The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[XXR & Friends]

20 minutes ago, Villain Legion said:

Wed shows+ 3 on Th is new normal imo. Only questions whether DS2 does 3+no wed or 3+ wed.

I feel like there won’t be because Marvel will try to avoid spoilers (and they don’t need to build hype/buzz). 3PM Thursday seems likely though. I’ll bet the IM will be 5.5-6.

[Eric is Quiet]

8 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Why Sing 2 comp? I think Uncharted comp may be good. If Uncharted sales started later, I guess do first x days sales for a few days?

Sing 2 is a major kids title like Sonic 2. It and Encanto are the only real options I have in that field, and while both aren't presales-driven, they are better than nothing.

 

I do plan on adding in Uncharted later on, though I am lost on what else to use. Jungle Cruise and Free Guy were originals (yes I know JC is based on a ride hush), so their patterns are different and weird.

 

EDIT: Oh yeah, Ghostbusters will be another comp for this later on.

[keysersoze123]

Morbius(T-17)

MTC2 Previews - 9578/388972 129082.08 2330 shows

 

That is a strong start. @Menor Reborn do you remember comps. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-10	Lost City	Jacksonville	6	21	3,284	52	2	1.58%
		Phoenix	6	17	2,952	56	4	1.90%
		Raleigh	8	19	2,401	52	2	2.17%
	Lost City Total		20	57	8,637	160	8	1.85%
T-3	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0	Jacksonville	6	19	2,236	389	22	17.40%
		Phoenix	6	12	1,419	487	60	34.32%
		Raleigh	7	11	1,150	332	37	28.87%
	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0 Total		19	42	4,805	1,208	119	25.14%
T-3	X	Jacksonville	7	11	1,406	22	22	1.56%
		Phoenix	6	8	754	32	32	4.24%
		Raleigh	8	10	774	10	10	1.29%
	X Total		21	29	2,934	64	64	2.18%

 

Jujustu T-3 comp

 - MHA (OD) - 1.12x (3.23m)

 

X T-3 comps

 - Res Evil - .57x (534k)

 - Candyman - .405x (770k)

 

Lost City T-10 comp (Thu sales only)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.51x (4.08m)

 

*First Free Guy run was T-9

 

Other Tracking

The Outfit - 20

  - Blacklight - 17

  - Belfast - 23

  - Night House - 18

Umma - 11

  - Queenpins - 6

  - Night House - 18

Lost City (3/19 EA) - 9

Lost City (3/22 EA) - 12

Lost City (3/23 EA) - 6

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-16	Morbius	Jacksonville	6	68	11,325	133	133	1.17%
		Phoenix	6	48	8,992	101	101	1.12%
		Raleigh	6	28	3,776	118	118	3.13%
	Morbius Total		18	144	24,093	352	352	1.46%
T-2	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0	Jacksonville	6	19	2,236	446	57	19.95%
		Phoenix	6	14	1,765	536	49	30.37%
		Raleigh	8	13	1,299	370	38	28.48%
	Jujutsu Kaisen: 0 Total		20	46	5,300	1,352	144	25.51%
T-2	X	Jacksonville	7	11	1,406	27	5	1.92%
		Phoenix	6	8	754	40	8	5.31%
		Raleigh	8	10	774	22	12	2.84%
	X Total		21	29	2,934	89	25	3.03%
T-22	Sonic (EA)	Jacksonville	5	6	942	20	20	2.12%
		Phoenix	1	1	208	25	25	12.02%
		Raleigh	1	1	261	13	13	4.98%
	Sonic (EA) Total		7	8	1,411	58	58	4.11%
T-23	Sonic	Jacksonville	6	36	5,221	42	42	0.80%
		Phoenix	6	17	3,093	48	48	1.55%
		Raleigh	6	19	2,654	38	38	1.43%
	Sonic Total		18	72	10,968	128	128	1.17%
T-9	Lost City	Jacksonville	6	21	3,284	59	7	1.80%
		Phoenix	6	16	2,798	62	6	2.22%
		Raleigh	8	19	2,401	56	4	2.33%
	Lost City Total		20	56	8,483	177	17	2.09%

 

Jujustu T-2 comp

 - MHA (OD) - 1.16x (3.34m)

 

X T-2 comps

 - Res Evil - .64x (599k)

 - Candyman - .437x (829k)

 

Lost City T-9 comps (Thu sales only)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.45x (3.92m)

 - Uncharted - 0.44x (1.63m)

 - Free Guy - 1.79x (3.93m)

 

Morbius day 1 comps

 - Eternals - .46x (4.38m) (T-23)

 - SC - .67x (5.93m) (T-16 Raleigh only)

 - Venom 2 - .998x (11.57m) (T-17)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.51x (10.31m) (T-21)

 

Didn't track any other kids movies nearly this far out so no comps yet for Sonic.

 

Other Tracking

The Outfit - 22

  - Blacklight - 23

  - Night House - 24

Umma - 11

  - Night House - 24

Lost City (3/19 EA) - 14

Lost City (3/22 EA) - 6

Lost City (3/23 EA) - 6

[Menor the Destroyer]

37 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Morbius(T-17)

MTC2 Previews - 9578/388972 129082.08 2330 shows

 

That is a strong start. @Menor Reborn do you remember comps. 

Hmm, that's higher than SC day 1, way over Venom 2.

[Dragoncaine]

Morbius is really about to at least double The Suicide Squad's domestic opening weekend...

[Krissykins]

6 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Morbius is really about to at least double The Suicide Squad's domestic opening weekend...

Yeh anything under $50m for Morbius would be concerning IMO. Should be the absolute floor for it. 

[DAJK]

Lol I had no idea Daniel Espinosa directed Morbius. I actually quite enjoyed 2017’s Life.

[Tinalera]

Double Header!

Toronto Ontario Greater Toronto Area

 

Morbius  Thurs March 31 taken March 15

13 Theatres

53 shows

 

Total Sold 277

Total Remaining 12912

Total Seats 13189

Percentage 2.1 percent

 

 

The Lost City March 24

13 Theatres 

20 shows

 

Total Sold 10

Total Remaining 7185

Percentage .14 percent

 

 

Too early to judge anything but Morbius is already in single digits percentage wise despite being a week later whereas Lost City...is what it is, something minor to see there

 

 

 

[el sid]

Morbius counted today at 10am EST for Friday, April 1 (17 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 187 (10 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 77 (11 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): no showtimes so far (hmm)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): also no showtimes so far
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 5 (10 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 76 (11 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 86 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 5 theaters: 431.
 

Comps: Because Morbius has so far no showtimes in 2 of the theaters where I counted the sales of BW it's not a very good comp at the moment. BW had in 4 theaters (the AMCs Fresh Meadows, Grand Rapids, Lakeline and Centerpoint) 300 sold tickets after one day. In the same 2 theaters (AMC Fresh Meadows and AMC Centerpoint) BW had in sum 221 sold tickets and Morbius has in sum 192. It's remarkable that the presales of Morbius in NY are almost on par (187 to 193) but way behind in Arizona (5 to 28). Maybe more a film for the coasts?

And TSS had with 20 days left but with tickets already on sale since a few days 292 sold tickets for Friday in 7 theaters (and 290 sold tickets in the same 5). So at least 2x TSS's weekend number is a good guess at the moment IMO.
Overall I would say that is a quite decent start for Morbius.

 

The Lost City counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, March 24:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 56 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 15 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 21 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 6 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 8 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 68 (5 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 70 (3 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 244.

Up 17% since Saturday.
Comps: Marry Me's final presales number for Thursday was 198.
The number is quite good but I don't expect a big rush till the release week.
 

Jujutsu Kaisen 0 had yesterday in 6 theaters 921 sold tickets. And in the AMC Fresh Meadows it had today 293 sold tickets and gets now 10 showtimes (4 added since yesterday).
Means it has now in sum in my 7 theaters 1.214 sold tickets (respectively a bit more because I didn't count the 6 other theaters today but will tomorrow). A very nice number!

[Issac Newton]

Give me more numbers!!!!!

[BruiseCruise]

The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent at 100 on RT with average score of 7.4 

[Dragoncaine]

18 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent at 100 on RT with average score of 7.4 

Really excited for this, X, Lost City, and Bodies Bodies Bodies. Hoping they perform well

Edited March 15, 2022 by Dragoncaine

[SchumacherFTW]

3 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Give me more numbers!!!!!

Get Gojo to Flash his baby blues and they might appear 🤣

[Inceptionzq]

Morbius Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

95

1240

7.66%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

43

1438

2.99%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
277	N/A	14492	1.91%	14	77

 

AMCs sold	218
Cinemarks sold	32
Regals sold	19
Harkins sold	8

 

0.356x Eternals Day 2 comp (3.38M)

1.38x Venom 2 Day 2 comp (16.01M)

0.539x Shang-Chi Day 2 comp (4.74M)

[poweranimals]

I find it interesting that it's tracking above Venom 2. I wonder if it's a good comp.

[Inceptionzq]

Morbius Megaplex

 

Thursday(55 showings): 175/19980 in 15 theaters

0.309x Eternals Day 2 (2.94M)

1.33x Venom 2 Day 2 (15.43M)

0.359x Shang-Chi Day 2 (3.16M)

 

Friday(110 showings): 149/38296 in 15 theaters

0.540x Eternals Day 2 (11.52M)

1.09x Venom 2 Day 2 (28.14M)

0.528x Shang-Chi Day 2 (10.93M)

 

Saturday(106 showings): 59/36612 in 15 theaters

0.355x Eternals Day 2 (8.56M)

 

Sunday(88 showings): 25/29814 in 12 theaters

0.362x Eternals Day 2 (5.91M)

[Inceptionzq]

4 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I find it interesting that it's tracking above Venom 2. I wonder if it's a good comp.

I think Venom 2 underperformed in both Denver and at Megaplex and on top of that had very strong walkups. It'll come down a lot especially once I shift to the T-X comps(which I will probably do tomorrow)

[Inceptionzq]

Morbius Drafthouse

 

Thursday(103 showings): 723/16632 ATP: $14.70

 

Friday(126 showings): 599/20955 ATP: $14.79

 

Saturday(144 showings): 581/24070 ATP: $13.86

 

Sunday(130 showings): 210/21550 ATP: $12.96

[keysersoze123]

15 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I find it interesting that it's tracking above Venom 2. I wonder if it's a good comp.

Venom 2  is the best comp considering they are part of the same universe !!! That said it does not need the same level of surge as Venom 2 for sure to have a good weekend. Its going to open big for sure.