Top Gun: Maverick | Oscar-wining Billionaire | $1.48bn without China!

[titanic2187]

This may not be as big internationally as in domestic market but hey, it is Tom cruise.

 

seem like the movie will have quite simultaneous release across the globe except South Korea and no words for china release yet.
 

Canada	25 May 2022
France	25 May 2022
Iceland	25 May 2022
Singapore	25 May 2022
United Arab Emirates	26 May 2022
Argentina	26 May 2022
Australia	26 May 2022
Brazil	26 May 2022
Germany	26 May 2022
Denmark	26 May 2022
Spain	26 May 2022
Finland	26 May 2022
Hungary	26 May 2022
Italy	26 May 2022
Mexico	26 May 2022
Malaysia	26 May 2022
Netherlands	26 May 2022
Portugal	26 May 2022
Bulgaria	27 May 2022
UK	27 May 2022
Ireland	27 May 2022
India	27 May 2022
Japan	27 May 2022
Cambodia	27 May 2022
Lithuania	27 May 2022
Latvia	27 May 2022
Norway	27 May 2022
Sweden	27 May 2022
Turkey	27 May 2022
USA	27 May 2022
South Korea	22 June 2022

 

Edited February 4, 2023 by titanic2187

[Brainbug the Dinosaur]

Makes sense for South Korea to release later since Jurassic World comes out on June 1 already there.

[Taruseth]

I'd say the likelihood of a china release are at best -100%. A patriotic US movie, yeah, they won't release that.

What do you all think will this movie do?

It feels like it might do quite nice in most countries (as it seems to be a proper action movie) but it obviously lacks the draw it has in the US.
Presales in Germany at least aren't looking as bleak as I expected. 

[XXR!™]

I have no clue what this'll do but it definitely feels like the type of film that DOM will be higher than OS. So maybe $350-400M OS? 

[Bigscrubnus]

I can’t see this making too much overseas. It’s going to be a very domestic heavy movie

[LegendaryBen]

32 minutes ago, Bigscrubnus said:

I can’t see this making too much overseas. It’s going to be a very domestic heavy movie

Can you please specify your prediction?

[Fox20]

3 hours ago, Taruseth said:

I'd say the likelihood of a china release are at best -100%. A patriotic US movie, yeah, they won't release that.

What do you all think will this movie do?

It feels like it might do quite nice in most countries (as it seems to be a proper action movie) but it obviously lacks the draw it has in the US.
Presales in Germany at least aren't looking as bleak as I expected. 

It's not -100% when they already said weeks ago that is banned.

[picores]

250-300m OS Dont underestimate the star power of Tom Cruise overseas, there will be a good amount of markets with respectable numbers. Over Uncharted OS should be a good goal here.

Edited May 16, 2022 by picores

[BruiseCruise]

$300m OS

[Issac Newton]

Top Gun (1986) made ¥7.09B (Original Run (¥6.70B) + 1991 re-release (¥390M)) in Japan.

 

Tom Cruise's last work "Mission Impossible: Fallout" (2018) made ¥4.72B here. I think min ¥2B / $15.5M or if there is a breakout then ¥5B / $38.8M should be on cards....

[Borobudur]

Should be around 300m-350m. Tom Cruise is still a international draw. 

[MG10]

20 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

This may not be as big internationally as in domestic market but hey, it is Tom cruise.

 

seem like the movie will have quite simultaneous release across the globe except South Korea and no words for china release yet.
 

Canada	25 May 2022
France	25 May 2022
Iceland	25 May 2022
Singapore	25 May 2022
United Arab Emirates	26 May 2022
Argentina	26 May 2022
Australia	26 May 2022
Brazil	26 May 2022
Germany	26 May 2022
Denmark	26 May 2022
Spain	26 May 2022
Finland	26 May 2022
Hungary	26 May 2022
Italy	26 May 2022
Mexico	26 May 2022
Malaysia	26 May 2022
Netherlands	26 May 2022
Portugal	26 May 2022
Bulgaria	27 May 2022
UK	27 May 2022
Ireland	27 May 2022
India	27 May 2022
Japan	27 May 2022
Cambodia	27 May 2022
Lithuania	27 May 2022
Latvia	27 May 2022
Norway	27 May 2022
Sweden	27 May 2022
Turkey	27 May 2022
USA	27 May 2022
South Korea	22 June 2022

 

 

Of course this won't happen, but if China releases an American propaganda film about their army after banning completely harmless films like Venom or No Way Home it would be extremely funny...

[John Marston]

 

 

hope this bodes well for a good international run

[MG10]

4 hours ago, John Marston said:

 

 

hope this bodes well for a good international run

 

Here Tom Cruise is damn popular, even Johnny Depp and Brad Pitt turn pale in comparison. But I don't know if it's the same also for other countries

[Purple Minion]

Deadline: Top Gun: Maverick’ Set To Soar To $180M WW, Repping Best Global Start For Tom Cruise.

[titanic2187]

The early overseas number doesn’t seem to shape up as a mega hit. Selling quite tepid around my metropolitan area too. 

[Sophia Jane]

Can anyone tell about the Tom Cruise's popularity worldwide?In China we always call him“Jackie chan from America”,I agree they're both legend

[HesAPooka]

Champions League final this Saturday should put a small dent in its international numbers. Hopefully not too much.

[fantastic jat]

Shall do 100M ish opening weekend I think. Range 95-105.

Edited May 27, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[RJ 95]

Good early numbers in Japan, should get at least $7m-8m OW. 

Edited May 27, 2022 by RJ 95