 36.87M (3rd best Monday ever)

[JimiQ]

16 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Nice increase from estimates!

No! We lost the "point-seven" thing... .87 doesn't look as good

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, JimiQ said:

A-ha! So you are really a resident WB shill and that stuff about SW was just a ruse!

 

(I'm deeply buried agent here, don't blow my cover)

Edited April 30, 2019 by Porthos

[FlashMaster659]

My forecast with new actual

 

36.87

34.3 (-7%)

24.7 (-28%)

22.4 (-9.3%)

 

43.4 (+93.8%)

62.9 (+44.9%)

47.2 (-25%)

 

153.5m 2nd weekend

 

Decided to bump up my prediction for the Friday jump

[IceFire9yt]

Imagine if last week we got that Monday number with no other context.  I don't know how we'd even make sense of it.

Edited April 30, 2019 by IceFire9yt

[sfran43]

9 minutes ago, JimiQ said:

No! We lost the "point-seven" thing... .87 doesn't look as good

But we still got a "7" in there, I'll take it!😂

[cdsacken]

29 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

My forecast with new actual

 

36.87

34.3 (-7%)

24.7 (-28%)

22.4 (-9.3%)

 

43.4 (+93.8%)

62.9 (+44.9%)

47.2 (-25%)

 

153.5m 2nd weekend

 

Decided to bump up my prediction for the Friday jump

Not too bad. Although Saturday Bump is too small, Sunday might be a bit more. Also think Friday is 100% give a take a percent.

 

Overall really close to mine, good detail

 

Gimme

32.5

24

22.5

44

70

51.8

 

165.8 2nd weekend

 

Edited April 30, 2019 by cdsacken

[AndyK]

Only 3rd best Monday

[TServo2049]

#NotARecord

[FlashMaster659]

Didn't check early shows but the afternoon 3D shows I said were sparsely filled have made pretty good progress. Rest of 2D shows today are near-sellouts with the exception of the 12:00 AM Dolby show which also looks to be making some nice progress.

[Sue Denim]

19 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

My forecast with new actual

 

36.87

34.3 (-7%)

24.7 (-28%)

22.4 (-9.3%)

 

43.4 (+93.8%)

62.9 (+44.9%)

47.2 (-25%)

 

153.5m 2nd weekend

 

Decided to bump up my prediction for the Friday jump

Right there with you.  I just got there like this:

1st Weekend:		357.12
	Mon	36.9
	Tue	34.3	(-7%)
	Wed	24.7	(-28%)
	Thu	23.5	(-5%)
Total Weekdays:		119.4
	Fri	44.60	(+80%)
		64.67	(+45%)
		45.27	(-25%)
2nd Weekend:		154.5	(-57%)
Total after 2nd WE:		631.05

 

[Sue Denim]

Afternoon and early evening shows in my local theater have picked up quite a bit.

 

Remaining 20 showtimes are at a collective 55% capacity, including 4 not-well-attended 3D showtimes.

[Kalderic]

My local theaters arent selling nearly as well today as they were yesterday. Yesterday all shows were either sold out or almost full (less then 10 seats left), today, most of the morning shows have all passed without even almost selling out. The later shows are doing much better, but it didn't have the same amount of early morning business as it did yesterday, at least not here in my neck of the woods.

[cdsacken]

16 minutes ago, AndyK said:

Only 3rd best Monday

lols almost beat BP holiday Monday. That would have been crazy

[Gokai Red]

$36.9

😏

[jaybox]

When a movie opens to 357 million flipping dollars with 200 million dollar second weekend forecasting, how does this beast not make 1 billion domestic? I have people at work who usually wait rushing to see this cause everyone's talking about it. They showed me their seating and the IMAX shows were already basically sold out. 

 

I'm being serious. It's going to be near 700 million dollars at the end of Sunday. How does this not make another 236-300 million with this obscene of a pace? #1 Domestic and 1st unadjusted billion grosser here we come.

 

 

Edited April 30, 2019 by jaybox

[AndyK]

7 minutes ago, jaybox said:

When a movie opens to 357 million flipping dollars with 200 million dollar second weekend forecasting, how does this beast not make 1 billion domestic? I have people at work who usually wait rushing to see this cause everyone's talking about it. They showed me their seating and the IMAX shows were already basically sold out. 

 

I'm being serious. It's going to be near 700 million dollars at the end of Sunday. How does this not make another 236-300 million with this obscene of a pace? #1 Domestic and 1st unadjusted billion grosser here we come.

 

 

Yeah $1bn dom  is going to happen as is $3bn WW.

[Birdo Mandingo]

6 minutes ago, jaybox said:

When a movie opens to 357 million flipping dollars with 200 million dollar second weekend forecasting, how does this beast not make 1 billion domestic? I have people at work who usually wait rushing to see this cause everyone's talking about it. They showed me their seating and the IMAX shows were already basically sold out. 

 

I'm being serious. It's going to be near 700 million dollars at the end of Sunday. How does this not make another 236-300 million with this obscene of a pace? #1 Domestic and 1st unadjusted billion grosser here we come. 

  

 

Well if it gets 200m 2nd weekend it definitely would pass TFA and probably 1 billion.

 

The issue is it is very unlikely to go anywhere near that high.

 

Could go as low as 140m this weekend, I see best case around 170m. To fairly project a drop you need to remove the 60m previews, so drop off of 297.7 mil. I think it drops 50% off of that, but would not be shocked if that drop is in the 40s. 

[SweeneySwift]

It took Infinity War 11 days to hit a billion dollars worldwide

 

This is on pace to hit two bil in the same timespan

 

If it hits 2.25bil by Sunday night, BvS legs for the rest of its run after that is over 2.85bil

[FlashMaster659]

1 hour ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Didn't check early shows but the afternoon 3D shows I said were sparsely filled have made pretty good progress. Rest of 2D shows today are near-sellouts with the exception of the 12:00 AM Dolby show which also looks to be making some nice progress.

And now they’re getting close to selling out 

[AndyK]

#EndgameEffect