The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[WorkingonaName]

More Prawns on the Barbillion. 

[Dragoncaine]

I'm so impressed by Barbie's potential here, considering the trailers have done absolutely nothing for me so far. I'm here for Queen Greta and the impeccable cast, but none of the actual marketing has given me any positive indication that this will be a home run narratively or emotionally, and the humor in the trailers is...fine, I guess? We'll take a huge W for WB at this point though!

 

Even as someone who thought Tenet was a complete dumpster fire and enjoyed Interstellar a lot but thought it was a far cry from Nolan's best, Oppenheimer looks spectacularly devastating.

[ListenHunnyUrOver]

15 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

I'm so impressed by Barbie's potential here, considering the trailers have done absolutely nothing for me so far. I'm here for Queen Greta and the impeccable cast, but none of the actual marketing has given me any positive indication that this will be a home run narratively or emotionally, and the humor in the trailers is...fine, I guess? We'll take a huge W for WB at this point though!

 

Even as someone who thought Tenet was a complete dumpster fire and enjoyed Interstellar a lot but thought it was a far cry from Nolan's best, Oppenheimer looks spectacularly devastating.

Barbie actually looks like it might be touching based on the more recent trailers. GOTG3 tackled animal abuse and Spider-Verse deals with heavier themes too. I think audiences want an emotional core these days, which franchise slop can’t always conjure.

[Porthos]

21 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7450	8250	800	9.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

20

 

T-23 Comps:

	%		Sold T-23	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	45.25		56	1768		0/179	22879/24647	7.17%		10966	7.30%		8.14m
BP2	13.77		102	5810		1/294	31209/37019	15.69%		16800	4.76%		3.86m
FX	104.71		9	764		0/182	26961/27725	2.76%		4122	19.41%		7.85m
Indy 5	94.45		11	847		0/124	18674/19521	4.34%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:       161/2968  [5.42% sold]
Matinee:          11/81  [13.58% | 1.38% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 391/776 [+8 tickets] [48.88% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    264/4100 [+8 tickets] [33.00% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           145/3374 [+4 tickets] [18.13% of all tickets sold]

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	53	7414	8250	836	10.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

36

 

T-22 Comps:

	%		Sold T-22	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	46.21		41	1809		0/179	22839/24647	7.34%		10966	7.62%		8.32m
BP2	14.06		138	5948		1/294	31071/37019	16.07%		16800	4.98%		3.94m
FX	107.18		16	780		0/182	26942/27722	2.81%		4122	20.28%		8.04m
Indy 5	93.41		48	895		0/124	18626/19521	4.58%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.

Regal:      164/2968  [5.53% sold]
Matinee:          11/81  [13.58% | 1.32% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                 402/776 [+11 tickets] [48.09% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    285/4100 [+21 tickets] [34.09% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           149/3374 [+4 tickets] [17.82% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-23 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	96	11550	12632	1082	8.57%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

82

 

T-23 Comps:

	%		Sold T-23	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	61.20		56	1768		0/179	22879/24647	7.17%		10966	9.87%		11.02m
Scream 6	310.03		12	349		0/65	7200/7549	4.62%		3134	34.52%		17.67m
FX	141.62		9	764		0/182	26961/27725	2.76%		4122	26.25%		10.62m
TLM	127.44		59	849		0/154	21799/22648	3.75%		6561	16.49%		13.13m
AtSV	85.06		253	1272		0/123	18626/19898	6.39%		9744	11.10%		14.76m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:     259/4251  [6.09% sold]
Matinee:    38/1759  [2.16% | 3.51% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:     308/422 [72.99% sold] [+5 tickets sold]
Thr:    774/12210 [6.34% sold] [+77 tickets sold]

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	96	11461	12632	1171	9.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

89

 

T-22 Comps:

	%		Sold T-22	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	64.73		41	1809		0/179	22839/24647	7.34%		10966	10.68%		11.65m
Scream 6	309.79		29	378		0/65	7171/7549	5.01%		3134	37.36%		17.66m
FX	150.13		16	780		0/182	26942/27722	2.81%		4122	28.41%		11.26m
TLM	128.40		63	912		0/154	21736/22648	4.03%		6561	17.85%		13.23m
AtSV	86.17		87	1359		0/123	18537/19896	6.83%		9744	12.02%		14.95m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

EA PRE-SALE NOTE: Wed Early Access tickets went on sale one day before regular preview tickets went on sale and accounted for 196 tickets sold for Barbie.

 

Regal:     267/4251  [6.28% sold]
Matinee:    44/1759  [2.50% | 3.76% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:    312/422 [73.93% sold] [+4 tickets sold]
Thr:    859/12210 [7.04% sold] [+85 tickets sold]

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	155	23341	24380	1039	4.26%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

71

 

T-14 Comps:

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	143.71		49	723		0/135	20536/21259	3.40%		3737	27.80%		8.91m
JWD	40.04		170	2595		0/191	22777/25372	10.23%		10966	9.47%		7.21m
Ava 2	37.12		104	2799		0/142	18539/21338	13.12%		8986	11.56%		6.31m
Wick 4	90.27		64	1151		0/88	12191/13342	8.63%		5448	19.07%		8.03m
FX	99.24		99	1047		0/178	26663/27710	3.78%		4122	25.21%		7.44m
Indy 5	82.59		89	1258		0/128	18983/20241	6.22%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:     174/7967  [2.18% sold]
Matinee:    23/1687  [1.36% | 2.21% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    180/5954  [3.02% | 17.32% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          65/457 [14.22% sold] [+4 tickets]
Mon:    491/2256 [21.76% sold] [+12 tickets]
Tue:    483/21667 [2.23% sold] [+55 tickets]

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	155	23299	24392	1093	4.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

54

 

T-13 Comps:

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	140.13		57	780		0/135	20479/21259	3.67%		3737	29.25%		8.69m
JWD	40.38		112	2707		0/191	22665/25372	10.67%		10966	9.97%		7.27m
Ava 2	37.09		148	2947		0/145	18537/21484	13.72%		8986	12.16%		6.31m
Wick 4	88.79		80	1231		0/89	12253/13484	9.13%		5448	20.06%		7.90m
FX	99.45		52	1099		0/178	26611/27710	3.97%		4122	26.52%		7.46m
Indy 5	82.99		59	1317		0/128	18924/20241	6.51%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:          183/7979  [2.29% sold]
Matinee:        24/1691  [1.42% | 2.20% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    187/5966  [3.13% | 17.11% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]    
---------    
Sun:          69/457 [15.10% sold] [+4 tickets]
Mon:    500/2256 [22.16% sold] [+9 tickets]
Tue:    524/21679 [2.42% sold] [+41 tickets]

[Porthos]

21 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	169	21180	24072	2892	12.01%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	11
Total Net Seats Added Today	538
Total Net Seats Sold Today	367

 

T-2 Comps:

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	129.69		349	2230		0/176	22255/24485	9.11%		3737	77.39%		8.04m
JWD	42.16		796	6859		0/288	26655/33514	20.47%		10966	26.37%		7.59m
BA	112.57		397	2569		0/232	28250/30819	8.34%		4494	64.35%		8.56m
Wick 4	90.40		552	3199		0/166	17433/20632	15.51%		5448	53.08%		8.05m
FX	121.36		327	2383		0/235	30517/32900	7.24%		4122	70.16%		9.10m
TLM	72.81		435	3972		0/221	24918/28890	13.75%		6561	44.08%		7.50m
Flash	102.48		409	2822		0/197	23670/26492	10.65%		5327	54.29%		9.94m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:        595/6838  [8.70% sold]
Matinee:    258/2168  [11.90% | 8.92% of all tickets sold]

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-1 day and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	184	21339	24844	3505	14.11%

 

Total Showings Added Today	15
Total Seats Added Today	772
Total Seats Sold Today	613

 

T-1 Comps:

	%		Sold T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	125.81		556	2786		0/178	21932/24718	11.27%		3737	93.79%		7.80m
JWD	41.63		1560	8419		0/290	25319/33738	24.95%		10966	31.96%		7.49m
BA	111.13		585	3154		0/249	28462/31616	9.98%		4494	77.99%		8.45m
Wick 4	89.53		716	3915		0/173	17327/21242	18.43%		5448	64.34%		7.97m
FX	119.71		545	2928		0/243	30319/33247	8.81%		4122	85.03%		8.98m
TLM	70.47		1002	4974		0/225	24182/29156	17.06%		6561	53.42%		7.26m
Flash	96.90		795	3617		0/203	23257/26874	13.46%		5327	65.80%		9.40m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:     774/7610  [10.17% sold]
Matinee:    332/2338  [14.20% | 9.47% of all tickets sold]

[THUNDER BIRD]

So i guess Indiana Jones is Indoomiana Jones.

[vafrow]

On 6/28/2023 at 4:37 AM, vafrow said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny T-2

Milton, Ontario

 

Sales remain so bad, that I find myself personally annoyed by it for some reason. 

 

0.111 of Fast X for $0.8M

0.033 of ATSV for $0.6M

0.130 of Flash for $1.3M

0.269 of T:ROTB for $2.4M

0.269 of TLM for $2.8M

 

Just ridiculously bad numbers. On a related note, the screen allocation for this weekend is out and not one film has more than one screen. I can't recall the last time that's happened, e

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny T-1

Milton, Ontario

 

Morning of update. I think my last update had an error, as sales haven't increased by a lot, but, has improved a lot against comps. Not to the point where it's anywhere near other trackers, but still an improvement.

 

0.210 of Fast X for $1.6M

0.063 of ATSV for $1.1M

0.213 of Flash for $2.1M

0.485 of T:ROTB for $4.3M

0.552 of TLM for $5.7M

 

I'll check in during the evening for walk up updates.

[M37]

On 6/26/2023 at 11:47 AM, M37 said:

Another 3 days of data ... and not much has changed. Still some room for a surprise - either positive or negative -  but all indications are suggesting a pretty straightforward finish, as most samples and comps are trending towards convergence probably just shy of $8M

 

NOTE: Averages include values not shown on the graph

 

No recent updates on sales past Thursday, but see post a few spots back regarding summer IMs, and don't think we'll see any surprise there either.

 

An preview at or below $8M, an IM around or just below 7x, and O/U Flash's $55M OW still seems like the general cut line (ie Forecast Matrix in quoted post still holds), though leaning more towards slightly below than above. Even over $50M isn't assured just yet

 

Don't have all the T-1 updates in yet, but have a difficult time seeing anything other a ~$7.5M finish for Indiana Jones Thursday. Expecting Alpha to finish at or below 125K, but with a higher PSM ($60+/tix) than other major release

 

NOTE: Averages include values not shown on the graph

 

Not sure what the Variety $60M, Deadline $65M, and ProBO $70M forecasts are seeing that I (and others in here) are not. Should play well beyond the coasts, but less likely to grab the younger walk-ups in cities that helped propel the higher value comps of Flash, Fast X and even John Wick 4. And before anyone brings it up, an older audience does NOT help with walk-ups, but can create a better IM and legs overall

 

Hopefully @Inceptionzq drops off a Drafthouse update to get a look at weekend sales, see if Friday/Thursday matches the ~1.3x of ATSV that lead to a 7x IM

Edited June 29, 2023 by M37

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Indiana Jones	T-1	Jax	6	74	89	676	11,452	5.90%
		Phx	6	52	82	514	9,165	5.61%
		Ral	8	67	94	721	9,155	7.88%
	Total		20	193	265	1,911	29,772	6.42%
Ruby Gillman	T-1	Jax	5	22	13	32	2,326	1.38%
		Phx	6	24	7	22	2,236	0.98%
		Ral	7	27	10	37	2,563	1.44%
	Total		18	73	30	91	7,125	1.28%

 

Ruby Gillman T-1 comps

 - Bad Guys - .599x (688k)

 - Super Pets - .307x (676k)

 - Elemental  .19x (455k)

 - Lyle Lyle - .958x (551k)

 - Paws of Fury - .919x (464k)

 - Boss Baby 2 - .52x (681k)

 - Encanto - .294x (440k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .85x (765k)

 - Strange World - .968x (774k)

 

Size adjusted average - 662k

 

Indiana Jones T-1 comps

 - F9 - .876x (6.22m)

 - JWD - .316x (5.6m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Ghostbusters - 1.364x (5.66m)

 - Uncharted - 2.046x (7.57m)

 - Transformers (Total) - .766x (6.74m)

 - The Lost City (Total) - 2.58x (8.39m)

 

Size adjusted average - 6.55m

 

Like last week, here are the movies with the closest growth rates over the final week.

 

Ruby Gillman - similar growth pattern comps (of PG movies)

 - Paws of Fury - .919x (464k)

 - Strange World - .968x (774k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .85x (765k)

 

Size adjusted average - 625k

 

 

Other than Paws of Fury, the comps mostly have a similar shape that would likely put previews around 550k.  Expecting around 120 total for T-0.

 

Indiana Jones - similar growth pattern comps (of action/adventure movies)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .254x (4.9m)

 - Free Guy - 4.73x (10.41m)

 - Avatar 2 - .31x (5.26m)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.02m

 

 

This shows a pretty clear trend with almost all of the comps growing between 39% and 43% the final day.  That would put Indy at ~2,704 sales tomorrow morning and the comps pointing to 6.25m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Indiana Jones	T-0	Jax	6	74	157	833	11,452	7.27%
		Phx	7	56	164	678	9,406	7.21%
		Ral	8	67	174	895	9,155	9.78%
	Total		21	197	495	2,406	30,013	8.02%
Ruby Gillman	T-0	Jax	5	22	13	45	2,326	1.93%
		Phx	6	24	22	44	2,236	1.97%
		Ral	7	27	17	54	2,563	2.11%
	Total		18	73	52	143	7,125	2.01%

 

Ruby Gillman T-0 comps

 - Bad Guys - .659x (758k)

 - Super Pets - .312x (685k)

 - Elemental  .213x (512k)

 - Lyle Lyle - 1.06x (609k)

 - Paws of Fury - 1.075x (543k)

 - Boss Baby 2 - .55x (723k)

 - Encanto - .316x (475k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .55x (499k)

 - Strange World - .761x (609k)

 

Size adjusted average - 622k

All PG movies - 478

All animated Thursday previews (excl 1k+ sales) - 587k

All 2pm movies - 396k

All movies - 447k

 

Ruby exceeded my expected T-0 sales by a little.  Taking comps into consideration, I'll predict a preview number of 600k.

 

Indiana Jones T-0 comps

 - F9 - .787x (5.59m)

 - JWD - .325x (5.75m)

 - NTTD - 1.07x (5.56m)

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Ghostbusters - 1.343x (5.57m)

 - Uncharted - 1.913x (7.08m)

 - Transformers - 1.055x (7.7m)

 - The Lost City (Total) - 2.55x (8.29m)

 - Bullet Train - 2.305x (7.72m)

 - Dune - 1.088x (5.55m)

 

Size adjusted average - 6.33m

All PG-13 movies - 7.13m

All 3pm movies - 6.54m

All action movies - 6.28m

All movies - 7.51m

 

Unfortunately Indy couldn't reach the projected sales total and most of my comps are coming in much lower than other areas are reporting.  There are a few positives (Transformers, Uncharted, Bullet Train) so there is still hope that it can reach the 7.5m number that's out there.  Since my comps are coming in on the low side, I'm forced to issue my projection accordingly.  The macro comps do give me a little hope, so I'll go with a 6.5m preview number and hope that tempers expectations if other areas underperform as well. 

 

I will be traveling this afternoon so I won't be able to pull the T-1hr sales.  

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Insidious 5	T-8	Jax	5	20	6	20	2,037	0.98%
		Phx	6	18	10	65	2,820	2.30%
		Ral	7	24	1	28	2,829	0.99%
	Total		18	62	17	113	7,686	1.47%
Joy Ride	T-8	Jax	5	17	1	5	1,591	0.31%
		Phx	5	17	5	24	1,484	1.62%
		Ral	7	24	0	7	2,099	0.33%
	Total		17	58	6	36	5,174	0.70%
Joy Ride (EA)	T-3	Jax	3	3	1	2	297	0.67%
		Phx	1	1	0	1	110	0.91%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	88	0.00%
	Total		5	5	1	3	495	0.61%
	T-7	Jax	5	6	0	7	562	1.25%
		Phx	6	6	0	14	747	1.87%
		Ral	7	7	5	14	556	2.52%
	Total		18	19	5	35	1,865	1.88%
Sound of Freedom	T-5	Jax	5	28	43	538	2,149	25.03%
		Phx	6	51	50	642	5,687	11.29%
		Ral	7	28	69	553	2,749	20.12%
	Total		18	107	162	1,733	10,585	16.37%

 

Sound of Freedom T-5 comps

 - Jesus Revolution EA - 1.522x (3.59m)

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - missed

 - I Heard the Bells - 4.322x (3.34m)

 

I'm not sure if these are counted as previews... some theaters are starting shows at 11am.  If these keep rising, we could see it get up to 4.5-5m for Monday

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-8 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .493x (987k)

 - 80 for Brady - .881x (661k)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.552x (1.28m)

 - Violent Night - .892x (981k)

 

Size adjusted average - 951k

 

Insidious 5 T-8 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .595x (1.78m)

 - Scream VI - .142x (809k)

 - Nope - .228x (1.46m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Halloween Ends - .274x (1.48m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.087x (1.58m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.83m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Insidious 5	T-7	Jax	5	20	11	31	2,037	1.52%
		Phx	6	18	9	74	2,820	2.62%
		Ral	7	24	4	32	2,829	1.13%
	Total		18	62	24	137	7,686	1.78%
Joy Ride	T-7	Jax	5	17	1	6	1,591	0.38%
		Phx	5	17	3	27	1,484	1.82%
		Ral	7	24	2	9	2,099	0.43%
	Total		17	58	6	42	5,174	0.81%
Joy Ride (EA)	T-2	Jax	3	3	2	4	297	1.35%
		Phx	1	1	3	4	110	3.64%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	88	0.00%
	Total		5	5	5	8	495	1.62%
	T-6	Jax	5	6	0	7	562	1.25%
		Phx	6	6	1	15	747	2.01%
		Ral	7	7	0	14	556	2.52%
	Total		18	19	1	36	1,865	1.93%
Sound of Freedom	T-4	Jax	5	28	51	589	2,149	27.41%
		Phx	6	51	51	693	5,687	12.19%
		Ral	7	28	61	614	2,749	22.34%
	Total		18	107	163	1,896	10,585	17.91%

 

Sound of Freedom T-4 comps

 - Jesus Revolution EA - missed

 - Jesus Revolution (Total) - missed

 - I Heard the Bells - missed

 - Chosen 3 (Fri) - 1.023x (3.84m)

 

Joy Ride (Total) T-7 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - .521x (1.042m)

 - 80 for Brady - .896x (672k)

 - Easter Sunday - 2.688x (1.34m)

 - Violent Night - missed

 

Size adjusted average - 963k

 

Insidious 5 T-7 comps

 - Black Phone (Total) - .634x (1.9m)

 - Scream VI - .164x (934k)

 - Nope - .26x (1.67m)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Halloween Ends - .304x (1.64m)

 - Evil Dead Rise - .591x (1.48m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.28x (1.86m)

 

Size adjusted average - 1.91m

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
M:I 7	T-13	Jax	6	69	6	159	10,964	1.45%
		Phx	6	58	21	132	11,155	1.18%
		Ral	8	54	30	170	8,344	2.04%
	Total		20	181	57	461	30,463	1.51%
M:I 7 (EA)	T-11	Jax	3	3	1	36	418	8.61%
		Phx	2	2	4	6	363	1.65%
		Ral	1	1	0	15	111	13.51%
	Total		6	6	5	57	892	6.39%
	T-12	Jax	5	7	9	133	1,407	9.45%
		Phx	1	1	2	46	410	11.22%
		Ral	2	2	6	72	412	17.48%
	Total		8	10	17	251	2,229	11.26%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-13 comps

 - F9 - 1.2x (8.53m)

 - John Wick 4 - .97x (8.61m)

 - Top Gun (Total) - .274x (5.29m)

 - Dune - missed

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - missed

 - NTTD (Total) - 1.49x (9.41m)

 - Indiana Jones - 1.07x (??)

 

Size adjusted average - 8.28m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
M:I 7	T-12	Jax	6	69	12	171	10,964	1.56%
		Phx	6	58	1	133	11,155	1.19%
		Ral	8	54	14	184	8,344	2.21%
	Total		20	181	27	488	30,463	1.60%
M:I 7 (EA)	T-10	Jax	3	3	0	36	418	8.61%
		Phx	2	2	0	6	363	1.65%
		Ral	1	1	0	15	111	13.51%
	Total		6	6	0	57	892	6.39%
	T-11	Jax	5	7	7	140	1,407	9.95%
		Phx	1	1	3	49	410	11.95%
		Ral	2	2	11	83	412	20.15%
	Total		8	10	21	272	2,229	12.20%

 

M:I 7 (Total) T-12 comps

 - F9 - 1.16x (8.25m)

 - John Wick 4 - .94x (8.38m)

 - Top Gun (Total) - .273x (5.27m)

 - Dune - missed

 - Ghostbusters (Total) - 1.97x (8.86m)

 - NTTD (Total) - missed

 - Indiana Jones - 1.1x (??)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.82m

 

Quick math... a 7.82m preview would make Indy 7.11m 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/28/2023 at 11:37 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-22	Jax	6	43	25	146	5,243	2.78%
		Phx	6	29	9	229	4,876	4.70%
		Ral	8	45	19	279	5,631	4.95%
	Total		20	117	53	654	15,750	4.15%
Barbie (EA)	T-21	Jax	2	3	3	109	319	34.17%
		Phx	1	1	2	143	208	68.75%
		Ral	2	2	0	125	190	65.79%
	Total		5	6	5	377	717	52.58%
Oppenheimer	T-22	Jax	6	24	-11	204	4,739	4.30%
		Phx	6	26	7	236	4,969	4.75%
		Ral	8	22	11	243	2,837	8.57%
	Total		20	72	7	683	12,545	5.44%

 

Oppenheimer T-22 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .336x (6.04m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .943x (13.87m)

 - Avatar 2 - .573x (9.74m)

 - Scream VI - 1.658x (9.45m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.44x

 - Barbie (Total) - .662x

 

Size adjusted comps - 10.3m

 

Barbie (Total) T-22 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .865x (14.7m)

 - Oppenheimer - 1.51x

 - JWD (Total) - .507x (9.12m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.794x (12.02m)

 - Super Mario Bros (OD) - 1.104x (34.99m)

 - Minions 2 - 10.52x (113.09m)

 

 

I will not be held responsible for any unreasonable expectations.

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-21	Jax	6	43	20	166	5,243	3.17%
		Phx	6	29	25	254	4,876	5.21%
		Ral	8	45	19	298	5,631	5.29%
	Total		20	117	64	718	15,750	4.56%
Barbie (EA)	T-20	Jax	2	3	7	116	319	36.36%
		Phx	1	1	4	147	208	70.67%
		Ral	2	2	7	132	190	69.47%
	Total		5	6	18	395	717	55.09%
Oppenheimer	T-21	Jax	6	24	4	208	4,739	4.39%
		Phx	6	26	4	240	4,969	4.83%
		Ral	8	22	9	252	2,837	8.88%
	Total		20	72	17	700	12,545	5.58%

 

Oppenheimer T-21 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .338x (6.08m)

 - Top Gun 2 - missed

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Scream VI - 1.598x (9.11m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.394x

 - Barbie (Total) - .629x

 

Barbie (Total) T-21 comps

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - Oppenheimer - 1.59x

 - JWD (Total) - .537x (9.67m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 2.728x (11.74m

 

Edited June 30, 2023 by katnisscinnaplex
Fix Oppenheimer error

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/27/2023 at 3:11 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold
T-2	Indiana Jones	PLF	24	517	517	5,985	8.64%
		Standard	32	225	225	4,035	5.58%
	Total		56	742	742	10,020	7.41%
T-3	Indiana Jones (Fri)	PLF	31	624	624	8,223	7.59%
		Standard	48	225	225	6,121	3.68%
	Total		79	849	849	14,344	5.92%

 

I don't have any good comps for this, but I figured I'd post it since I ran it.

Santikos Tracking

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold
T-0	Indiana Jones	PLF	24	763	763	5,985	12.75%
		Standard	40	423	423	4,815	8.79%
	Total		64	1,186	1,186	10,800	10.98%
T-1	Indiana Jones (Fri)	PLF	39	913	913	9,631	9.48%
		Standard	84	442	442	10,047	4.40%
	Total		123	1,355	1,355	19,678	6.89%

 

Not many good comps, but here's what I have...

 

Indiana Jones previews comps

 - Creed III - 1.126x (6.14m)

 - Bullet Train - 2.573x (8.62m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .232x (3.41m)

 - JWD - .133x (2.39m)

 - FB3 - .589x (3.53m)

 - Nope - .933x (5.97m)

 - Morbius - .602x (3.43m)

 - Avatar 2 - .211x (3.59m)

 

Indiana Jones Fri T-1 comps

 - Top Gun 2 - .234x (7.66m)

 - JWD - .133x (5.52m)

 - Crawdads - 2.829x (14.89m)

 - Nope - 1.529x (20.09m)

 - Morbius - .899x (10.43m)

 - Avatar 2 - .226x (8.17m)

 

Yeah...these are thoroughly unhelpful...

[Dragoncaine]

58 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Indiana Jones	T-0	Jax	6	74	157	833	11,452	7.27%
		Phx	7	56	164	678	9,406	7.21%
		Ral	8	67	174	895	9,155	9.78%
	Total		21	197	495	2,406	30,013	8.02%
Ruby Gillman	T-0	Jax	5	22	13	45	2,326	1.93%
		Phx	6	24	22	44	2,236	1.97%
		Ral	7	27	17	54	2,563	2.11%
	Total		18	73	52	143	7,125	2.01%

 

Ruby Gillman T-0 comps

 - Bad Guys - .659x (758k)

 - Super Pets - .312x (685k)

 - Elemental  .213x (512k)

 - Lyle Lyle - 1.06x (609k)

 - Paws of Fury - 1.075x (543k)

 - Boss Baby 2 - .55x (723k)

 - Encanto - .316x (475k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .55x (499k)

 - Strange World - .761x (609k)

 

Size adjusted average - 622k

All PG movies - 478

All animated Thursday previews (excl 1k+ sales) - 587k

All 2pm movies - 396k

All movies - 447k

 

Ruby exceeded my expected T-0 sales by a little.  Taking comps into consideration, I'll predict a preview number of 600k.

 

Indiana Jones T-0 comps

 - F9 - .787x (5.59m)

 - JWD - .325x (5.75m)

 - NTTD - 1.07x (5.56m)

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Ghostbusters - 1.343x (5.57m)

 - Uncharted - 1.913x (7.08m)

 - Transformers - 1.055x (7.7m)

 - The Lost City (Total) - 2.55x (8.29m)

 - Bullet Train - 2.305x (7.72m)

 - Dune - 1.088x (5.55m)

 

Size adjusted average - 6.33m

All PG-13 movies - 7.13m

All 3pm movies - 6.54m

All action movies - 6.28m

All movies - 7.51m

 

Unfortunately Indy couldn't reach the projected sales total and most of my comps are coming in much lower than other areas are reporting.  There are a few positives (Transformers, Uncharted, Bullet Train) so there is still hope that it can reach the 7.5m number that's out there.  Since my comps are coming in on the low side, I'm forced to issue my projection accordingly.  The macro comps do give me a little hope, so I'll go with a 6.5m preview number and hope that tempers expectations if other areas underperform as well. 

 

I will be traveling this afternoon so I won't be able to pull the T-1hr sales.  

Indiana Jones and the Summer of Doom

[ZackM]

On 6/28/2023 at 9:04 AM, ZackM said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	299	199	3	1	16
Seats Added	41,966	28,829	701	130	3,148
Seats Sold	8,012	5,745	3,895	2,587	2,348
6/27/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,028	65,761	585,279	11.24%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	3	10	35	95
ATP	Gross
$18.00	$1,183,698

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	41	299	199	3	1
Seats Added	5,275	41,966	28,829	701	130
Seats Sold	8,986	8,012	5,745	3,895	2,587
6/28/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,069	74,747	590,554	12.66%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	3	10	41	112
ATP	Gross
$17.79	$1,329,749

[Joyous Legion]

20 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 - Top Gun 2 - .232x (3.41m)

 - JWD - .133x (2.39m)

 - Nope - .933x (5.97m)

 - Morbius - .602x (3.43m)

 - Avatar 2 - .211x (3.59m)

 

Indiana Jones Fri T-1 comps

 - Top Gun 2 - .234x (7.66m) (*2.25)

 - JWD - .133x (5.52m) (*2.3)

 - Nope - 1.529x (20.09m) (*3.36)

 - Morbius - .899x (10.43m) (*3.04)

 - Avatar 2 - .226x (8.17m) (*2.27)

7.5-> 19.4 (*2.58) ezgame 

[keysersoze123]

18 minutes ago, ZackM said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	41	299	199	3	1
Seats Added	5,275	41,966	28,829	701	130
Seats Sold	8,986	8,012	5,745	3,895	2,587
6/28/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,069	74,747	590,554	12.66%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	3	10	41	112
ATP	Gross
$17.79	$1,329,749

MTC1 is looking at 110-115k finish !!!!

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, ZackM said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	41	299	199	3	1
Seats Added	5,275	41,966	28,829	701	130
Seats Sold	8,986	8,012	5,745	3,895	2,587
6/28/2023	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	3,069	74,747	590,554	12.66%
% of Seats Sold	100%	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	1	3	10	41	112
ATP	Gross
$17.79	$1,329,749

 

That growth was horrid for D2 to D1...no other way to spin that.