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Issac Newton

Lightyear | Pixar's First Theatrical Release !!! (But, Floppppped) 😑😑😑 | $112.3M DOM $204.5M WW

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I liked Buzz. He is like my 1st Avenger. Can we have a Billion on it ????

 

Here's it release schedule !! via IMDb

 

India 2022 (internet)
Finland 15 June 2022  
Italy 15 June 2022  
Cambodia 15 June 2022  
Netherlands 15 June 2022  
Norway 15 June 2022  
Sweden 15 June 2022  
United Arab Emirates 16 June 2022  
Argentina 16 June 2022  
Australia 16 June 2022  
Brazil 16 June 2022  
Denmark 16 June 2022  
Dominican Republic 16 June 2022  
Hungary 16 June 2022  
Mexico 16 June 2022  
Malaysia 16 June 2022  
Portugal 16 June 2022  
Singapore 16 June 2022  
Thailand 16 June 2022  
Canada 17 June 2022  
Estonia 17 June 2022  
Spain 17 June 2022  
UK 17 June 2022  
Ireland 17 June 2022  
India 17 June 2022  
Iceland 17 June 2022  
Lithuania 17 June 2022  
USA 17 June 2022  
France 22 June 2022  
Japan 1 July 2022  
Turkey 2 September 2022
Edited by Issac Newton
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Billion sadly seems impossible. In sk it opened to only 30k, thats more than a 100k less than Toystory 4, also the egg score is 90%, very low for an animation movie. Opening buzz in belgium is also quite low.

 

I love Toystory and hope for the best but I don't think it's looking very good atm :(

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Lightyear is not gonna to make billion. Let’’s be realistic since neither DS and JWD can hit the mark comfortably.

 

A more realistic expectation should be around 450m-500m, which domestic market is pointing to a 70m-80m start and finish total of around of 250m. A rough 50:50 split will give you $500m.

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Under 500M WW is more realistic than 1B imo.

 

DOM: Should it match Deadlines high end of 85M OW, lets give it a 3,3 multi and it gets to 280M. That seems very optimistic to me, but it could happen. More realistic to me would be around 200 - 250M.

OS grosses are very hard to determine. Early numbers seem weak, especially so in South Korea and this weekend it will release in many euopean markets, but we should expect low numbers since weather is so good.

 

So maybe 250 - 300M OS.

 

WW: 450 - 550M in my opinion.

 

Ofc, i would be happy to be wrong but i dont see this movie becoming a big hit, more like a medium-sized one.

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Agreeing with everyone :sadno:

 

But I will not edit my first post at least till the very end. For now, I guess crossing $500M WW should be great deal of success, considering we are missing Middle East and part of South East Asia (incl. Russia &China)

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Oh god, I suddenly realize how much sadness this thread have after reading all these posts...

 

Variety says $200M budget for this movie. And it may not hit the break-even point from the perspective of traditional business model unless US could exceeded expectations. And I believe it would be very hard for Pixar creative team. They finally get a theatrical thing, but the movie is not received well. And those folks in Disney leadership can put more great Pixar titles on streaming with confidence. I don't know whether it is just bad luck for Pixar or something Disney executives were scheming carefully, because all Pixar movies except mediocre one were sent to streaming in pandemic.

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4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Oh god, I suddenly realize how much sadness this thread have after reading all these posts...

 

Variety says $200M budget for this movie. And it may not hit the break-even point from the perspective of traditional business model unless US could exceeded expectations. And I believe it would be very hard for Pixar creative team. They finally get a theatrical thing, but the movie is not received well. And those folks in Disney leadership can put more great Pixar titles on streaming with confidence. I don't know whether it is just bad luck for Pixar or something Disney executives were scheming carefully, because all Pixar movies except mediocre one were sent to streaming in pandemic.

That is why minion’ success is becoming more important than ever to show that they can’t put the blame on theater for not making this profitable. 

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1 hour ago, Hilpkioy said:

Disney really has to chill with these absurdly high budgets.

Think it's quite standard for pixar

Edited by pepsa
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