charlie Jatinder Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 (edited) Frozen 2 2.83 Knives Out 1.74 Queen & Slim 0.92 Ford v Ferrari 0.83 Edited December 5, 2019 by Jedi Jat 9 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed 2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1 9.41 (+230%) 18.34 (+95%) 12.47 (-32%) = 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32 Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume, 343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1 343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Whatever F2 does this weekend (hopefully $40 million) its drops should level off over the next couple of weeks and then spike up for the weekends of December 27 and January 3. $500 million could be iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neucentro Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 (edited) Frozen 2 2.85 (-47% from Tuesday) Knives Out 1.75 (-37%) Ford v Ferrari 1.05 (-12%) Queen & Slim 0.72 (-52%) Great for F v F. Not so good for Q & S. Swapping the two numbers would seem more normal. Edited December 5, 2019 by Neucentro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 13 minutes ago, Neucentro said: Frozen 2 2.85 (-47% from Tuesday) Knives Out 1.75 (-37%) Ford v Ferrari 1.05 (-12%) Queen & Slim 0.72 (-52%) Great for F v F. Not so good for Q & S. Swapping the two numbers would seem more normal. Yeah, good call FvF 0.72 -39% QnS 1.05 -30% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, a2k said: F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed 2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1 9.41 (+230%) 18.34 (+95%) 12.47 (-32%) = 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32 Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume, 343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1 343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2 Multipliers off post-Thanksgiving weekend: Frozen added 8.43x Big Hero 6 added 5.6x Moana added 4.56x Coco added 3.62x Ralph 2 added 3.21x Grinch added 3.73x 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 5, 2019 Author Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, a2k said: Spoiler F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed 2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1 9.41 (+230%) 18.34 (+95%) 12.47 (-32%) = 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32 Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume, 343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1 343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2 IMO Week Wise Week 1 202.87 Week 2 100.16 Week 3 49.82 Week 4 26.95 Week 5 24.46 Week 6 22.88 Week 7 13.10 Week 8 9.17 Week 9 5.50 Week 10 3.85 Rest 11.55 Total 470.29 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 5, 2019 Author Share Posted December 5, 2019 2 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: Queen & Slim 0.92 Ford v Ferrari 0.83 correction 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 44 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Multipliers off post-Thanksgiving weekend: Frozen added 8.43x Big Hero 6 added 5.6x Moana added 4.56x Coco added 3.62x Ralph 2 added 3.21x Grinch added 3.73x None with a fitting and comaparable opening date, though. Thei were either opening on TG or opened earlier. Grinch obviously died after christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 I'd say the post Thanksgiving multipler for F2 would be closest to Moana out of all of them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firepower Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 (8) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $190,000 -29% -36% 2,003 $95 $15,491,537 20 - (12) Joker Warner Bros. $140,000 -18% -70% 1,146 $122 $330,965,547 62 - (-) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $75,000 -21% -62% 877 $86 $30,798,180 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 JOKER 0.140 Wed for 330.655 cume 0.135 Thu // 331.1 0.32 (+140%) 0.50 (+55%) 0.33 (-35%) = 1.15 (-41%) // 332.25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 3 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: IMO Week Wise Week 1 202.87 Week 2 100.16 Week 3 49.82 Week 4 26.95 Week 5 24.46 Week 6 22.88 Week 7 13.10 Week 8 9.17 Week 9 5.50 Week 10 3.85 Rest 11.55 Total 470.29 Maybe more with Christmas no ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 6 hours ago, a2k said: F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed 2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1 9.41 (+230%) 18.34 (+95%) 12.47 (-32%) = 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32 Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume, 343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1 343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2 Early signs show its dropping today. I will confirm in the evening. Dont have precise numbers at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 4 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: IMO Week Wise Week 1 202.87 Week 2 100.16 Week 3 49.82 Week 4 26.95 Week 5 24.46 Week 6 22.88 Week 7 13.10 Week 8 9.17 Week 9 5.50 Week 10 3.85 Rest 11.55 Total 470.29 No impact with SW9 release? Staying flat that weekend would be incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 ABDN 0.81 Wed, 37.14 0.77 (-5%), 37.91 1.85 (+140%) 2.78 (+50%) 1.80 (-35%) = 6.43, 44.34 cume (21.91 away from 5x) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 39 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: No impact with SW9 release? Staying flat that weekend would be incredible. SW9 arrives on 5th week Dec 20-26, both weekend and weekdays can be strong (even the 24th). Family films rarely decrease much in that period. The original Frozen increased by almost 50% on the same week (of course it was an anomaly). It made 47M on Week 5 and 57M on the week after. And it's still mind-blowing how it was able to manage 100M after New Year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 39 minutes ago, misafeco said: SW9 arrives on 5th week Dec 20-26, both weekend and weekdays can be strong (even the 24th). Family films rarely decrease much in that period. The original Frozen increased by almost 50% on the same week (of course it was an anomaly). It made 47M on Week 5 and 57M on the week after. And it's still mind-blowing how it was able to manage 100M after New Year. you are talking about a 200m opener. Screen loss will be big for holdovers. No way F2 wont be impacted. I can see it recover after that weekend but there will be some impact. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: you are talking about a 200m opener. Screen loss will be big for holdovers. No way F2 wont be impacted. I can see it recover after that weekend but there will be some impact. agreed. similar to how different kind of movies were impacted by Frozen2's ow 9 (5) Last Christmas Universal $3,099,535 -52% 2,411 -1,043 $1,286 $27,851,925 3 10 (8) Joker Warner Bros. $2,746,029 -49% 1,410 -927 $1,948 $326,857,842 8 11 (10) Harriet Focus Fea… $2,330,100 -49% 1,346 -665 $1,731 $36,024,155 4 Harriet Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week Nov 1, 2019 4 $11,676,720 2,059 $5,671 $11,676,720 1 Nov 8, 2019 8 $7,406,790 -37% 2,186 $3,388 $23,639,930 2 Nov 15, 2019 10 $4,590,540 -38% 2,011 $2,283 $31,693,530 3 Nov 22, 2019 11 $2,330,100 -49% 1,346 $1,731 $36,024,155 4 Nov 29, 2019 11 $1,846,885 -21% 1,084 $1,704 $39,457,320 5 Joker Nov 1, 2019 2 $13,500,116 -30% 3,519 $3,836 $299,187,108 5 Nov 8, 2019 6 $9,221,303 -32% 2,806 $3,286 $313,512,810 6 Nov 15, 2019 8 $5,338,389 -42% 2,337 $2,284 $322,302,982 7 Nov 22, 2019 10 $2,746,029 -49% 1,410 $1,948 $326,857,842 8 Nov 29, 2019 10 $1,950,478 -29% 1,146 $1,702 $330,523,625 9 Last Christmas Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week Nov 8, 2019 4 $11,441,055 3,448 $3,318 $11,441,055 1 Nov 15, 2019 5 $6,493,930 -43% 3,454 $1,880 $22,369,695 2 Nov 22, 2019 9 $3,099,535 -52% 2,411 $1,286 $27,851,925 3 Nov 29, 2019 9 $2,008,275 -35% 1,852 $1,084 $31,686,250 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 40 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: you are talking about a 200m opener. Screen loss will be big for holdovers. No way F2 wont be impacted. I can see it recover after that weekend but there will be some impact. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekly/2016W51/?ref_=bo_wly_table_3 Moana decreased by only 5% when Rogue One opened, I think it's the best comparison. This year it could be even better because Mon-Thu will be 23-26 which is much better than 18-22 obviously. 38 minutes ago, a2k said: agreed. similar to how different kind of movies were impacted by Frozen2's ow Apples to oranges. We are talking about a specific December week, not just any weekend of a big opener. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...