The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

7 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

JJK did 2.88 previews, 18 OW and 33.9M domestic total.

 

If DB is looking at 3-3.5M in previews are we expecting 15M+ in OW. Seems very likely.

 

3.3/16/30 totals?  

I think it’s going to be much more frontloaded. My Friday comp vs JJK is running about 30% behind it. I’ll go with 13-14.

Edited August 18, 2022 by In XXR We Trust

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, Ronin46 said:

From Box Office Report:

 

United Artists Releasing will release MGM's Three Thousand Years Of Longing in an estimated 2,500 locations on August 26.

Also saying 3,000 theaters for The Invitation next weekend.

[M37]

1 hour ago, In XXR We Trust said:

I think it’s going to be much more frontloaded. My Friday comp vs JJK is running about 30% behind it. I’ll go with 13-14.

That's a 4x if not below. I know these are super fan-heavy releases, but ... wow. Would mean Friday basically flat with Thursday

[Issac Newton]

I don't know why we are talking about "Super-frontloaded (ness)" But, I guess even if a few of forum members visited, it will still make a difference....

 

Above all 3940 TCs is hellish insane! Atleast, Sony made the film available in max locations &nearly 2x of JJK locations!

 

Just watch it! I know everyone of you would love it!!!!

[Cooper Legion]

~3.7-4.5 what I’ve had penciled for a long time.    
 

MHA had a 2.1x IM from a true fri open! (Admittedly with Halloween depressed sun but correcting for that I would say like 2.3)

[Issac Newton]

via BOR

 

Rank	Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero (Crunchyroll)	$15.3 M	$15.3 M	NEW	1
2	Beast (Universal)	$11.0 M	$11.0 M	NEW	1
3	Bullet Train (Sony / Columbia)	$7.1 M	$68.1 M	-47%	3
4	Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount)	$6.0 M	$683.5 M	-15%	13
5	DC League of Super-Pets (Warner Bros.)	$5.0 M	$66.8 M	-29%	4
6	Thor: Love and Thunder (Disney)	$3.8 M	$331.9 M	-29%	7
7	Minions: The Rise of Gru (Universal)	$3.6 M	$350.2 M	-28%	8
8	Nope (Universal)	$3.4 M	$113.6 M	-37%	5
9	Where the Crawdads Sing (Sony / Columbia)	$2.9 M	$77.5 M	-28%	6
10	Bodies Bodies Bodies (A24)	$2.5 M	$7.5 M	-20%	3

[charlie Jatinder]

At 6PM in Harkins

 

Dragon Ball - 7399/42101 (156 showings) $83,934

Beast - 862/22808 (93 showings) $8,798

 

Around ~9K final for Dragon Ball, which shall normally means $5.5M but I suppose Dragon Ball may be over-indexing here and by A LOT. The lowest I can go is may be $4M but none of other regions is that high, just $3.25M seems peak. I guess $3.5M may be doable here.

 

Beast may be 1.2-1.3k final. Normally $725-775K, but seems like under-indexing here. Crawdads & Nope comp give $800-850K, so probably around that.

[Gokira2012]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

I don't know why we are talking about "Super-frontloaded (ness)" But, I guess even if a few of forum members visited, it will still make a difference....

 

Above all 3940 TCs is hellish insane! Atleast, Sony made the film available in max locations &nearly 2x of JJK locations!

 

Just watch it! I know everyone of you would love it!!!!

This movie has no re-play value

[ringedmortality]

Beasts starts off with a 53% verified RT score

Edited August 19, 2022 by ringedmortality

[Issac Newton]

96:94%

 

[Gokira2012]

6 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

96:94%

 

what will it take an Anime movie to reach 100 million domestic?

[JustLurking]

A Chainsaw Man film might do it if they make one I guess. Hype for that feels defeaning before it even airs.

Edited August 19, 2022 by JustLurking

[AJG]

3 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

what will it take an Anime movie to reach 100 million domestic?

Don’t these films tend to jump off a cliff after OW? I don’t see it.

[katnisscinnaplex]

59 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

At 6PM in Harkins

 

Dragon Ball - 7399/42101 (156 showings) $83,934

Beast - 862/22808 (93 showings) $8,798

 

Around ~9K final for Dragon Ball, which shall normally means $5.5M but I suppose Dragon Ball may be over-indexing here and by A LOT. The lowest I can go is may be $4M but none of other regions is that high, just $3.25M seems peak. I guess $3.5M may be doable here.

 

Beast may be 1.2-1.3k final. Normally $725-775K, but seems like under-indexing here. Crawdads & Nope comp give $800-850K, so probably around that.

Just Santikos. Guessing you don’t have anime comps either?

[Goldenhour36]

1 minute ago, Gokira2012 said:

what will it take an Anime movie to reach 100 million domestic?

 

Anime is a very niche genre like Bollywood and A24 Movies to reach $100 Million domestic.

[Issac Newton]

May be if marketing &promotion are done well. 

 

More over, I want Sony to take direct control on Overseas Market like they do in LATAM ~will help in getting more screens

 

Other than that, it depends on audience if they want to try new content or not.

 

Since, Studio has started giving priority to North American release, I could see a vision that North America can be the biggest Overseas Market for Japanese Films

 

But, still far for China as Conan/Doraemon still doesn't care about NA. &Additionally, everyone know how NA-China gross is hugely in difference for great Directorial film like Your Name &Weathering With You &you all can see Hello World &several other standalone film gross difference. 

 

So, NA is still quite far ~an currently is just a fanbase market that is extensively far from getting casual audience to see our film. May be after 10 years, this panorama might change 

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Just Santikos. Guessing you don’t have anime comps either?

Yeah. I had half of MHA sales, so not sure how useful they are. The tracked ones were $27K. Overall may be $60K range.

[charlie Jatinder]

24 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

what will it take an Anime movie to reach 100 million domestic?

I think a universal story can easily do $100M.

 

These animes like DBS, Demon Slayer are based on Japanese comic books I believe, so the audience is limited to their fans. Something like Spirited Away or Your Name may transcend these boundaries to do $100M but will need great content.

[Gokira2012]

14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I think a universal story can easily do $100M.

 

These animes like DBS, Demon Slayer are based on Japanese comic books I believe, so the audience is limited to their fans. Something like Spirited Away or Your Name may transcend these boundaries to do $100M but will need great content.

Like a Civil War Anime might do well

[BeastByTheBay]

40 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

what will it take an Anime movie to reach 100 million domestic?

 

Attack On Titan