jedijake Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 3 hours ago, interiorgatordecorator said: LOLLOLOLOL-Good GOD I hope nobody's getting PAID for those prediction!!! Are these predictions for OW WW? $300 million each for Avatar 2 and the 3 MCU films? They are pissing without even calling it rain! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 5 hours ago, jedijake said: LOLLOLOLOL-Good GOD I hope nobody's getting PAID for those prediction!!! Are these predictions for OW WW? $300 million each for Avatar 2 and the 3 MCU films? They are pissing without even calling it rain! Yeah, they don't even seem to be trying with these. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dudalb Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 I think, it we look at overall picture instead of being obssesed with how individual films do, that this 8% inflation is going to hurt box office. People will have to cut back, and the entertainment budget will be the first thing they cut. I think people will become more selective and save their money for the films they really want to see, and some they might have sort of liked to have seen they will pass by. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted April 17, 2022 Share Posted April 17, 2022 3 hours ago, dudalb said: I think, it we look at overall picture instead of being obssesed with how individual films do, that this 8% inflation is going to hurt box office. People will have to cut back, and the entertainment budget will be the first thing they cut. I think people will become more selective and save their money for the films they really want to see, and some they might have sort of liked to have seen they will pass by. Not sure when these were made, but if they are going with $450 million for JWD (a realistic conservative number), then there's no excuse to put the 3 MCU movies and Avatar 2 all at $300 million. That's not taking anything into consideration. That's just being plain ignorant. If they had the MCU films at $400 million each and Avatar2 at $500 million I might at least take it somewhat seriously. Still WAY too conservative at least for a few of them. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 For summer, here’s my top ten guesses 1. Jurassic World Dominion - $195m/$575m 2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $200m/$475m 3. Thor: Love and Thunder - $175m/$475m 4. Lightyear - $90m/$285m 5. Minions: The Rise of Gru - $70m/$235m 6. Nope - $55m/$230m 7. Top Gun Maverick - $75m/$200m 8. DC League of Super Pets - $45m/$140m 9. Bullet Train - $50m/$140m 10. Elvis - $35m/$120m 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 1 minute ago, YourMother said: For summer, here’s my top ten guesses 1. Jurassic World Dominion - $195m/$575m 2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $200m/$475m 3. Thor: Love and Thunder - $175m/$475m 4. Lightyear - $90m/$285m 5. Minions: The Rise of Gru - $70m/$235m 6. Nope - $55m/$230m 7. Top Gun Maverick - $75m/$200m 8. DC League of Super Pets - $45m/$140m 9. Bullet Train - $50m/$140m 10. Elvis - $35m/$120m Fun Fact: No 200M Opener has till this day failed to reach 600M DOM. So if DS opens at 200, i have a very hard time seeing it fail to gross atleast 500M+. Would need afwul WOM for that i guess. Also, Jurassic World is too low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 Just now, Brainbug the Dinosaur said: Fun Fact: No 200M Opener has till this day failed to reach 600M DOM. So if DS opens at 200, i have a very hard time seeing it fail to gross atleast 500M+. Would need afwul WOM for that i guess. Also, Jurassic World is too low. Most had holidays, I suspect Multiverse will be more frontloaded than usual ala Civil War or Iron Man 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 (edited) 230 for Nope feels like a reach. Higher than both Us and Get Out? I know they're being compared, but Signs did 227m. And only (live action) original films over 200m since Avatar: 2013: Gravity- 274m 2012: Ted- 218m 2010: Inception- 292m Borderline: 2018: Bohemian Rhapsody- 216m (biopic about Queen, so not original) 2015: The Martian- 228m (based on book, so not original) 2014: American Sniper- 350m (based on person/book, so not original) 2013: WWZ- 202m (based on book so not original) Quiet Place "only" hit 188m. Dunkirk tapped out at 190. Interstellar at 188m. Edited April 19, 2022 by BestPicturePlutoNash Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: 230 for Nope feels like a reach. Higher than both Us and Get Out? I know they're being compared, but Signs did 227m. And only (live action) original films over 200m since Avatar: 2013: Gravity- 274m 2012: Ted- 218m 2010: Inception- 292m Borderline: 2018: Bohemian Rhapsody- 216m (biopic about Queen, so not original) 2015: The Martian- 228m (based on book, so not original) 2014: American Sniper- 350m (based on person/book, so not original) 2013: WWZ- 202m (based on book so not original) Quiet Place "only" hit 188m. Dunkirk tapped out at 190. Interstellar at 188m. It’s a gut feeling moreso than straight prediction. If the GA loves this one like love loves it, I think legs will be surprisingly strong especially with a weak July. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 22 minutes ago, YourMother said: For summer, here’s my top ten guesses 1. Jurassic World Dominion - $195m/$575m 2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - $200m/$475m 3. Thor: Love and Thunder - $175m/$475m 4. Lightyear - $90m/$285m 5. Minions: The Rise of Gru - $70m/$235m 6. Nope - $55m/$230m 7. Top Gun Maverick - $75m/$200m 8. DC League of Super Pets - $45m/$140m 9. Bullet Train - $50m/$140m 10. Elvis - $35m/$120m Similar to mine. I’m more bullish on Lightyear and less on Nope, but I mostly agree on the rest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 (edited) The 200M opener 600M total thing is basically at the level of a coincidence — it used to be the case that a 200M opening meant truly striking the zeitgeist, which also led to great legs. But nowadays 200M is a lot easier — plenty of movies have a modern equivalent OW over 200M but worse than 2.5x legs. If nope can do like 60% of Signs admits that could be good for 230M, not that I think that will actually happen. Edited April 19, 2022 by Thanos Legion 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted April 19, 2022 Share Posted April 19, 2022 Nope I see having a similar run to Us imo. Maybe smaller opening/better legs, but a total around the same (175). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 (edited) Wild, updated last min predix Dr. Strange- 200m OW. 510m DOM Top Gun- 60m 3day/210m DOM Jurassic World- 175m OW/490m (higher?) Lightyear- 100m OW/350m DOM (lower?) Elvis- 25m OW/92m DOM (but there's room for improvement, just being conservative for now) The Black Phone- 15m OW/40m DOM Minions- 60m OW/215m DOM Thor- 165m OW/430m DOM (was thinking 180 OW, but I'll be safe with 165) Nope- 50m OW/155m DOM Bullet Train- 35m OW/125m DOM (again, another with high potential) Superpets- 22m OW/75m DOM (no idea) Others final dom predix: Downton Abbey- 60m Where The Crawdads Sing- 50m Bodies Bodies Bodies- 45m Edited April 20, 2022 by BestPicturePlutoNash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Nope- 150m OW/155m DOM Worst legs ever. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said: Worst legs ever. Peele in his M. Night era 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said: Worst legs ever. Substantially better than Long Day’s Journey into Night 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eevin Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 summer predix– Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - 200/480 Jurassic World: Dominion - 160/425 Thor: Love and Thunder - 150/400 Lightyear - 100/310 Minions: The Rise of Gru - 75/220 Nope - 50/160 Top Gun: Maverick - 60/150 DC League of Super-Pets - 40/140 Bullet Train - 40/120 Elvis - 30/110 whoops not trying to copy you @YourMother lol. i'm not as bullish on JW but 400+ seems likely no matter what 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted April 21, 2022 Share Posted April 21, 2022 (edited) My updated counter-predictions for the-numbers list (after Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse delay) Avatar 2 $500m (Dec 16th - Jan 1st) Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness $450m (+40m) Thor: Love and Thunder $410m The Batman $375m (-15m) Jurassic World: Dominion $340m Lightyear $320m Top Gun: Maverick $210m Minions: The Rise of Gru $210m I don't see any other +200m films in 2022. Sonic 2 won't do it, Black Adam and the second Shazam! have very small chances, and Wakanda won't be released in 2022 Imo. Edited April 21, 2022 by Juby 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted April 21, 2022 Share Posted April 21, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Juby said: My updated counter-predictions for the-numbers list (after Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse delay) Avatar 2 $500m (Dec 16th - Jan 1st) Where do you have it ending up? 1 was at 283 by january 1 Edited April 21, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted April 21, 2022 Share Posted April 21, 2022 On 3/17/2022 at 1:10 AM, Thanos Legion said: Some quick hits in release order: Morbius 150 (lol) Sonic 200 (nice) Dumbledore 100 (nice) DS2 480 JW3 620 Lightyear 300 Thor 520 Spiderverse 300 Black Adam 180 BP2 666M because luciferase Shazam2 180 Avatar 2 450 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...