RJ-195 Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 Current OS total 544.5 UK 20m France 7m Germany 6m Rest of Europe 12m LATAM 5m Japan 15m SK 30m Australia 15m Rest of Asia 20m 130m 674.5m It is predictable in Europe so it wont make much more than those. In Japan, it will face big movies in July and it holds will get worse as more competition will come. Same in SK with more big local movies in two weeks. If there isnt many big competition in SK, it should cruise 8m imo. Rest of Asia majority still playing strong in middle east, taiwan and hongkong, also some SEA market. 25.5m isn't a small number, sure it can made more in some market listed above but it is easier to expect domestic market to get let say 720-725m than this to get 700m imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Rambo Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 13 hours ago, RJ-195 said: Current OS total 544.5 UK 20m France 7m Germany 6m Rest of Europe 12m LATAM 5m Japan 15m SK 30m Australia 15m Rest of Asia 20m 130m 674.5m It is predictable in Europe so it wont make much more than those. In Japan, it will face big movies in July and it holds will get worse as more competition will come. Same in SK with more big local movies in two weeks. If there isnt many big competition in SK, it should cruise 8m imo. Rest of Asia majority still playing strong in middle east, taiwan and hongkong, also some SEA market. 25.5m isn't a small number, sure it can made more in some market listed above but it is easier to expect domestic market to get let say 720-725m than this to get 700m imo. So based on ur predictions i would say my conservative estimate would be 700M Dom and 675M OS. Hope SK and JP defies above odds and overperforms! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doffy Posted July 8, 2022 Share Posted July 8, 2022 29 minutes ago, John Rambo said: So based on ur predictions i would say my conservative estimate would be 700M Dom and 675M OS. Hope SK and JP defies above odds and overperforms! Add Anthore 10m+ from sk 5m+ japan need anthore 10m from rest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 Another strong intl wknd for #TopGunMaverick in week #7. Latest #boxoffice:Intl - $23M wknd / $586.2M cumeDomestic - $15.5M/$597.4MGlobal - $38.5M/$1.184BLikely to break $1.2B by this WED and has a shot at $1.3B too! All w/o China/Russia. #TopGun #Maverick #TomCruise— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) July 10, 2022 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 TOP GUN: MAVERICK$586.2M Overseas Total / 65 Markets$1.18B Global Total TOP MARKETS:UK: $87.9MJapan: $63.2MAustralia: $55MFrance: $44.7MKorea: $37.8M#TopGun #Maverick #TopGunMaverick #BoxOffice— Boxoffice Pro (@BoxOffice) July 10, 2022 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 OS catching up. on domestic gross 1.3 billion WW is a lock, 1.4b is still doable. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 OS 700m DOM 680m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 Japan would have been at $80M in normal exchange rate. So, ER loss is $16.8M At this rate, we can't defeat UK.... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Rambo Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: Japan would have been at $80M in normal exchange rate. So, ER loss is $16.8M At this rate, we can't defeat UK.... MI Ghost protocols Japan gross....with 5.5B in lc....it translated to 69m in USD....what a phase for movies during this period...if TGM was in this phase UK would have been defeated 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, John Rambo said: MI Ghost protocols Japan gross....with 5.5B in lc....it translated to 69m in USD....what a phase for movies during this period...if TGM was in this phase UK would have been defeated We used to be Tom Cruise No.1 Oversea market (excl. Mainland China). And Now losing to UK..... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 — Overseas Trend — 05.29 | $124.0M 06.05 | $257.0M (+$133.0M) 06.12 | $353.7M (+$96.7M) [--27%] 06.19 | $419.0M (+$65.3M) [--32%] 06.26 | $484.7M (+$65.7M) [+01%] 07.03 | $544.5M (+$59.8M) [--09%] 07.10 | $586.2M (+$41.7M) [--30%] 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Rambo Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 10 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: We used to be Tom Cruise No.1 Oversea market (excl. Mainland China). And Now losing to UK..... Japan will always be Cruise biggest market for sure..pretty sure if you consider grosses from individual countries..right from his initial days...Japan will easily be the first! TGM is just an anomaly.... Among major hollywood markets i feel these are his most consistent ones by order: 1. Japan 2. South Korea 3. United Kingdom 4. France 5. Taiwan/Hong Kong 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 I think simple $ comparisons won't give justice to the actual numbers. Like the most impressive run is by far Australia. It's already in all time top 5 there, beats UK and Japan in my book. Hopefully it can climb in the all time top 10 in more territories . NZ, Taiwan and HK looking strong as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 WW trend OW:252M Second Week:557.2M(+305.2M) Third Week:747M(+189.8M,-38%) Fourth Week:885.2M(+138.2M,-27%) Fifth Week:1,006.4M(+121.2M,-12%,South Korea Opening) Sixth Week:1,108.5M(+102.1M,-16%,Minions Opening) Seventh Week:1,184M(+75.5M,-26% Thor Opening) 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Issac Newton said: Japan would have been at $80M in normal exchange rate. So, ER loss is $16.8M At this rate, we can't defeat UK.... Same for the Euro - we are at bloody parity - 1€ = 1.018$ (for comps during 2008 and 2009 we were at 1€ being $1.40 (and during 2008 $1.50). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 Same goes for the £, at one point 1 £ was worth almost 2$ so at the point Japan would have been behind the UK again xD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 Unlike japan many other markets have ticket price inflation. Plus back then there were not that many PLF/Imax screens. I remember when Dark Knight opened in 2008, it had 50 imax screens and no other PLF screens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 (edited) Yeah, it should be said that the pound is also very weak, almost at the weakest level since 1985. Last year it was £1 : $1.4, now fallen to $1.2. I don’t think this is offset fully by inflation of ticket prices. Top Gun would have blasted past the $100m mark in the UK. Edited July 10, 2022 by Heretic 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 (edited) So considering shitty ERC, what lifetimes are we looking at for OS and WW? Edited July 10, 2022 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 11, 2022 Share Posted July 11, 2022 (edited) Marvick got decent drop in New Zealand,it got $380k on its 7th Weekend(biggest 7th weekend during covid era),It's already beating NWH become Highest grossing film during Covid era and 10th highest grossing film of all-time. Edited July 11, 2022 by Bruce 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...