Weekday Numbers (12/27-30) | Asgard 2 says 20.5 Thursday for NWH | Derby is Back!

[infamous5445]

NWH under Avatar's DOM gross but over JW worldwide would be such a tease but I'd totally take that

[Tokugennumataka]

6 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Tuesday the 4th will drop from the 3rd, as the rest of schools make it back in. Usually its the 2nd week before (precovid) the Tuesday increases were normal again. 

I feel the Monday drop will make up for it then. 

[narniadis]

2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

I feel the Monday drop will make up for it then. 

Yes, we should "maybe" see drops in the 50-60% range instead of the 75% area. Then again, its hard to know for sure in the covid world. 

Like Tomorrow should in theory be down about 25% from today (so somewhere over 16m prob) and then Saturday up 50-60% before dropping around 40 on Sunday. Makes for weird dynamics in the covid world and the higher dollar amounts that Spidey is pulling. 

[JonahVex]

33mil next weekend would be a drop of only 34% assuming a 50mil this weekend, TFA had a 53% drop from weekend 3 to 4, i'd guess something like 25 mil next weekend

Edited December 31, 2021 by JonahVex
mistake

[Legion Again]

22 minutes ago, narniadis said:

45m would be a disaster all things considered. Should comfortably cross 50m+ and will probably be close to 40m with just Friday and Saturday (and yes, that accounts for it dropping on Friday.) 

They said 4th weekend, not 3rd

 

Edit: nvm, see below

Edited December 31, 2021 by Product Driven Legion

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

They said 4th weekend, not 3rd

 

LPLC thinks $45M this weekend. 

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, RiddlerXXR said:

 

LPLC thinks $45M this weekend. 

Ah, yeah, they were talking about the 3rd and 4th in different parts, my bad. I think lplc was commenting on Jat having 45-50 3rd+33 4th as weird, which I kind of agree. Personally on 50-55

Edited December 31, 2021 by Product Driven Legion

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, LPLC said:

$33M in 4th weekend ? That would be huge, I was more thinking of something like $20M-$25M if $45M in 3rd weekend.

2nd and 3rd weekend are deflated. 4th will be normal. 

[XXR vs XXR]

Idk what todays numbers will look like 👀

 

But my presales for tomorrow are running about 30% behind todays (at the same comparative time). 

[EmpireCity]

Looking at roughly flat today, but could be +2% either way.  

 

Nice hold.  

[EmpireCity]

Don't forget, a lot of theaters were able to dump or split lesser movies and will have more shows of Spider-Man.  Should have a good hold this weekend.  

[EmpireCity]

Also, don't forget that this is the first New Year's Eve people are spending together since 2019.  Lots and lots of people are going to be looking to get laid on all sides of the sexual spectrum.  

 

My guess is we will have more people than normal getting hammered on New Year's Eve and not making it out as much on New Year's Day due to late night and morning sex mixed with hangovers.  

[Torontofan]

So Far looks like no other Canadian province will be shutting down Cinemas for now. Quebec under Curfew though XD 

[druv10]

34 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Looking at roughly flat today, but could be +2% either way.  

 

Nice hold.  

Great hold, 19.8M to 20.6M

[Legion Again]

38 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Also, don't forget that this is the first New Year's Eve people are spending together since 2019.  Lots and lots of people are going to be looking to get laid on all sides of the sexual spectrum.  

 

My guess is we will have more people than normal getting hammered on New Year's Eve and not making it out as much on New Year's Day due to late night and morning sex mixed with hangovers.  

@iHeartJames, confirm or deny?

[CJohn]

41 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Also, don't forget that this is the first New Year's Eve people are spending together since 2019.  Lots and lots of people are going to be looking to get laid on all sides of the sexual spectrum.  

 

My guess is we will have more people than normal getting hammered on New Year's Eve and not making it out as much on New Year's Day due to late night and morning sex mixed with hangovers.  

And I am just sitting here sleepy and wanting to go to bed early.

[Legion Again]

To be clear -- flat from 20.5 right? Or actual looks flat from Sony 20.2 so maybe they'll report 19.9

[Tokugennumataka]

If the 4th weekend is 33M and that's a big if, that'll be 78% of TFAs 4th weekend and we could see it maintain that ratio or better it throughout the run. The same percent places it at 758M. If that happens we have a nail-biter vs Avatar. 

[Tokugennumataka]

5 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

To be clear -- flat from 20.5 right? Or actual looks flat from Sony 20.2 so maybe they'll report 19.9

I could honestly see a boost of like ~ 1.5M to the total when the actuals are reported. 

Edited December 31, 2021 by Tokugennumataka

[EmpireCity]

It's as flat as your mom's chest.