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Eric Furiosa

THE BATMAN WEEKEND THREAD | 134M OW DOM, 258.2M WW | Biggest WB opening since BvS. First non Disney-affiliated 100M OW since 2018

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1 minute ago, commendable said:

aren't ppl too quick to call this a success? its looking like the max is 750m WW which im not even sure would make them a profit


Being on the tail end of the current COVID wave isn’t the same as treating something as if COVID never existed, especially as not all demos are returning in equal numbers.  Plus taking into account ballooning costs thanks to shooting/post during COVID.

 

Context matters, in other words.

 

(as does noting how well it’s going over/legs/reception/and so on)

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3 minutes ago, commendable said:

aren't ppl too quick to call this a success? its looking like the max is 750m WW which im not even sure would make them a profit

750M is still more than thrice its production budget, a roaring success in my book. There's also all that ancillary as the icing on the cake.

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5 minutes ago, commendable said:

aren't ppl too quick to call this a success? its looking like the max is 750m WW which im not even sure would make them a profit

How a 185M movie making 750M would not make a profit if it´s box office it´s not relying on China? It´s probably reaching that without China at all, it´s definitely a success.

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9 minutes ago, commendable said:

aren't ppl too quick to call this a success? its looking like the max is 750m WW which im not even sure would make them a profit

Yeh… we’re not doing this “a film could make 3.75x its budget from cinemas alone, but is it a success?” thing. 

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Just now, BruiseCruise said:

If a movie making 750 mil isn't enough to turn a profit then the studio has way bigger problems with cost management (unless it's an endgame type movie)

Exactly, you doesn´t need to do 1B even before pandemic to be succesful unless you have a +300M budget or something.

 

If now the billion is needed to be considered a success then i fear we´re going to 2023 with just 2 or 3 ´´succesful´´movies since pandemic, because clearly we´re still in recovery.

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10 minutes ago, BruiseCruise said:

Hoping for a sub 65% drop today 

Pre covid 70% Mon drop was the standard for block busters

CM dropped 72%

 

Sub 65% drop would be really good. We don't know how covid changed . This is the first march blockbuster since 2019.

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1 minute ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Pre covid 70% Mon drop was the standard for block busters

CM dropped 72%

 

Sub 65% drop would be really good. We don't know how covid changed . This is the first march blockbuster since 2019.

This is true. The main thing I'll be keeping an eye on will be the second weekend drop, way too much has changed to be able to compare daily drops to the before-times.

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Just for the record, 3day DC openings (modern day, unadjusted)

 

BVS- 166m

The Dark Knight Rises- 160.8m

The Dark Knight- 158.4m

The Batman- 134m

Suicide Squad- 133.6m

Man of Steel- 116.6m

Wonder Woman- 103.2m

Joker- 96.2m

Justice League- 93.8m

Aquaman- 67.8m

Watchmen- 55.2m

Shazam- 53.5m

Green Lantern- 53.1m

Superman Returns- 52.5m

Batman Begins- 48.7m

Birds of Prey- 33m

The Suicide Squad- 26.2m (HBO MAX)

WW84- 16.7m (HBO MAX)

Jonah Hex- 5.3m

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The Batman will likely push American Sniper out of the top 10 highest grossing WB movies of all time domestically which will mean that 8 out of the top 10 are DC films and 4 of the those are Batman films which shows how important DC and Batman are to WB overall. 

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Ok, BOT Formus and posters, what did we learn this week?  Did we all learn to NOT freak out before you even see a Thursday preview number?  Did you learn to NOT freak out when you have zero clue what the Friday number is?  Did you learn to NOT freak out when you don't know a Saturday or Sunday number?  

 

Let's try to be better going forward.  Let's not go apeshit on Friday evening screaming about $110m opening when (hilariously) the actual opening ends up being $134m+

 

Hope this helps.  

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