The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Drake said:

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	181	5243	35535	14.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 147

 

Comp

2.494x of Black Widow T-11 (32.92M)

3.079x of Eternals T-11 (29.25M)

0.319x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-11 (15.95M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.363x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-11 (14.52M)

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	181	5375	35535	15.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 132

 

Comp

2.430x of Black Widow T-10 (32.07M)

2.955x of Eternals T-10 (28.07M)

0.315x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-10 (15.78M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.366x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-10 (14.64M)

[Porthos]

On 2/20/2022 at 11:26 PM, Porthos said:

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	285	30994	35462*	4468	12.60%

* NOTE: One theater's seat map was corrected resulting in two fewer seats available region wide.

 

Total Seats Sold Today

130

 

T-11 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
ET	199.46		83	2240		0/96	13301/15541	14.41%		18.95m
NWH	26.28		467	16999		0/308	20553/37552	45.27%		13.14m

 

T-11 Adjusted Comp 

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	152.13		108	2766		0/119	16494/19260	14.36%		21.03m
Bats (BW adj)	---		107	4208		0/234	25348/29556	14.24%		---

COMP NOTE: The Batman comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: Bats (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

 

Tuesday Sales:        663/815     [81.35% sold]     [+0 tickets]

Wednesday Sales:   991/1301   [76.17% sold]     [+6 tickets]

Thursday Sales:    2814/33346  [8.44% sold]  [+124 tickets]

---

Regal:  1158/10475  [11.05% sold] [+24 tickets]

Matinee: 199/4799   [4.15% | 4.45% of all tickets sold]

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	288	30971	35604	4633	13.01%

 

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	3
Total Net Seats Added Today	142
Total Seats Sold Today	165

 

T-10 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
ET	195.98		124	2364		0/96	13177/15541	15.21%		18.62m
NWH	26.60		416	17415		0/308	20137/37552	46.38%		13.30m

 

T-10 Adjusted Comp 

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	149.69		108	2908		0/119	16352/19260	15.10%		20.69m
Bats (BW adj)	---		145	4353		0/237	25345/29698	14.66%		---

COMP NOTE: The Batman comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: Bats (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

 

Tuesday Sales:        662/815     [81.23 sold]       [-1 tickets]

Wednesday Sales: 1001/1301   [76.94% sold]   [+10 tickets]

Thursday Sales:    2814/33346  [8.44% sold]  [+156 tickets]

---

Regal:  1176/10661  [11.03% sold] [+18 tickets]

Matinee: 203/4893   [4.15% | 4.38% of all tickets sold]

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

I’m very curious where the comps will settle. Hard to see it over $25M at this juncture and while I feel like it’ll stay over $20M, some of the extrapolations also point to upper teens. 

[Cooper Legion]

Taken as a whole regionals suggest sub 20 from tue wed Th right now imo. MTCs similar. Really going to need a stronger review pop than the comps.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 2/17/2022 at 10:32 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-12	Batman (Tue)	Jacksonville	2	2	841	430	6	51.13%
		Phoenix	1	1	410	396	0	96.59%
		Raleigh	1	1	151	146	0	96.69%
	Batman (Tue) Total		4	4	1,402	972	6	69.33%
T-13	Batman (Wed)	Jacksonville	5	8	1,166	465	16	39.88%
		Phoenix	2	2	318	214	0	67.30%
	Batman (Wed) Total		7	10	1,484	679	16	45.75%
T-14	Batman	Jacksonville	7	125	20,403	721	33	3.53%
		Phoenix	6	107	17,555	1,174	36	6.69%
		Raleigh	28	104	11,626	1,017	54	8.75%
	Batman Total		41	336	49,584	2,912	123	5.87%

 

Batman T-14 comps (Thu sales only)

Spider-Man - .177x (8.84m)

Black Widow - 1.537x (20.28m)

Eternals - 2.116x (20.1m)

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New*	% Sold
T-7	Batman (Tue)	Jacksonville	2	2	841	448	18	53.27%
		Phoenix	1	1	410	399	3	97.32%
		Raleigh	1	1	151	146	0	96.69%
	Batman (Tue) Total		4	4	1,402	993	21	70.83%
T-8	Batman (Wed)	Jacksonville	5	8	1,166	547	82	46.91%
		Phoenix	2	2	318	236	22	74.21%
	Batman (Wed) Total		7	10	1,484	783	104	52.76%
T-9	Batman	Jacksonville	7	125	20,403	892	171	4.37%
		Phoenix	6	108	17,617	1,457	283	8.27%
		Raleigh	28	105	11,723	1,227	210	10.47%
	Batman Total		41	338	49,743	3,576	664	7.19%

 

*New sales since Thursday morning.

 

Batman T-9 comps (Thu sales only)

Spider-Man - .184x (9.2m)

Black Widow - 1.458x (19.25m)

Eternals - 1.998x (18.98m)

[Maggie]

12 minutes ago, Derby Legion said:

Taken as a whole regionals suggest sub 20 from tue wed Th right now imo. MTCs similar. Really going to need a stronger review pop than the comps.

So, if it does let's say 20M previews, what does that mean for the weekend?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

6 minutes ago, Maggie said:

So, if it does let's say 20M previews, what does that mean for the weekend?

$120-140M

[Cooper Legion]

10 minutes ago, Maggie said:

So, if it does let's say 20M previews, what does that mean for the weekend?

100-125

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Just now, Derby Legion said:

100-125

Going real low on that IM. Can’t see it lower than NWH. 

[Liiviig 1998]

6 minutes ago, Derby Legion said:

100-125

5x IM???. 100m no way.

125-160m depending on WOM.

[Cooper Legion]

If anybody is assuming it must go over 100… I would stop assuming that. It’s pretty likely but a preview of like 18 could definitely miss.

[AnDr3s]

31 minutes ago, Maggie said:

So, if it does let's say 20M previews, what does that mean for the weekend?

At least 20m

[Tokugennumataka]

Literally every film with a preview higher than 14.1M has opened over 100M. No chance The Batman misses that 

[Notthereverseflash24]

5 minutes ago, AnDr3s said:

At least 20m

King of comedy (1982)

[cookieleeann]

Are people expecting The Batman to be super front loaded?? I don't know the history of Batman's internal numbers on OW to determine that but I would expect that it wouldn't be super front loaded right? 

[Menor the Destroyer]

The two extra days will lower the IM. Let's say (just throwing out some numbers) the normal previews would have been 20 for a 140 million weekend but 3m worth of business maybe got shifted to previews due to the extended time. That lowers the IM by almost a full point.

Edited February 22, 2022 by Menor Reborn

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

7 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Literally every film with a preview higher than 14.1M has opened over 100M. No chance The Batman misses that 

 

2 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

The two extra days will lower the IM.

Menor is right. Extra demand being burnt off will hurt the IM. Still hard to see it going below 6, though.

[Tokugennumataka]

Do we know if the Tue and Wed previews will be counted to Thursday previews or will they be rolled into the weekend numbers? 

[AnDr3s]

24 minutes ago, cookieleeann said:

Are people expecting The Batman to be super front loaded?? I don't know the history of Batman's internal numbers on OW to determine that but I would expect that it wouldn't be super front loaded right? 

 

BvS 6x
TDKR 5.25x
TDK 8.5x

average of 6.5x

Edited February 22, 2022 by AnDr3s

[sabrecmc]

Tickets for the BTS concert from Korea showing went on sale this morning.  AMCs around here have 2 shows, 1 day only (March 12), and seems to be selling well, though they are in smaller theaters.  Had to get tickets for my daughter and her friends first thing this morning.  $35 per ticket.  Couple of showings already sold out except for handicap.  Obviously, Kpop fans are ready to return to the theater lol. Should be fun.