Top Gun: Maverick | Oscar-wining Billionaire | $1.48bn without China!

[RJ-195]

Current OS total 544.5

UK 20m

France 7m

Germany 6m 

Rest of Europe 12m

LATAM 5m

Japan 15m

SK 30m

Australia 15m

Rest of Asia 20m

130m 

674.5m

 

It is predictable in Europe so it wont make much more than those. In Japan, it will face big movies in July and it holds will get worse as more competition will come. Same in SK with more big local movies in two weeks. If there isnt many big competition in SK, it should cruise 8m imo. Rest of Asia majority still playing strong in middle east, taiwan and hongkong, also some SEA market.

 

25.5m isn't a small number, sure it can made more in some market listed above but it is easier to expect domestic market to get let say 720-725m than this to get 700m imo.

 

[John Rambo]

13 hours ago, RJ-195 said:

Current OS total 544.5

UK 20m

France 7m

Germany 6m 

Rest of Europe 12m

LATAM 5m

Japan 15m

SK 30m

Australia 15m

Rest of Asia 20m

130m 

674.5m

 

It is predictable in Europe so it wont make much more than those. In Japan, it will face big movies in July and it holds will get worse as more competition will come. Same in SK with more big local movies in two weeks. If there isnt many big competition in SK, it should cruise 8m imo. Rest of Asia majority still playing strong in middle east, taiwan and hongkong, also some SEA market.

 

25.5m isn't a small number, sure it can made more in some market listed above but it is easier to expect domestic market to get let say 720-725m than this to get 700m imo.

 

So based on ur predictions i would say my conservative estimate would be 700M Dom and 675M OS. 

 

Hope SK and JP defies above odds and overperforms!

[Doffy]

29 minutes ago, John Rambo said:

So based on ur predictions i would say my conservative estimate would be 700M Dom and 675M OS. 

 

Hope SK and JP defies above odds and overperforms!

Add Anthore 10m+ from sk 5m+ japan need anthore 10m from rest.

[Issac Newton]

Another strong intl wknd for #TopGunMaverick in week #7. Latest #boxoffice:

Intl - $23M wknd / $586.2M cume
Domestic - $15.5M/$597.4M
Global - $38.5M/$1.184B

Likely to break $1.2B by this WED and has a shot at $1.3B too! All w/o China/Russia. #TopGun #Maverick #TomCruise

— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) July 10, 2022

[Issac Newton]

TOP GUN: MAVERICK
$586.2M Overseas Total / 65 Markets
$1.18B Global Total
TOP MARKETS:
UK: $87.9M
Japan: $63.2M
Australia: $55M
France: $44.7M
Korea: $37.8M#TopGun #Maverick #TopGunMaverick #BoxOffice

— Boxoffice Pro (@BoxOffice) July 10, 2022

[The Dark Alfred]

OS catching up. on domestic gross 1.3 billion WW is a lock, 1.4b is still doable.

[Sophia Jane]

OS 700m

DOM 680m

[Issac Newton]

Japan would have been at $80M in normal exchange rate. So, ER loss is $16.8M

 

At this rate, we can't defeat UK....

 

[John Rambo]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Japan would have been at $80M in normal exchange rate. So, ER loss is $16.8M

 

At this rate, we can't defeat UK....

 

MI Ghost protocols Japan gross....with 5.5B in lc....it translated to 69m in USD....what a phase for movies during this period...if TGM was in this phase UK would have been defeated

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, John Rambo said:

MI Ghost protocols Japan gross....with 5.5B in lc....it translated to 69m in USD....what a phase for movies during this period...if TGM was in this phase UK would have been defeated

We used to be Tom Cruise No.1 Oversea market (excl. Mainland China). And Now losing to UK.....

[Issac Newton]

— Overseas Trend —

 

05.29 | $124.0M

06.05 | $257.0M (+$133.0M)

06.12 | $353.7M   (+$96.7M) [--27%]

06.19 | $419.0M   (+$65.3M) [--32%]

06.26 | $484.7M   (+$65.7M) [+01%]

07.03 | $544.5M   (+$59.8M) [--09%]

07.10 | $586.2M   (+$41.7M) [--30%]

[John Rambo]

10 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

We used to be Tom Cruise No.1 Oversea market (excl. Mainland China). And Now losing to UK.....

Japan will always be Cruise biggest market for sure..pretty sure if you consider grosses from individual countries..right from his initial days...Japan will easily be the first! TGM is just an anomaly....

 

Among major hollywood markets i feel these are his most consistent ones by order:

1. Japan

2. South Korea

3. United Kingdom

4. France

5. Taiwan/Hong Kong

[The Dark Alfred]

I think simple $ comparisons won't give justice to the actual numbers. Like the most impressive run is by far Australia. It's already in all time top 5 there, beats UK and Japan in my book. Hopefully it can climb in the all time top 10 in more territories . NZ, Taiwan and HK looking strong as well.

[Sophia Jane]

WW trend

OW：252M
Second Week：557.2M（+305.2M）
Third Week：747M（+189.8M，-38%）
Fourth Week：885.2M（+138.2M，-27%）
Fifth Week：1,006.4M（+121.2M，-12%，South Korea Opening）
Sixth Week：1,108.5M（+102.1M，-16%,Minions Opening）
Seventh Week：1,184M（+75.5M，-26% Thor Opening）

 

[Taruseth]

2 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Japan would have been at $80M in normal exchange rate. So, ER loss is $16.8M

 

At this rate, we can't defeat UK....

 

Same for the Euro - we are at bloody parity - 1€ = 1.018$ (for comps during 2008 and 2009 we were at 1€ being $1.40 (and during 2008 $1.50).

[pepsa]

Same goes for the £, at one point 1 £ was worth almost 2$ so at the point Japan would have been behind the UK again xD

[keysersoze123]

Unlike japan many other markets have ticket price inflation. Plus back then there were not that many PLF/Imax screens. I remember when Dark Knight opened in 2008, it had 50 imax screens and no other PLF screens. 

[Heretic]

Yeah, it should be said that the pound is also very weak, almost at the weakest level since 1985.

 

Last year it was £1 : $1.4, now fallen to $1.2. I don’t think this is offset fully by inflation of ticket prices.

 

Top Gun would have blasted past the $100m mark in the UK.

 

 

Edited July 10, 2022 by Heretic

[Valonqar]

So considering shitty ERC, what lifetimes are we looking at for OS and WW?

Edited July 10, 2022 by Valonqar

[Sophia Jane]

Marvick got decent drop in New Zealand,it got ＄380k on its 7th Weekend（biggest 7th weekend during covid era）,It's already beating NWH become Highest grossing film during Covid era and 10th highest grossing film of all-time.

Edited July 11, 2022 by Bruce