The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

2 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

I'm seeing people post alot of empty seats for Tonight and Tomm.  seats on Twitter for Woman King

 

Your shtick has grown tiresome. 

 

[ringedmortality]

2 minutes ago, Gokira2012 said:

I'm seeing people post alot of empty seats for Tonight and Tomm.  seats on Twitter for Woman King

 

Show us on the doll where The Woman King hurt you

[Gokira2012]

5 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

 

Show us on the doll where The Woman King hurt you

I'm a black american who is a descendant of slaves

[Eric the Marxist]

Moderation

 

@Gokira2012 has been threadbanned from the Tracking Thread for 24 hours

[charlie Jatinder]

The Woman King Harkins at 7:30 PM.

 

FRI - 6484/69314 (235 showings) $69,256

 

Expecting 7.7-7.9K final. That would normally be $5-5.25M but if it underindex as much as THU, then high 5s.

[rolandka19]

22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The Woman King Harkins at 7:30 PM.

 

FRI - 6484/69314 (235 showings) $69,256

 

Expecting 7.7-7.9K final. That would normally be $5-5.25M but if it underindex as much as THU, then high 5s.

Pretty solid number for The Woman King. 

 

Also, from perusing the AMC Theatres app tonight, I'm seeing lots of very full showings for Barbarian around the country (even a few sellouts). I wouldn't be surprised by a fairly low drop for this one this weekend. 

Edited September 17, 2022 by rolandka19

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Just now, rolandka19 said:

So the Friday total number (which would include Thursday previews) could be as much as $9-10 million? That would be excellent for The Woman King and a big surprise. Nice to see a movie not based on existing IP break out big with adult audiences.

 

Also, from perusing the AMC Theatres app tonight, I'm seeing lots of very full showings for Barbarian around the country (even a few sellouts). I wouldn't be surprised by a fairly low drop for this one this weekend. 

 

No.

 

7.7-7.9K is ticket sales. His estimation for true Friday is "high 5s" which would put it around $7.5M including Thursday. 

 

[rolandka19]

Just now, Babylon XXR said:

 

No.

 

7.7-7.9K is ticket sales. His estimation for true Friday is "high 5s" which would put it around $7.5M including Thursday. 

 

Thanks for clarifying - I misread it the first time. Still a solid number regardless.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The Woman King Harkins at 7:30 PM.

 

FRI - 6484/69314 (235 showings) $69,256

 

Expecting 7.7-7.9K final. That would normally be $5-5.25M but if it underindex as much as THU, then high 5s.

At 9:30 PM, 7107/69314 (235 showings) $76,531

 

Probably add another 100 or so. Not as high as expected. Probably $4.75-5M ish. If it underindex as much as THU, then $5.5M.

Edited September 17, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[SchumacherFTW]

6 hours ago, Derpity said:

Good shout, just booked this. It's 140 minutes and rated R, which narrows it down quite a bit. Thinking and hoping that it is indeed Amsterdam.

 

If it is, kinda weird that they skipped all the festivals but are releasing as an untitled $5 film at Regal lol.

If it's like the one they did in the UK last week, you're getting Hatching there. R rating and length are placeholders. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

At 9:30 PM, 7107/69314 (235 showings) $76,531

 

Probably add another 100 or so. Not as high as expected. Probably $4.75-5M ish. If it underindex as much as THU, then $5.5M.

The Woman King Harkins

 

FRI - 7258/69314 (235 showings) $78,321

Expecting $4.75-5M. On absolute high end $5.6M.

 

SAT pre-sales are good. Around +25% FRI. Can expect +30% or so for SAT. ~$17.5-19M weekend.

[Goldenhour36]

Don't Worry Darling (T-7) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 477/782 

 

 

Spoiler

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 121 Tickets sold, 43.06% of seats (281) are sold  

7:15 PM (Dolby Cinema): 217 Tickets sold, 77.22% of seats (281) are sold 

6:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 67 Tickets sold, 60.91% of seats (110) are sold 

9:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 62 Tickets sold, 56.36% of seats (110) are sold 

 

 

Friday- 185/330 

 

 

Spoiler

2:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 46 Tickets sold, 41.82% of seats are sold 

6:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 75 Tickets sold, 68.18% of seats are sold 

9:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 64 Tickets sold, 58.18% of seats are sold

 

 

Total: 662 Tickets sold, 59.53% of seats (1112) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (T-7): 944 Tickets sold, 37.50% of seats (2517) are sold (x0.701) 

Fall (T-7): 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold (x22.067) 

Barbarian (T-7): 93 Tickets sold, 4.16% of seats (2236) are sold (x7.118) 

 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

 

Thursday- 2/326 

 

 

Spoiler

5:15 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold 

8:15 PM (Standard): 2 Tickets sold, 1.23% of seats (163) are sold 

 

 

Friday- 0/489 

 

 

Spoiler

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold  

6:45 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold 

9:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold 

 

 

Total: 2 Tickets sold, 0.25% of seats (815) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (T-7): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1052) are sold (x2.000) 

Fall (T-7): No Comps 

Barbarian (T-7): No Comps 

 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Thursday- 9/438 

 

 

Spoiler

4:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold 

6:45 PM (Standard): 3 Tickets sold, 2.05% of seats (146) are sold 

9:30 PM (Standard): 6 Tickets sold, 4.11% of seats (146) are sold 

 

 

Friday- 1/584 

 

 

Spoiler

1:15 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold 

4:00 PM (Standard): 1 Tickets sold, 0.68% of seats (146) are sold 

6:45 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold 

9:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (146) are sold 

 

 

 

Total: 10 Tickets sold, 1.03% of seats (972) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (T-7): 1 Tickets sold, 0.03% of seats (2916) are sold (x10.000) 

Fall (T-7): No Comps 

Barbarian (T-7): No Comps 

 

SUM Total: 674 Tickets sold, 23.25% of seats (2899) are sold 

Comps 

Nope (T-7): 945 Tickets sold, 14.57% of seats (6085) are sold (x0.713) ($13,931,085) 

Fall (T-7): 30 Tickets sold, 5.57% of seats (539) are sold (x22.467) ($20,828,683) 

Barbarian (T-7): 93 Tickets sold, 4.16% of seats (2236) are sold (x7.247) ($27,857,149) 

[Eric the Marxist]

On 9/15/2022 at 10:06 PM, The Eric King said:

Don't Worry Darling Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	886	6980	12.69%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 70

 

Comp

4.160x of The Lost City T-7 (13.52M)

Don't Worry Darling Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	931	6980	13.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.920x of Dune T-6 (4.69M)

3.233x of The Lost City T-6 (10.51M)

0.973x of Morbius T-6 (5.54M)

[M37]

2 hours ago, The Eric King said:

Comp

0.920x of Dune T-6 (4.69M)

3.233x of The Lost City T-6 (10.51M)

0.973x of Morbius T-6 (5.54M)

 

Maybe just throw in some MCU titles just to lower the average

 

Yeah, this is blowing up in every market I usually check. Did notice that tickets are heavily confined to the 6/7 - 8/9p time slots, which often suggests a younger, more female skewing audience. Maybe include Downton as a comp, not that its a great fit, but more to set a lower bound for high pre-sales/lower walk-up rate, since the ceiling ... is apparently very high

 

Is DWD going to A Star is Born range?

[charlie Jatinder]

54 minutes ago, M37 said:

 

Maybe just throw in some MCU titles just to lower the average

 

Yeah, this is blowing up in every market I usually check. Did notice that tickets are heavily confined to the 6/7 - 8/9p time slots, which often suggests a younger, more female skewing audience. Maybe include Downton as a comp, not that its a great fit, but more to set a lower bound for high pre-sales/lower walk-up rate, since the ceiling ... is apparently very high

 

Is DWD going to A Star is Born range?

He didn't track DA till T-3 but yeah could be a good comp. I suppose by T-3 DA 2 comp will be around $3-3.5M.

[DAJK]

Honestly, I'm seeing a lot of people saying they want to see DWD because of Pugh, not necessarily because of Styles. I genuinely think this movie, and everything surrounding it, is going to solidify her ascent to the top of the A-list.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Honestly, I'm seeing a lot of people saying they want to see DWD because of Pugh, not necessarily because of Styles. I genuinely think this movie, and everything surrounding it, is going to solidify her ascent to the top of the A-list.

 

You love to see it for Miss Flo.

[Valonqar]

12 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Honestly, I'm seeing a lot of people saying they want to see DWD because of Pugh, not necessarily because of Styles. I genuinely think this movie, and everything surrounding it, is going to solidify her ascent to the top of the A-list.

 

DUNC II is going to have Miss Flo boost too. 

Edited September 17, 2022 by Valonqar

[Cooper Legion]

1 hour ago, M37 said:

 

Maybe just throw in some MCU titles just to lower the average

I used the Styles, to comp the Styles…

[Old Spice]

5 hours ago, M37 said:

 

Is DWD going to A Star is Born range?

I can't imagine that it would, because while ASIB was critically acclaimed and a great movie, DWD, is by most accounts, terrible. I mean, at some point quality matters, right?

 

Plus, it would sully my user name.