PAPA NOLAN's TENƎꓕ International Thread. Weekend 5 $16.2mn / $243.7mn Total

[john2000]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

Middle East doing pretty dope.

Saudi looks like $0.9-1mn weekend may be.

UAE most likely $1.3mn.

so what do you think about the os ow can it hit 45mill ?

[lorddemaxus]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Middle East doing pretty dope.

Saudi looks like $0.9-1mn weekend may be.

UAE most likely $1-1.2mn.

So annoying that those are the only two middle eastern countries it has released in so far. Espescially Saudi Arabia which still has a large number of cases compared to other Middle Eastern countries.

[john2000]

some news about the us movie theater reopening based from an article online that i have posted here too as of last weekend 38% of movie theaters in us were open, those theaters represented 37% of the market share, theater count of previous weekend was 1823, so if my math are correct this weekend with 2412 theaters reopen, that number would represent around 52% of movie theaters in the us, with market share i imagine close to it, so by the time tenet comes around 60-65 % of movie theaters in the us could be open and thats without california and new york which together have 700 movie theaters, so not bad , not bad at all, very good

[charlie Jatinder]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TENET?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TENET</a> grossed another est. $7.5mn on Thursday internationally, taking its total to an est. $17mn Approx. Canada has grossed another over $1mn in sneaks. Majority European countries number aren&#39;t reported publicly. Good performance almost everywhere, Korea is a bit downer. <a href="https://t.co/efRqEf2iHW">pic.twitter.com/efRqEf2iHW</a></p>&mdash; charlie Jatinder (@itisjat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/itisjat32/status/1299328620968570880?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[MrPink]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

 

 

What are you expecting by Sunday? About 50m total? Closer to 45?

Edited August 28, 2020 by MrPink

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

What are you expecting by Sunday? About 50m total? Closer to 45?

About 50, bit higher possibly. Though these numbers are based off various extrapolations, so will take not as confidently as I do for other films. But am still confident about these.

[charlie Jatinder]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TENET?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TENET</a> pre-sale in China are off to a good start. The film at end of day will cross $0.7mn in pre-sales, which is a good number 6 days out. The early expectation are $14-15mn opening day from the film, which will presage an opening weekend of $50mn Approx. <a href="https://t.co/YsVdcoUCm8">pic.twitter.com/YsVdcoUCm8</a></p>&mdash; charlie Jatinder (@itisjat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/itisjat32/status/1299376647917903872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Edited August 28, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[Krissykins]

Seems solid for Tenet so far under the circumstances. 
 

I’m also guessing it’ll have a longer run than usual with more cinemas and countries opening up gradually. 

[MrPink]

16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

 

 

I would caution extrapolating too much early just because the Nolan rush for pre-sales is always a bit misleading at the start. I think Dunkirk also had quite strong pre-sales before leveling off to a more expected range. Let's see how it goes.

[john2000]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

Seems solid for Tenet so far under the circumstances. 
 

I’m also guessing it’ll have a longer run than usual with more cinemas and countries opening up gradually. 

its more than solid that would be very good

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

44 minutes ago, john2000 said:

its more than solid that would be very good

Indeed. These numbers are great, those countries alone can produce $200m for it if it opens at $50m this weekend, considering that Unchanged is getting a 4.0x pretty much everywhere thanks to the lack of competition, I fail to see how a Nolan movie would struggle to do it.

Then you have DOM & China that may produce $100m each one, and you already get $400m WW with the rest of the world to follow yet.

It may come closer to Dunkirk than we all expected.

Amazing.

Sent from my iPhone

[IndustriousAngel]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

I’m also guessing it’ll have a longer run than usual with more cinemas and countries opening up gradually. 

 

1 hour ago, MrPink said:

I would caution extrapolating too much early just because the Nolan rush for pre-sales is always a bit misleading at the start.

What we have to consider is the absence of anything resembling competition. In recent history, there rarely (or never) was a movie that had virtually the whole market to itself (even if it's a coronally smaller market now). Today we're used to oversaturation with attractive releases, but for weeks to come Tenet will be the only big-scale actioner on the big screen. I'd guess we'll see some very nice holds!

Edited August 28, 2020 by IndustriousAngel

[MrPink]

13 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

 

What we have to consider is the absence of anything resembling competition. In recent history, there rarely (or never) was a movie that had virtually the whole market to itself (even if it's a coronally smaller market now). Today we're used to oversaturation with attractive releases, but for weeks to come Tenet will be the only big-scale actioner on the big screen. I'd guess we'll see some very nice holds!

 

Oh I'm just referring to China in this instance which does seem to be up and running as a market. The rest of the world should hopefully hold well!

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

TENET T-6 Days

 

Previews: ¥0.42mn (+¥0.22mn) on 1.2k shows

Friday: ¥2.25mn (+¥1.26mn) on 25.5k shows

Saturday: ¥1.1mn (+¥0.7mn) on 9.2k shows

Sunday: ¥0.61mn (+¥0.34mn) on 8k shows

 

Total: ¥4.38mn (¥2.51mn)

 

Good follow up day. Let's keep having such good usual days.

 

Comps

  Reveal hidden contents

Time	TENET		Dunkirk
	Gross	Change	Gross	Change
T-13 Days			¥0.53
T-12 Days			¥0.83	¥0.30
T-11 Days			¥0.93	¥0.10
T-10 Days			¥1.70	¥0.77
T-9 Days			¥2.01	¥0.31
T-8 Days			¥2.35	¥0.34
T-7 Days	¥0.99		¥2.66	¥0.31
T-6 Days	¥2.25	¥1.26	¥3.15	¥0.49
T-5 Days	¥3.55	¥1.30	¥3.71	¥0.56
T-4 Days	¥5.09	¥1.54	¥4.26	¥0.55
T-3 Days	¥7.76	¥2.67	¥4.96	¥0.70
T-2 Days	¥11.63	¥3.87	¥6.63	¥1.67
T-1 Days	¥17.62	¥5.99	¥9.31	¥2.68
T-0 Days	¥29.92	¥12.30	¥16.85	¥7.54
OD	¥97.25		¥57.53
PSm	3.25		3.41

 

 

[DAJK]

@charlie Jatinder does your tweet mean that Canada is at 1M total after 2 days, or that 1M was from Thursday alone? (~1.5M after 2 days)

[charlie Jatinder]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Some Friday international numbers for <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TENET?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TENET</a><br><br>South Korea: $744k (+25%) / $2.88mn<br>Taiwan: $0.7mn (+25%) / $1.25mn<br>Vietnam: $0.14mn (+50%) / $0.23mn<br><br>Opening better than <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Interstellar?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Interstellar</a> in Taiwan. <a href="https://t.co/WZlSIkQKm8">pic.twitter.com/WZlSIkQKm8</a></p>&mdash; charlie Jatinder (@itisjat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/itisjat32/status/1299384666307264512?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[Lighthouse]

Wait those numbers are good. I was expecting much worse thanks to the other thread

 

Edit: if it's just predictions ... oh well.

 

 

Edited August 28, 2020 by Lighthouse

[john2000]

so there is a very good chance that San Fransisco and San Diego , new york and new jersay (this one is almost certain ) will open on sept

[charlie Jatinder]

The revised schedule, which includes some minor tweaks, appears below.

 

Week 1

Quote

 

August 26:

Austria. Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Egypt, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Korea, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom

 

August 27:

Australia, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Holland, Malaysia, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Slovakia, Taiwan, Thailand, United Arab Emirates

 

August 28:

East Africa, Norway, South Africa, Vietnam

 

Week 2

Quote

 

September 3: US, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia

September 4: China, Ghana, Nigeria

 

Week 3

Quote

September 10: Bahrain, Hong Kong, Israel, Kuwait, Middle East – Other, Qatar, Uruguay

Week 4

Quote

 

September 16: Mexico

September 17: Azerbaijan, CIS Others, Kazakhstan,

September 18: India, Japan, Romania

 

Week 5

Quote

 

September 24: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama, Peru

September 25: Venezuela

 

Week 6

October 1: Cyprus

 

Week 7

October 15: Colombia

 

TBD: Lebanon, Puerto Rico, Indonesia (tentative September 16), Philippines (tentative, end of September).

[lor15]

Argentina won't open september 24th, almost 100% sure.