The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[M37]

9 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

 

Yeah, I just checked and I see times on fandango for Regal theaters here, but wtf the Marq*e STILL doesn't have a listing for their IMAX.  They've been renovating since like August what is taking so long?!

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bones and All	T-3	Jax	5	9	5	14	756	1.85%
		Phx	6	11	1	8	711	1.13%
		Ral	6	9	6	18	936	1.92%
	Total		17	29	12	40	2,403	1.66%
Devotion	T-3	Jax	5	16	1	26	1,470	1.77%
		Phx	7	20	3	17	2,238	0.76%
		Ral	7	18	15	34	1,516	2.24%
	Total		19	54	19	77	5,224	1.47%
Fabelmans	T-4	Jax	2	8	0	8	492	1.63%
		Phx	1	4	1	2	164	1.22%
		Ral	3	12	-4	9	1,540	0.58%
	Total		6	24	-3	19	2,196	0.87%
Glass Onion	T-4	Jax	4	17	25	181	1,962	9.23%
		Phx	3	16	9	129	1,380	9.35%
		Ral	2	11	20	246	896	27.46%
	Total		9	44	54	556	4,238	13.12%
Heard the Bells	T-12	Jax	4	5	3	76	678	11.21%
		Phx	2	2	0	26	596	4.36%
		Ral	6	6	4	242	566	42.76%
	Total		12	13	7	344	1,840	18.70%
Puss Boots (EA)	T-7	Jax	4	4	11	50	366	13.66%
		Phx	5	5	12	63	488	12.91%
		Ral	5	5	17	32	667	4.80%
	Total		14	14	40	145	1,521	9.53%
Puss in Boots	T-32	Jax	5	29	0	4	3,051	0.13%
		Phx	5	25	5	8	3,084	0.26%
		Ral	6	35	0	15	4,013	0.37%
	Total		16	89	5	27	10,148	0.27%
Strange World	T-3	Jax	5	19	9	21	1,936	1.08%
		Phx	7	23	0	26	2,994	0.87%
		Ral	8	19	4	10	2,100	0.48%
	Total		20	61	13	57	7,030	0.81%
Violent Night	T-12	Jax	5	18	4	17	1,974	0.86%
		Phx	5	14	1	13	2,161	0.60%
		Ral	6	13	5	21	1,485	1.41%
	Total		16	45	10	51	5,620	0.91%

 

Bones and All T-3 comps

 - Crawdads - .092x (183k)

 - Antlers - 1x (370k)

 - Smile - missed

 - Last Night in Soho - .556x (417k)

 

Strange World T-3 comps

 - Lightyear - .079x (385k)

 - Encanto - .298x (448k)

 - Sonic 2 - .064x (321k)

 

Devotion - T-3 comps

 - Amsterdam - .733x (403k)

 - Snake Eyes - .467x (653k)

 - Free Guy - .252x (555k)

 - Massive Talent - .713x (499k)

 

Glass Onion T-4 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - NTTD + EA - .526x (3.31m)

 - F9 - .53x (3.75m)

 - Ghostbusters + EA - .817x (3.68m)

 - Top Gun 2 + EA - .13x (2.51m)

Fabelmans T-4 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - House of Gucci - .11x (144k)

 - Elvis - missed

 

(One theater that had 9 tickets sold has removed all of their Fabelmans shows)

 

Puss in Boots EA T-7 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .463x

 - Sonic 2 EA - .895x (1.14k)

 

(EA sales have been consistently increasing against the comps.  Should be a solid day)

 

Violent Night T-12 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.83x (1.42m)

 - Bullet Train - .274x (919k)

 - Northman - missed

 

(Not sure what to use here)

 

I Heard the Bells T-12 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - .917x (1.65m)

 

Puss in Boots T-32 comps

 - Nope - missed

 - JW3 + EA - missed

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bones and All	T-2	Jax	5	9	8	22	756	2.91%
		Phx	6	11	4	12	711	1.69%
		Ral	6	8	2	20	891	2.24%
	Total		17	28	14	54	2,358	2.29%
Devotion	T-2	Jax	5	16	6	32	1,470	2.18%
		Phx	7	20	7	24	2,238	1.07%
		Ral	7	18	0	34	1,516	2.24%
	Total		19	54	13	90	5,224	1.72%
Fabelmans	T-3	Jax	2	8	0	8	492	1.63%
		Phx	1	4	1	3	164	1.83%
		Ral	2	8	2	11	1,276	0.86%
	Total		5	20	3	22	1,932	1.14%
Glass Onion	T-3	Jax	4	17	3	184	1,962	9.38%
		Phx	3	16	20	149	1,380	10.80%
		Ral	2	12	46	292	946	30.87%
	Total		9	45	69	625	4,288	14.58%
Heard the Bells	T-11	Jax	4	5	6	82	678	12.09%
		Phx	2	2	0	26	596	4.36%
		Ral	6	6	2	244	566	43.11%
	Total		12	13	8	352	1,840	19.13%
Puss Boots (EA)	T-6	Jax	4	4	16	66	366	18.03%
		Phx	5	5	16	79	488	16.19%
		Ral	5	5	14	46	667	6.90%
	Total		14	14	46	191	1,521	12.56%
Puss in Boots	T-31	Jax	5	29	0	4	3,051	0.13%
		Phx	5	25	0	8	3,084	0.26%
		Ral	6	35	4	19	4,013	0.47%
	Total		16	89	4	31	10,148	0.31%
Strange World	T-2	Jax	5	19	0	21	1,936	1.08%
		Phx	7	23	0	26	2,994	0.87%
		Ral	8	19	3	13	2,100	0.62%
	Total		20	61	3	60	7,030	0.85%
Violent Night	T-11	Jax	5	18	0	17	1,974	0.86%
		Phx	5	14	3	16	2,161	0.74%
		Ral	6	13	2	23	1,485	1.55%
	Total		16	45	5	56	5,620	1.00%

 

Bones and All T-2 comps

 - Crawdads - .095x (190k)

 - Antlers - .9x (333k)

 - Smile - missed

 - Last Night in Soho - .54x (405k)

 

Strange World T-2 comps

 - Lightyear - .066x (322k)

 - Encanto - .248x (372k)

 - Sonic 2 - .056x (279k)

 - Sing 2 - .025x (206k)

 

Devotion - T-2 comps

 - Amsterdam - .72x (396k)

 - Snake Eyes - .393x (550k)

 - Free Guy - .256x (564k)

 - Massive Talent - .657x (460k)

 

Glass Onion T-3 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - NTTD + EA - missed

 - F9 - .43x (3.06m)

 - Ghostbusters + EA - .67x (3.02m)

 - Top Gun 2 + EA - .111x (2.13m)

Fabelmans T-3 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - House of Gucci - .1x (130k)

 - Elvis - missed

 

Puss in Boots EA T-6 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .582x

 - Sonic 2 EA - 1.085x (1.38k)

 

(EA sales have been consistently increasing against the comps.  Should be a solid day)

 

Violent Night T-11 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.15x (1.08m)

 - Bullet Train - .264x (885k)

 - Northman - missed

 

(Not sure what to use here)

 

I Heard the Bells T-11 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - .852x (1.53m)

 

Puss in Boots T-31 comps

 - Nope - missed

 - JW3 + EA - .019x (348k)

[Shawn Robbins]

25 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

The legs part doesn't really have anything much to do with tracking, rather on how well you think the film is going to be recieved by audiences. Which I think you've completely missed the mark on! I understand if you do tracking all the time on regular movies, it's going to be difficult to predict anything over 5x legs, just like with Top Gun. The difference with Top Gun and this movie however is that we have more much information at our disposal to understand just how good Avatar 2 is going to be.

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-james-camerons-avatar-the-way-of-water/

your page is down by the way

It's back up.

 

And I pretty much said all of that in the written report. 🙂

 

Also, a 135/720 split is a 5.33x multiple. So your hoped 5x+ is accounted for already. 

[IronJimbo]

11 minutes ago, Shawn said:

It's back up.

 

And I pretty much said all of that in the written report. 🙂

 

Also, a 135/720 split is a 5.33x multiple. So your hoped 5x+ is accounted for already. 

I assumed the 720 required the higher opening weekend!

 

[Shawn Robbins]

16 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

I assumed the 720 required the higher opening weekend!

 

Not necessarily!

[Joyous Legion]

The evil twin of 720/135 is 475/175 

[XXR & Friends]

5 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

The evil twin of 720/135 is 475/175 

 

Ooof. Imagine. Sub-TROS legs 

[charlie Jatinder]

the right answer is obviously 220 and 1000+.

[Issac Newton]

Currently thinking - $400M / $1400M DOM

[Nero]

29 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Currently thinking - $400M / $1400M WW

 

Edited November 20, 2022 by Nero

[XXR & Friends]

54 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Currently thinking - $400M / $1400M DOM

 

This is delusional and you need to unthink it. 

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Currently thinking - $400M / $1400M DOM

 

Got just the club for you to join!

 

 

Edited November 20, 2022 by Porthos

[JustLurking]

Man, this is going to be a real fun finale to the year.

Edited November 20, 2022 by JustLurking

[GOGODanca]

Looking at showtimes for Avatar 2 at 10 AMC's and 36/138 shows are standard showtimes

 

 

Edited November 20, 2022 by GOGODanca

[Porthos]

Just mentioned this in the A2 thread, but might as well mention it here for tracking purposes, but nearly all of the Regal 3D showings are labeled as High Frame Rate.  So far, the 4DX 3D showings aren't HFR (and might not be able to due to the format), but nearly every other Regal 3D showing is HFR.

 

Studio Movie Grill also put up an initial set, but so far it isn't labeled as HFR.  But they might not have all the info up yet.

Edited November 20, 2022 by Porthos

[filmlover]

I’ve been looking at the sales for the Thanksgiving openers and Strange World is selling plenty (at least enough to indicate $25M for the 5-day is happening) but otherwise…it’s not gonna be a pretty frame, let’s just say that. Devotion is barely doing better here in early sales than She Said did.

Edited November 21, 2022 by filmlover

[Eric the Minion]

On 11/19/2022 at 9:28 PM, Eric Killmonger said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-32 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	61	59	10286	0.57%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: -1

 

Comp

0.178x of Sing 2 T-32 (1.73M)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-31 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	73	76	11535	0.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

0.174x of Sing 2 T-31 (1.69M)

[Potiki]

Regal tickets are live for Avatar 2. 

 

Edit: maybe not getting unexpected errors when trying to select amount of tickets. 

Edited November 21, 2022 by Potiki

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, Potiki said:

Regal tickets are live for Avatar 2. 

 

 

That was quick. 

 

(was already greyed out on Fandango)

[Porthos]

7 minutes ago, Potiki said:

Edit: maybe not getting unexpected errors when trying to select amount of tickets. 

 

Suspect it's actually some sort of coding error going on that is allowing the initial page to be hit but then running into the embargo wall when actually trying to get to the purchase ticket stage.