The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

Black Adam under Smile DOM 

[jedijake]

What % of total tickets for the first weekend are made up by pre-sales on average? (particularly at this point in time-about a month before release?

[efialtes76]

1 hour ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Black Adam under Smile DOM 

Of course,men,of course...😴

[GOGODanca]

On 10/7/2022 at 11:08 AM, GOGODanca said:

T-13 Black Adam:

601 tickets sold across 64 showtimes at 10 local AMC's

 

  

T-11 Black Adam:

641 tickets sold across 64 showtimes at 10 local AMC's

 

 

[Eric Prime]

21 hours ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	76	1033	15294	6.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 82

 

Comp

1.002x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-5 (19.41M)

1.945x of The Conjuring 3 T-5 (19.07M)

1.347x of Halloween Kills T-5 (6.53M)

1.693x of Scream T-5 (5.93M)

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	1137	16637	6.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 104

 

Comp

0.890x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-4 (17.23M)

2.141x of The Conjuring 3 Sunday Before Release (20.99M)

1.325x of Halloween Kills T-4 (6.43M)

1.702x of Scream T-4 (5.96M)

[Eric Prime]

21 hours ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	84	718	17553	4.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

0.849x of F9 T-12 (6.03M)

0.355x of Black Widow T-12 (4.68M)

2.409x of The Suicide Squad T-12 (9.88M)

0.734x of Shang-Chi T-12 (6.46M)

1.015x of Venom 2 T-12 (11.78M)

1.141x of No Time to Die T-12 (7.19M)

0.436x of Eternals T-12 (4.14M)

1.105x of Morbius T-12 (6.3M)

1.357x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-12 (8.14M)

0.391x of Jurassic World 3 T-12 (7.05M)

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	763	18518	4.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.882x of F9 T-11 (6.26M)

0.363x of Black Widow T-11 (4.79M)

2.552x of The Suicide Squad T-11 (10.46M)

0.722x of Shang-Chi T-11 (6.35M)

0.983x of Venom 2 T-11 (11.4M)

1.149x of No Time to Die T-11 (7.24M)

0.448x of Eternals T-11 (4.26M)

1.135x of Morbius T-11 (6.47M)

1.276x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-11 (7.65M)

0.411x of Jurassic World 3 T-11 (7.41M)

[Eric Prime]

21 hours ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-33 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	235	4627	41714	11.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 120

 

Comp

4.202x of Jurassic World 3 T-33 (75.65M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-32 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	4711	42932	10.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 84

 

Comp

4.236x of Jurassic World 3 T-32 (76.26M)

[Flopped]

32 minutes ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	85	1137	16637	6.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 104

 

Comp

0.890x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-4 (17.23M)

2.141x of The Conjuring 3 Sunday Before Release (20.99M)

1.325x of Halloween Kills T-4 (6.43M)

1.702x of Scream T-4 (5.96M)

 

Can you explain what these numbers mean? 

 

That it pre-sold 1.7 x as many tickets 4 days before release as Scream did 4 days before its release earlier this year? 

[YSLDC]

21 hours ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Black Adam under Smile DOM 

 More like Black Adam OW > Smile DOM

[Porthos]

On 10/8/2022 at 11:45 PM, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-33 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	294	32483	37022	4539	12.26%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

160

 

Regal:        177/5034  [3.52% sold]
Matinee:    194/4102  [4.73% | 4.27% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-32 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	294	32404	37022	4618	12.47%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

79

 

Regal:        178/5034  [3.54% sold]
Matinee:    199/4102  [4.85% | 4.31% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 10/8/2022 at 11:46 PM, Porthos said:

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-12 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	146	21037	22067	1030	4.67%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

55

 

T-12 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	293.45		13	351		0/81	13601/13952	2.52%		2352	43.79%		12.03m
SC	89.64		85	1149		0/101	15853/17002	6.76%		5847	17.62%		7.89m
LTBC	96.99		92	1062		0/155	24799/25861	4.11%		7712	13.36%		11.25m
ET	47.75		71	2157		0/96	13384/15541	13.88%		6409	16.07%		4.54m
Bats	23.74		99	4338		0/285	31126/35464	12.23%		11757	8.76%		5.13m
Morb	138.26		54	745		0/127	17997/18742	3.98%		3477	29.62%		7.88m
JW3	36.63		105	2812		0/191	22562/25374	11.08%		10966	9.39%		6.59m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-12 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final
F9	96.96		38	1021		0/79	11394/12415	8.22%		4407	22.46%
BA (adj)			55	990		0/129	18629/19619	5.05%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  BA (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:       108/4106  [2.63% sold]
Matinee:    25/2196  [1.14% | 2.43% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	146	20993	22067	1074	4.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

44

 

T-11 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	294.25		14	365		0/81	13587/13952	2.62%		2352	45.66%		12.06m
SC	87.96		72	1221		0/101	15781/17002	7.18%		5847	18.37%		7.74m
LTBC	91.87		107	1169		0/156	24909/26078	4.48%		7712	13.93%		10.66m
ET	47.95		83	2240		0/96	13301/15541	14.41%		6409	16.76%		4.55m
Bats	24.04		130	4468		0/285	30994/35462	12.60%		11757	9.13%		5.19m
Morb	135.61		47	792		0/127	17950/18742	4.23%		3477	30.89%		7.73m
JW3	35.87		182	2994		0/191	22380/25374	11.80%		10966	9.79%		6.46m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-11 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	95.74		59	1080		0/79	11335/12415	8.70%		4407	23.46%		7.12m
BA (adj)			44	1034		0/129	18585/19619	5.27%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  BA (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:       113/4106  [2.75% sold]
Matinee:    28/2196  [1.28% | 2.61% of all tickets sold]

Edited October 10, 2022 by Porthos

[Cooper Legion]

@Porthos 

 

Today the total sold for comps is much higher than yday+daily sold. Did you accidentally pull t-9 or something?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

3 hours ago, YSLDC said:

 More like Black Adam OW > Smile DOM

 

While I don't think BA will go under Smile DOM, BA OW > Smile DOM definitely isn't happening 

[CJohn]

4 hours ago, YSLDC said:

 More like Black Adam OW > Smile DOM

Lmao, Smile is going over 90M DOM.

[Eric Prime]

8 hours ago, Flopped said:

 

Can you explain what these numbers mean? 

 

That it pre-sold 1.7 x as many tickets 4 days before release as Scream did 4 days before its release earlier this year? 

Yes. At least in Philadelphia.

[Cooper Legion]

BA OW might not even be half of smile DOM. Will have to see impact of HWE

[YSLDC]

2 hours ago, Wolverpool XXR said:

 

While I don't think BA will go under Smile DOM, BA OW > Smile DOM definitely isn't happening 

 

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Lmao, Smile is going over 90M DOM.

 

I don't want to go off-topic on this thread but superhero movies over performing tracking by 50% has happened before...

[LegendaryBen]

1 hour ago, Eric the Crocodile said:

Yes. At least in Philadelphia.

Does this indicate a $51M OW for HWE or not necessarily?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

3 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Does this indicate a $51M OW for HWE or not necessarily?

 

It's possible. The comp to HK is currently 1.3x which would be over $60M. However, my expectation is still under HK.

[LegendaryBen]

3 minutes ago, Wolverpool XXR said:

 

It's possible. The comp to HK is currently 1.3x which would be over $60M. However, my expectation is still under HK.

Plus, worse WOM and it being on Peacock same day could lead it to a sub-$45m OW. I'm on #TeamSmile