The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Rorschach]

Halloween Ends (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday:
    IMAX showings:
        5:00pm: 31/388
        7:55pm: 24/388
        10:50pm: 6/388
    2D showings:
        5:25pm: 2/67
        5:45pm: 36/135
        6:15pm: 11/85
        6:30pm: 51/78
        7:30pm: 23/141
        8:20pm: 2/67
        8:45pm: 35/135
        9:10pm: 5/85
        9:30pm: 18/78
        10:25pm: 7/141
    Total: 251/2,176 (11.5% sold)

 

Comps: 
Halloween Kills: $5.58 mil
Scream: $4.7 mil
Average: $5.14 mil

 

    Friday:
    IMAX showings:
        1:00pm: 2/388
        4:00pm: 2/388
        7:00pm: 90/388
        10:00pm: 19/388
    2D showings:
        11:30am: 4/135
        11:50am: 0/141
        12:15pm: 0/78
        1:20pm: 9/94
        2:05pm: 0/94
        2:30pm: 13/135
        2:50pm: 0/141
        3:15pm: 4/78
        4:20pm: 3/94
        5:05pm: 3/94
        5:30pm: 34/135
        5:50pm: 21/141
        6:15pm: 47/78
        7:20pm: 41/94
        8:05pm: 15/94
        8:30pm: 81/135
        8:50pm: 28/141
        9:15pm: 52/78
        10:20pm: 12/67
    Total: 480/3,599 (13.3% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 731/5,775 (12.7% sold)

 

Comps: 
Halloween Kills: $26.9 mil
Scream: $27.03 mil
Average: $26.97 mil

[Porthos]

On 10/12/2022 at 1:38 AM, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-30 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	294	32006	37022	5016	13.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

161

 

Regal:        371/5034  [7.37% sold]
Matinee:    205/4102  [5.00% | 4.23% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Just a strong day of sales up and down the region.

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-29 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	31881	37022	5141	13.89%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

125

 

T-29 Comp

%

Sold T-29

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

MoM

76.17

6749

6749

0/329

34167/40916

16.49%

21117

24.35%

27.42m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       209/5034  [4.15% sold]
Matinee:    214/4102  [5.22% | 4.16% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Went ahead and added that suspect sellout retroactively, which added 173 tickets sold to the total. I'll edit the prior posts for the historical record sometime later tomorrow.

Edited October 14, 2022 by Porthos

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	152	21769	22961	1192	5.19%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	538
Total Seats Sold Today	71

 

T-9 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	289.32		24	412		0/84	14323/14735	2.80%		2352	50.68%		11.86m
SC	79.89		122	1492		0/108	15995/17487	8.53%		5847	20.39%		7.03m
LTBC	87.71		97	1359		0/168	26691/28050	4.84%		7712	15.46%		10.17m
ET	47.97		121	2485		0/99	13201/15686	15.84%		6409	18.60%		4.56m
Bats	24.83		168	4801		0/297	31989/36790	13.05%		11757	10.14%		5.36m
Morb	128.73		68	926		0/141	19381/20307	4.56%		3477	34.28%		7.34m
JW3	35.27		194	3380		0/190	21844/25224	13.40%		10966	10.87%		6.35m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-9 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	93.87		81	1223		0/80	11347/12570	9.73%		4407	26.05%		6.98m
BA (adj)			71	1148		0/134	19109/20257	5.67%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  BA (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     134/4644  [2.89% sold]
Matinee:    41/2317  [1.77% | 3.44% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	152	21685	22959	1274	5.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

82

 

T-8 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	273.39		54	466		0/86	14550/15016	3.10%		2352	54.17%		11.21m
SC	77.64		149	1641		0/108	15846/17487	9.38%		5847	21.79%		6.83m
LTBC	86.90		107	1466		0/168	26584/28050	5.23%		7712	16.52%		10.08m
ET	49.27		101	2586		0/100	13230/15816	16.35%		6409	19.88%		4.68m
Bats	25.60		175	4976		0/297	31814/36790	13.53%		11757	10.84%		5.53m
Morb	129.08		61	987		0/144	19867/20854	4.73%		3477	36.64%		7.36m
JW3	35.68		191	3571		0/223	24183/27754	12.87%		10966	11.62%		6.42m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	92.82		100	1323		0/84	11791/13114	10.09%		4407	27.86%		6.90m
BA (adj)			80	1228		0/134	19027/20255	6.06%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  BA (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:      146/4642  [3.15% sold]
Matinee:    44/2316  [1.90% | 3.45% of all tickets sold]

[katnisscinnaplex]

18 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Adam	T-8	Jax	6	67	99	286	11,479	2.49%
		Phx	6	44	108	329	8,878	3.71%
		Ral	8	61	140	371	8,715	4.26%
	Total		20	172	347	986	29,072	3.39%
Halloween Ends	T-1	Jax	5	50	190	326	8,299	3.93%
		Phx	7	50	236	378	8,177	4.62%
		Ral	8	48	190	362	5,822	6.22%
	Total		20	148	616	1,066	22,298	4.78%

*New sales over the past week*

 

Halloween Ends T-1 comps

 - Halloween Kills - .754x (3.66m)
 - Nope - .78x (4.99m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.11x (4.56m)

 - Black Phone + EA - 1.83x (5.49m)

 

Note: Scream I only have T-0

 

Black Adam T-8 comps

 - Eternals - .512x (4.865m)

 - Black Widow - .377x (4.97m)

 - Shang-Chi - .907x (7.98m)

 - Morbius - 1.345x (7.67m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Halloween Ends	T-0	Jax	5	50	126	452	8,299	5.45%
		Phx	7	50	155	533	8,177	6.52%
		Ral	8	54	88	450	6,411	7.02%
	T-0 Total		20	154	369	1,435	22,887	6.27%

 

Halloween Ends T-0 comps

 - Halloween Kills - .792x (3.84m)
 - Nope - .723x (4.63m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.13x (4.64m)

 - Black Phone + EA - 1.73x (5.19m)

 - Candyman - 2.776x (5.27m)

 - Scream 5 - 1.027x (3.6m)

 

Looking like mid 4s at the moment.  Let's go with 4.4m

[katnisscinnaplex]

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-0	Halloween Ends	PLF	27	1,311	1,311	6,468	20.27%	$15.07	$19,761.08
		Standard	44	838	838	5,172	16.20%	$11.11	$9,307.18
	Halloween Ends Total		71	2,149	2,149	11,640	18.46%	$13.53	$29,068.26

 

Comps

 

Nope - 1.69x (10.82m)

Black Phone - 2.85x (7.41m)

Morbius - 1.09x (6.22m)

 

Santikos is definitely tracking higher than regionals.  If not for those, I'd have guessed around 7.5m, but I don't see that happening.  Think it will probably break 5m though if this is any indication and maybe up to... 5.4m?  Sure, why not

[CJohn]

How much did Halloween Kills do in previews?

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

How much did Halloween Kills do in previews?

$4.85M

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Paradise	T-7	Jax	4	10	15	15	1,457	1.03%
		Phx	5	12	9	9	1,469	0.61%
		Ral	8	19	17	17	1,798	0.95%
	Total		17	41	41	41	4,724	0.87%
Paradise (EA)	T-6	Jax	2	2	23	23	400	5.75%
	Total		2	2	23	23	400	5.75%

 

Paradise T-7 comps

 - Lost City - .205x (513k)

 - Bullet Train - .151x (507k)

 - Easter Sunday - 1.28x (641k)

[motionpic05]

Does Halloween Ends still have a shot at $50m for it's OW like Deadline/ Variety are predicting?

Pre-sales seem fantastic for Friday in my area, but kinda meh for tonight.

 

[jedijake]

The BPWF comparison to DSMoM seems to be getting better and better and it looks like it's making quick gains on MoM. 

 

Does it have a chance to eventually make more in previews than MoM?

[GOGODanca]

23 hours ago, GOGODanca said:

T-8 Black Adam:

752 tickets sold across 66 showtimes at 10 local AMC's

 

T-7 Black Adam:

816 tickets sold across 66 showtimes at 10 local AMC's (8.5% growth from YD)

[Inceptionzq]

53 minutes ago, jedijake said:

The BPWF comparison to DSMoM seems to be getting better and better and it looks like it's making quick gains on MoM.

T-29 was the first day of MoM sales. So that comp will decrease for the next few days.

 

55 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Does it have a chance to eventually make more in previews than MoM?

Currently, I would say no.

[stripe]

2 hours ago, motionpic05 said:

Does Halloween Ends still have a shot at $50m for it's OW like Deadline/ Variety are predicting?

Pre-sales seem fantastic for Friday in my area, but kinda meh for tonight.

 

 

It still can reach the mark but I wouldn't bet it does. As I see, the presales are slightly behind Kills, and this third chapter should be more frontoloaded. IMHO, 40-45M OW is the range where it will land
 

51 minutes ago, jedijake said:

The BPWF comparison to DSMoM seems to be getting better and better and it looks like it's making quick gains on MoM. 

 

Does it have a chance to eventually make more in previews than MoM?

Over 36M would be incredible, and I really think it can reach that mark.

Anyways, WF does not need that previews number to have a better OW than MoM. Even with 30M Thursday  it should easily pass 200M OW

[jedijake]

Yeah, looking at the proper Friday and Saturday for MoM, BPWF should top those. And hopefully it will have a smaller Sunday drop than MoM.

[Nikostar]

I am so happy 200 OW is back on the table for BPWK. Was worried after the first day but seems to have recovered nicely. Social media reactions will be on October 25th so expect a big bump.

[Menor the Destroyer]

38 minutes ago, Nikostar said:

I am so happy 200 OW is back on the table for BPWK. Was worried after the first day but seems to have recovered nicely. Social media reactions will be on October 25th so expect a big bump.

I mean nothing has changed in the overall picture since day 1. 200 OW is on the table if reception is great, but the sales since day 1 have gone pretty much as expected.

[jedijake]

1 hour ago, Nikostar said:

I am so happy 200 OW is back on the table for BPWK. Was worried after the first day but seems to have recovered nicely. Social media reactions will be on October 25th so expect a big bump.

But social media reactions are usually mostly fluff. It's not the hardcore critics but people who were invited. They are ALWAYS elevated. Even Eternals had good social media reactions. 

 

The real question is when will the critics post their reviews on RT?

[ringedmortality]

Halloween Ends is at 63% with 8 reviews right now.

[Nikostar]

1 minute ago, ringedmortality said:

Halloween Ends is at 63% with 8 reviews right now.

With a 5.6 avg so expect reviews to fall 

[motionpic05]

5 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

Halloween Ends is at 63% with 8 reviews right now.

I would be surprised if it doesn't fall to the 20s or 30s by the end of the night.