Lightyear | Pixar's First Theatrical Release !!! (But, Floppppped) 😑😑😑 | $112.3M DOM $204.5M WW

[Issac Newton]

I liked Buzz. He is like my 1st Avenger. Can we have a Billion on it ????

 

Here's it release schedule !! via IMDb

 

India	2022	(internet)
Finland	15 June 2022
Italy	15 June 2022
Cambodia	15 June 2022
Netherlands	15 June 2022
Norway	15 June 2022
Sweden	15 June 2022
United Arab Emirates	16 June 2022
Argentina	16 June 2022
Australia	16 June 2022
Brazil	16 June 2022
Denmark	16 June 2022
Dominican Republic	16 June 2022
Hungary	16 June 2022
Mexico	16 June 2022
Malaysia	16 June 2022
Portugal	16 June 2022
Singapore	16 June 2022
Thailand	16 June 2022
Canada	17 June 2022
Estonia	17 June 2022
Spain	17 June 2022
UK	17 June 2022
Ireland	17 June 2022
India	17 June 2022
Iceland	17 June 2022
Lithuania	17 June 2022
USA	17 June 2022
France	22 June 2022
Japan	1 July 2022
Turkey	2 September 2022

Edited July 10, 2022 by Issac Newton

[pepsa]

Billion sadly seems impossible. In sk it opened to only 30k, thats more than a 100k less than Toystory 4, also the egg score is 90%, very low for an animation movie. Opening buzz in belgium is also quite low.

 

I love Toystory and hope for the best but I don't think it's looking very good atm

[titanic2187]

Lightyear is not gonna to make billion. Let’’s be realistic since neither DS and JWD can hit the mark comfortably.

 

A more realistic expectation should be around 450m-500m, which domestic market is pointing to a 70m-80m start and finish total of around of 250m. A rough 50:50 split will give you $500m.

[Brainbug]

Under 500M WW is more realistic than 1B imo.

 

DOM: Should it match Deadlines high end of 85M OW, lets give it a 3,3 multi and it gets to 280M. That seems very optimistic to me, but it could happen. More realistic to me would be around 200 - 250M.

OS grosses are very hard to determine. Early numbers seem weak, especially so in South Korea and this weekend it will release in many euopean markets, but we should expect low numbers since weather is so good.

 

So maybe 250 - 300M OS.

 

WW: 450 - 550M in my opinion.

 

Ofc, i would be happy to be wrong but i dont see this movie becoming a big hit, more like a medium-sized one.

[Issac Newton]

Agreeing with everyone 

 

But I will not edit my first post at least till the very end. For now, I guess crossing $500M WW should be great deal of success, considering we are missing Middle East and part of South East Asia (incl. Russia &China)

[Olive]

Weaker than TG2's 4th weekend in HongKong, not good.

[Sophia Jane]

China banned Lightyear and Minions2 both.

[Gavin Feng]

WOM in both HK & SK not good

[Gavin Feng]

Oh god, I suddenly realize how much sadness this thread have after reading all these posts...

 

Variety says $200M budget for this movie. And it may not hit the break-even point from the perspective of traditional business model unless US could exceeded expectations. And I believe it would be very hard for Pixar creative team. They finally get a theatrical thing, but the movie is not received well. And those folks in Disney leadership can put more great Pixar titles on streaming with confidence. I don't know whether it is just bad luck for Pixar or something Disney executives were scheming carefully, because all Pixar movies except mediocre one were sent to streaming in pandemic.

[titanic2187]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Oh god, I suddenly realize how much sadness this thread have after reading all these posts...

 

Variety says $200M budget for this movie. And it may not hit the break-even point from the perspective of traditional business model unless US could exceeded expectations. And I believe it would be very hard for Pixar creative team. They finally get a theatrical thing, but the movie is not received well. And those folks in Disney leadership can put more great Pixar titles on streaming with confidence. I don't know whether it is just bad luck for Pixar or something Disney executives were scheming carefully, because all Pixar movies except mediocre one were sent to streaming in pandemic.

That is why minion’ success is becoming more important than ever to show that they can’t put the blame on theater for not making this profitable. 

[Issac Newton]

Early OD Numbers 

 

Korea : $0.25M (#4)

Italy : $0.19M (#1)

[Issac Newton]

[Hilpkioy]

Disney really has to chill with these absurdly high budgets.

[pepsa]

1 hour ago, Hilpkioy said:

Disney really has to chill with these absurdly high budgets.

Think it's quite standard for pixar

Edited June 16, 2022 by pepsa

[John Marston]

 

[Ryan Reynolds]

yikes , i think D+ is gonna continue to kill non event Disney films at boxoffice, especially with inflation out of control

Edited June 16, 2022 by Ryan Reynolds

[Bigscrubnus]

Pixar finally gets a theatrical release and it might not even reach the break even point. I’d laugh if it weren’t so sad.

[Issac Newton]

Taiwan OD is at #3

 

Taipei - NT$1.051M / $35K

 

Thailand OD was $45K at #2

 

LATAM is......

[Purple Minion]

23 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

LATAM is......

Infinity and beyond? 😜

[charlie Jatinder]

Argentina should be $2.5M or so. Colombia $1.75M. 

MEX may be $13Mish. BR $4M ish. 
 

Rest I guess $6-7M.

 

LATAM $27-28M