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titanic2187

Top Gun: Maverick | Oscar-wining Billionaire | $1.48bn without China!

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27 minutes ago, Bruce said:

TGM OS trend

OW:124m

Second week:257m(+133m)

Third week:353.7m(+96.7m)【-27%】

Fourth week:419m(+65.3m)【-32%】

Fifth week:484.7m(+65.7m)【+1%】

probably 620m full run.

 

Taking out the 12.85m from SK we had a 52.85m week down 19% from last week.

OS-SK:

W6: 39.65m (-25%)

W7: 25m (-37%, THOR3)

W9: 18m (-28%)

W10: 13m (-28%)

W11: 8m (-39%)

Rest: 15m

I think these drops should be doable because the more leggy markets get a bigger % the longer the runs goes.

$590.5m OS-SK

 

SK:

W1: $12.8m

W2: $13.2m (based on Monday getting close to OD admission)

After that it should do alteast 25m more for a total of $50m minimum.

That said once we see week 3 and how it holds vs thor we know if we could expect something closer to 65-70m.

 

So I guess: 590.5m + 50m => 640.5m With a decent shot at 650m I guess.

 

Edited by pepsa
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4 hours ago, RJ-195 said:

Seems like it has a great chance to get 1.1b by 4th July

1.006b now

16m domestic weekdays

33m 4 day weekend

14m overseas weekdays 

21m overseas weekend

15 Mon-Sun SK

1.105b by 4th July 

 

The overseas weekdays was still 8.1m last Monday and averaged high 7 mils last week. I think worst case it still averages 6m-5m this week.

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7 minutes ago, Hilpkioy said:

The overseas weekdays was still 8.1m last Monday and averaged high 7 mils last week. I think worst case it still averages 6m-5m this week.

No, overseas weekdays got 6m monday last week 427m monday from 421m sunday.

 

Last week OS total 484.7-12.7 (SK) = 470. 

470-32 OS weekend = 438m - 421m from previous weekend = 17m OS weekdays.

 

Even 14m already good for holdovers-SK. 

 

Edited by RJ-195
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On 5/15/2022 at 4:24 PM, Bigscrubnus said:

I can’t see this making too much overseas. It’s going to be a very domestic heavy movie

Only half of this post turned out to be right. The other half very wrong.

Edited by Mojoguy
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With the actuals now counted, Paramount/Skydance’s Top Gun: Maverick has soared to $1.007B global through Sunday. That includes $520.8M domestically and $486.1M from 65 international markets for the Tom Cruise-starrer.

The international box office weekend came in higher than estimated on Sunday (see below) with $45.7M; and newcomer Korea is showing staying power with $14.2M through Monday — today’s addition in that market is not included in the offshore total above.

 

Top overseas markets to date include:

  • U.K. ($78.7M)
  • Japan ($51.1M)
  • Australia ($45.5M)
  • France ($39.1M)
  • Germany ($23.3M)
  • Brazil ($17.9M)
  • Taiwan ($16.5M)
  • South Korea ($12.9M after opening there just this past weekend)
  • Saudi Arabia ($12.8M)
  • Mexico ($12.8M)
  • Italy ($10.9M)
  • Hong Kong ($10.8M)  

Notably, the film has not been released in China.

Edited by titanic2187
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