The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Alex SciChannel]

22 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Batman	T-0	Jax	7	142	575	2,496	21,693	11.51%
		Phx	7	133	624	3,732	19,467	19.17%
		Ral	28	104	520	2,837	11,614	24.43%
	Total		42	379	1,719	9,065	52,774	17.18%
Doctor Strange 2	1-Hr	Jax	7	187	942	7,638	26,589	28.73%
		Phx	7	172	585	7,810	22,029	35.45%
		Ral	8	161	816	7,626	17,407	43.81%
	Total		22	520	2,343	23,074	66,025	34.95%
Dune	1-Hr	Jax	7	47	211	959	6,928	13.84%
		Phx	7	34	147	977	4,463	21.89%
		Ral	8	25	180	814	3,195	25.48%
	Total		22	106	538	2,750	14,586	18.85%
Ghostbusters	1-Hr	Jax	7	69	258	821	10,952	7.50%
		Phx	7	41	174	885	6,665	13.28%
		Ral	8	38	160	678	4,991	13.58%
	Total		22	148	592	2,384	22,608	10.54%
JW3	1-Hr	Jax	7	119	1,101	3,846	16,830	22.85%
		Phx	7	107	593	3,049	16,578	18.39%
		Ral	8	87	717	2,923	9,858	29.65%
	Total		22	313	2,411	9,818	43,266	22.69%
JW3+JP	1-Hr	Jax	5	5	0	198	811	24.41%
		Phx	6	6	-2	415	638	65.05%
		Ral	7	7	21	257	688	37.35%
	Total		18	18	19	870	2,137	40.71%
No Time to Die	1-Hr	Jax	7	73	162	860	11,145	7.72%
		Phx	7	59	107	834	7,197	11.59%
		Ral	7	40	213	1,037	4,417	23.48%
	Total		21	172	482	2,731	22,759	12.00%
Shang-Chi	1-Hr	Jax	6	60	493	1,423	8,619	16.51%
		Phx	7	51	262	1,349	7,193	18.75%
		Ral	8	40	332	1,327	4,505	29.46%
	Total		21	151	1,087	4,099	20,317	20.18%
Top Gun 2	1-Hr	Jax	7	129	641	2,931	20,520	14.28%
		Phx	7	108	283	2,817	16,665	16.90%
		Ral	8	92	399	2,326	10,132	22.96%
	Total		22	329	1,323	8,074	47,317	17.06%

 

So I wanted to change it up and put all of the final runs in my post for comparison sake.  The first thing that jumped out to me was that JW3 had more sales today than any of these other movies did on preview day in the same time frame.  That's pretty crazy.  I believe it's second only to NWH (3,639) from movies I've tracked. (Confirmed)   ATP finished at 14.85 which is also higher than a lot of the comps

 

JW3 T-1 hr comps

 - Black Widow - 1.334x (17.6m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - Eternals - 1.828x (17.36m)

 - F9 - 2.56x (18.17m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Thu) - 1.216x (17.88m)

 - Top Gun 2 + EA - missed EA

 - Dune - 3.57x (18.21m)

 - Ghostbusters - 4.12x (17.09m)

 - Shang-Chi - 2.39x (21.08m)

All action movies - 18.28m

All PG-13 movies - 19.86m

All movies - 19.5m

 

Really good walkups make me thing this one will in fact reach 18m.  If we include double feature $ in previews, even higher!

 

JW3 + Double Feature T-1 hr comps

 - Black Widow - 1.452x (19.16m)

 - Eternals - 1.99x (18.9m)

 - F9 - 2.79x (19.78m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Thu) - 1.324x (19.46m)

 

Overall top sales comps

 

Movie	Previews	T-hr Sales	Comp
Spider-Man	50,000,000	34,681	$15,409,014
Doctor Strange 2	36,000,000	23,074	$16,675,392
JW3	???	10,688
Top Gun 2	14,700,000	8,074	$19,459,202
Black Widow	13,200,000	7,362	$19,163,488
Eternals	9,500,000	5,372	$18,900,968
Shang-Chi	8,800,000	4,099	$22,945,694
F9: The Fast Saga	7,100,000	3,836	$19,782,273
Fantastic Beasts 3	6,000,000	3,445	$18,614,804
Morbius	5,700,000	2,950	$20,651,390
Dune	5,100,000	2,750	$19,821,382
No Time to Die	5,200,000	2,731	$20,350,641
Halloween Kills	4,850,000	2,493	$20,792,940
Ghostbusters	4,150,000	2,384	$18,605,369
Jujutsu Kaisen: 0	2,880,000	2,004	$15,360,000
Suicide Squad	4,100,000	1,958	$22,380,388
Downton Abbey + EA	1,800,000	1,470	$13,087,347
Jungle Cruise	2,700,000	1,102	$26,186,570
Lost City	2,500,000	1,003	$26,640,080

 

Raleigh coming to save the day 😜

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

True Friday Tracking -- Jurassic World: Dominion -- 15 Alpha Theaters in Various Markets (331 Screens) -- Counted Thursday @ 4PM CST 

 

 

 

Jurassic World: Dominion

444 show times -- 14817 total seats sold -- 9569 PLF seats sold -- 767 3-D seats sold -- 4481 regular seats sold 

Type Breakdown: 64.6% PLF -- 5.2% 3D -- 30.2% Regular 

Theater Estimates: ~4650

 

Comps

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (0.4647x = $25.43M True Friday)

The Batman (0.8144x = $28.51M True Friday)

Top Gun: Maverick (1.108x = $36.29M True Friday)

 

 

True Friday Estimate: $39M

Full Friday Estimate: $56M
Opening Weekend Estimate: $137M 

 

Spoiler

Comments 

Lots of variables on this thing. On the one hand, we know the Jurassic franchise is far more walk up heavy than any CBM (and likely TGM). On the other, TGM is a WOM monster and JWD is looking to have weak WOM. I think that will affect JWD more than it did Fallen Kingdom in 2018. 

 

 

Notes 
PLF = IMAX, Dolby Cinema, AMC Prime 
Regular = Digital, Subtitled, Non-English Language, Close Captioned 

3D = Real 3D 

Theaters Tracked 

AMC Disney Springs 24 (Orlando, FL)
AMC Empire 25 (New York City, NY)
AMC Gulf Pointe 30 (Houston, TX) 
AMC DINE-IN Grapevine 30 (Dallas, TX)
AMC Southlake 24 (Atlanta, GA)
AMC Boston Commons 19 (Boston, MA)
AMC Town Square 18 (Las Vegas, NV)
AMC Elmwood Palace 20 (New Orleans, LA)
AMC Indianapolis 17 (Indianapolis, IN)
AMC Century City 15 (Los Angeles, CA)
AMC South Barrington 24 (Chicago, IL)
AMC Barrywoods 24 (Kansas City, MO)
AMC River Park Square 20 (Spokane, WA)
AMC Council Bluffs 17 (Omaha, NE)
AMC Quail Spring 24 (Oklahoma City, OK)

 

[Brainbug]

18M in Previews would be really good in my opinion. Of course, Dominion will probably not come close to a preview-to-OW multiplier of 9,67 like Fallen Kingdom had, but assuming that number comes down to an 8, it would still mean a 144M OW. So if it creeps any higher than that, 150M is on the table.

 

This is ofc assuming it really does reaches that 18M, WOM is good enough to get it there and walk-ups dont crumble. So lets call it the optimistic scenario i guess.

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [12:00pm - 12:50pm]

 

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	290	24248	33738	9490	28.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Last Night

1071

 

T-0 [Mid-Day] Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW [12:00-12:55]	121.12		891	7835		0/258	24466/32301	24.26%		9196	103.20%		16.74m
SC [12:00-12:55]	197.46		634	4806		0/192	20644/25450	18.88%		5847	162.31%		17.38m
NTTD [12:00-12:35]	307.22		303	3089		0/178	21629/24718	12.50%		3737	253.95%		19.05m
MoM [11:30-12:40]	48.76		1194	19461		0/409	27068/46529	41.83%		2915	325.56%		17.56m
TG:M [11:30-12:30]	91.58		707	10363		2/345	32649/43012	24.09%		11474	82.71%		17.64m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-0 [Mid-Day] Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9 [12:00-12:45]	257.70		491	3390		0/170	17331/20721	16.36%		4407	198.23%		19.16m
JWD (adj)	---		918	8736		0/261	21249/29985	29.13%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: Both the F9 and the BW comp have been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during pre-sale runs of those films (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMPS***

JW3 = 1.51706x JW2 at the same sources of tracking at T-0 [20.89m adj]
JW3 = 3.19698x KotM at the same sources of tracking at T-0 [18.13m adj]
JW3 = 0.93189x TLK at the same sources of tracking at T-0 [19.29m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

 

Regal:      1779/8248  [21.57% sold]
Matinee:    597/2182  [27.36% | 6.29% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Brisk and solid sales.  Not collapsing but not exploding, either.  Probs looking at around 18m as a guesstimate, if Sacto holds.  But the final comps can always see something of a jump or drop depending on how solid those last few hours of sales are.  Probably doesn't have enough juice to hit 19m, so lets see if it can hold on to 18 or not.

 

NB: The NTTD comp will be a little suspect since there should be a lot more kids tickets sold for JWD than NTTD.  F9 I'm a bit more ambivalent on, but even there the kids/adult skew should still be in play somewhat.  On the other hand, lots of 3D and PLF tickets sold, so who knows?  Still, could be worse for day of sales.

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:45pm - 4:35pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	290	22873	33839*	10966	32.41%

* NOTE: A showing that had been mistakenly set as non-reserved seating finally switched to reserved seating, adding 101 seats to the overall total in the region.

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid Day

1476

 

T-0 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW [4:20-5:20]	119.25		1361	9196		0/260	23235/32431	28.36%		9196	119.25%		16.48m
SC [4:40-5:30]	187.55		1041	5847		0/196	19856/25703	22.75%		5847	187.55%		16.50m
NTTD [3:50-4:25]	293.44		648	3737		0/178	20981/24718	15.12%		3737	293.44%		18.19m
MoM [3:30-4:35]	51.93		1656	21117		0/409	25412/46529	45.38%		2915	376.19%		18.69m
TG:M [3:30-4:35]	95.57		1111	11474		2/345	31538/43012	26.68%		11474	95.57%		18.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-0 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9 [5:30-6:10]	226.07		1017	4407		0/161	15341/19748	22.32%		4407	226.07%		16.81m
JWD (adj)	---		1227	9963		0/261	20123/30086	33.12%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: Both the F9 and the BW comp have been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during pre-sale runs of those films (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMPS***

JW3 = 1.3913x JW2 at the same sources of tracking at T-0 [19.16m adj]
JW3 = 3.06671x KotM at the same sources of tracking at T-0 [17.39m adj]
JW3 = 0.89542x TLK at the same sources of tracking at T-0 [18.54m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

 

Regal:      2152/8248  [26.09% sold]
Matinee:    762/2182  [34.92% | 6.95% of all tickets sold]

 

=====

 

Man, I dunno.  One set of comps says 16.5m-16.75m while another set of comps says 18m-18.5m (FWIW, NWH says 19.45m).  Unofficial comps aren't helping much, either.  Those 16.5m comps all also had later start times and were thus taken later in the night (much later in the case of F9).  That and the PLF/3D/regular ticket hike prices also comes into play. 

 

I think the tie-breaker will be Top Gun: Maverick which is my most recent comp and should be in the right ballpark (less PLF and adult tickets sold but more 3D). Does seem to be a lot of foot traffic today, and all of the 16.5+m comps are from last year so let's go with 18m +/- .75m. 

 

Won't be surprised if it is around 17m, mind.  That KotM comp, for instance, is sitting out there out on an island by itself.

 

NB:  If I hike up BW/SC by 10 percent, I get 18.15m, which does seem to be in my range, so even though I'm tempted to go to 18.2 the difference in PLF between this and TGM is enough to make me want to be conservative.

Edited June 10, 2022 by Porthos

[Cooper Legion]

Regionals seeming like 17-19, but MTC1 feel like it will come in like 15 or something. Interesting to see real number.

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Yeah, I started to set up my sheets earlier, but then I said 

  Reveal hidden contents

fine, because I have problem

 

 

ngl, thought this joke was going to go in a different direction before I opened the spoiler box.  

 

Spoiler

I suppose the title of the film makes it too easy. But sometimes, if the layup is just sitting there, one just has slam it home.

 

[Cooper Legion]

Peele’s 4th film to be titled Fine, Because I Have a Problem

[Alex SciChannel]

BTW happy 300th page on the tracking thread guys!

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Not much action for Nope yet but it's only been a few hours and it's still an original film, regardless of Peele... that's only 40 days away

 

Thursday

Cinemark (6)

4 (0), 730 (0)

6 XD (5), 930 XD (1)

 

AMC is not up for Thursday yet

[Eric Prime]

19 hours ago, Eric the Last Dinosaur said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	156	4163	26260	15.85%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 662

 

Comp

1.648x of F9 T-1 (11.7M)

1.397x of Venom 2 T-1 (16.21M)

1.806x of No Time to Die T-1 (11.38M)

1.007x of Top Gun 2 T-1 (19.39M)

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Final Seat Report

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	156	6289	26260	23.95%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2,126

 

Comp

1.387x of F9 (9.85M)
1.201x of Venom 2 (13.93M)

2.161x of No Time to Die (13.61M)

1.223x of Top Gun 2 (23.56M)

 

I feel like it's underindexing here compared to other regions (though I only just scanned other people's data), so I won't go 13M here. Probably boost it up about 2-3M at about 16M? Let's just say it's that.

[katnisscinnaplex]

14 minutes ago, Eric the Last Dinosaur said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Final Seat Report

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	156	6289	26260	23.95%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2,126

 

Comp

1.387x of F9 (9.85M)
1.201x of Venom 2 (13.93M)

2.161x of No Time to Die (13.61M)

1.223x of Top Gun 2 (23.56M)

 

I feel like it's underindexing here compared to other regions (though I only just scanned other people's data), so I won't go 13M here. Probably boost it up about 2-3M at about 16M? Let's just say it's that.

I'm having trouble reconciling F9 and Top Gun comps are so far apart for Philly.  Does not compute in my head

[Eric Prime]

Just now, katnisscinnaplex said:

I'm having trouble reconciling F9 and Top Gun comps are so far apart for Philly.  Does not compute in my head

F9 skews way more towards nonwhite viewers, while Top Gun skews way more to white viewers. Only 45% of Philly citizens are white. Boom.

[M37]

3 hours ago, Legion and Thunder said:

Regionals seeming like 17-19, but MTC1 feel like it will come in like 15 or something. Interesting to see real number.

While Alpha is by far the largest sample, doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a representative sample

 

Given that the other tracking numbers have somewhat converged, Occam’s razor is that data point is the outlier. Doesn’t mean we can ignore it given the market share, but wondering if maybe the Northeast just doesn’t dig the Dinos? (see also Philly).

 

Would also help explain why tracking tends generally to undershoot JW films, and how we see numbers almost always rise considerably above in-day forecasts, made when east coast is over represented in data. Even Deadline’s  early Thursday estimate ($12-13M) for FK was like 25% off 

 

EDIT: Just adding this officially, but based on the data here, I'm pretty much in agreement with @Porthos: enough solid data points to suggest $18M is in play, maybe even $19M if everything breaks right, but also would be surprised if its in 17M range.

Edited June 10, 2022 by M37

[ZackM]

Well, the walkups have been very strong.  Sitting at 248,653 as of the last hour.  I'm showing comps by differential instead of percentage, just so the different start times can be accounted for.  Honestly, the timezone comps kind of break down because of the start time and the run time, but you can still get a feel for how they compare.

 

 

Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Eastern Time Zone					Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp		Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp
3:00-3:59	0	-15,177	-22,335		3:00-3:59	0	-10,478	-11,882
4:00-4:59	20,417	14,151	11,592		4:00-4:59	14,321	8,269	10,480
5:00-5:59	8,521	5,138	1,089		5:00-5:59	6,108	3,392	1,612
6:00-6:59	11,434	-5,976	-2,968		6:00-6:59	7,891	-3,223	-1,279
7:00-7:59	24,802	5,000	-13,735		7:00-7:59	18,911	3,858	-5,266
8:00-8:59	17,147	10,105	-6,554		8:00-8:59	12,096	6,324	942
9:00-9:59	9,304	206	-3,242		9:00-9:59	6,243	614	-398
10:00-10:59	4,260	-1,862	-4,647		10:00-10:59	3,686	137	-950
11:00-11:59	4,102	3,610	-6,236		11:00-11:59	2,189	1,928	-3,685
12:00+	102	-17	-1,037		12:00+	91	91	-278
Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Mountain Time Zone					Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp		Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp
3:00-3:59	0	-4,163	-3,379		3:00-3:59	0	-7,778	-12,714
4:00-4:59	4,138	2,626	3,243		4:00-4:59	10,640	6,073	5,389
5:00-5:59	1,914	946	728		5:00-5:59	5,631	3,408	1,787
6:00-6:59	2,145	-1,765	-116		6:00-6:59	7,303	-1,099	-1,100
7:00-7:59	4,708	271	-1,465		7:00-7:59	12,380	2,754	-7,109
8:00-8:59	3,202	1,511	471		8:00-8:59	10,815	6,432	-441
9:00-9:59	1,617	-76	26		9:00-9:59	5,133	-615	-2,360
10:00-10:59	710	-328	-255		10:00-10:59	2,368	-1,861	-3,111
11:00-11:59	372	273	-1,353		11:00-11:59	3,235	2,576	-4,466
12:00+	28	28	28		12:00+	689	534	-936

 

Edited June 10, 2022 by ZackM

[keysersoze123]

The fact that Alpha will have lower ratio is already taken into account. Bats did 332K for just thursday and did around 17.5m. JWD looks like 250K finish and so adjustment is already done. TGM had insanely low MTC ratio(assuming 5m pre thursday gross. May be that was higher). I would be shocked by 19m previews with just 250K in tracked shows. While I dont have full final MTC2 data(it takes too long to run). Sample data also does not point to huge over performance or anything. At this point I am not seeing previews go that high. i dont think even Sacremento is screaming 19m. Denver has under performed as well. I think phily is better though not as much it does for MCU. So let us wait and watch where things land. 

 

Edit: May be higher based on @Zack's update. 265K finish?

Edited June 10, 2022 by keysersoze123

[M37]

4 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Well, the walkups have been very strong.  Sitting at 248,653 as of the last hour.  I'm showing comps by differential instead of percentage, just so the different start times can be accounted for.  Honestly, the timezone comps kind of break down because of the start time and the run time, but you can still get a feel for how they compare.

 

 

Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Eastern Time Zone					Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp		Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp
3:00-3:59	0	-15,177	-22,335		3:00-3:59	0	-10,478	0
4:00-4:59	20,417	14,151	11,592		4:00-4:59	14,321	8,269	14,321
5:00-5:59	8,521	5,138	1,089		5:00-5:59	6,108	3,392	6,108
6:00-6:59	11,434	-5,976	-2,968		6:00-6:59	7,891	-3,223	7,891
7:00-7:59	24,802	5,000	-13,735		7:00-7:59	18,911	3,858	18,910
8:00-8:59	17,147	10,105	-6,554		8:00-8:59	12,096	6,324	12,096
9:00-9:59	9,304	206	-3,242		9:00-9:59	6,243	614	6,243
10:00-10:59	4,260	-1,862	-4,647		10:00-10:59	3,686	137	3,686
11:00-11:59	4,102	3,610	-6,236		11:00-11:59	2,189	1,928	2,188
12:00+	102	-17	-1,037		12:00+	91	91	91
Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Mountain Time Zone					Alpha - Jurassic World: Dominion - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp		Showtimes	Sales	Maverick Comp	Batman Comp
3:00-3:59	0	-4,163	-3,379		3:00-3:59	0	-7,778	0
4:00-4:59	4,138	2,626	3,243		4:00-4:59	10,640	6,073	10,640
5:00-5:59	1,914	946	728		5:00-5:59	5,631	3,408	5,631
6:00-6:59	2,145	-1,765	-116		6:00-6:59	7,303	-1,099	7,303
7:00-7:59	4,708	271	-1,465		7:00-7:59	12,380	2,754	12,379
8:00-8:59	3,202	1,511	471		8:00-8:59	10,815	6,432	10,814
9:00-9:59	1,617	-76	26		9:00-9:59	5,133	-615	5,133
10:00-10:59	710	-328	-255		10:00-10:59	2,368	-1,861	2,368
11:00-11:59	372	273	-1,353		11:00-11:59	3,235	2,576	3,235
12:00+	28	28	28		12:00+	689	534	689

 

Well, sure seems like we'll be getting that 250K @keysersoze

 

I know the start time & running times matter as far as what shows are scheduled, but those higher volume 8p-9p show really tell the story IMO: they're typically very popular with more walk-up friendly movies

 

Also, looks like you may have missed the formula for differential vs Batman in the Central and West time zone charts

[Menor the Destroyer]

17 seems about right to me. 

[Nublar7]

Just now, Menor Reborn said:

17 seems about right to me. 

Where would a $17 million Thursday previews put it on target for the entire weekend?

[Alex SciChannel]

1 minute ago, Menor Reborn said:

17 seems about right to me. 

Thinking it might be 18M+ now with the ZackM update. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

5 minutes ago, Nublar7 said:

Where would a $17 million Thursday previews put it on target for the entire weekend?

Probably mid-140s, about even with FK's opening. Could be lower given poor WOM. 

5 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

Thinking it might be 18M+ now with the ZackM update. 

This was factoring in the most recent Alpha numbers. Even 266k is pretty low at Alpha to reach 17m, am giving it that bump due to relative strength in regionals. But I don't see any regionals at such high levels to cancel out the Alpha weakness and get 18-19m overall. 

Edited June 10, 2022 by Menor Reborn