Weekend Thread (6/24-26) | Actuals: Elvis 31.2, TGM 29.6, JWD 26.7, Black Phone 23.6, Lightyear 18.1

[Ronin46]

38 minutes ago, motionpic05 said:

I still think it could push it to $7m for tonight, and take a nice jump for Saturday. 

But yeah, It would still be a good debut. 

 

Blumhouse always keep it cheap.

 

 

Good call. Charlie updated his projection to 10M+ today for BP. 22-25M weekend. Up from 9m+ and 20-22M OW 

Edited June 25, 2022 by Ronin46

[BruiseCruise]

Lol what? TG2 is still looking at around a 32m weekend which would be like a 30% drop from a super inflated previous weekend and with two wide releases this weekend, one of which is a demo comp and only a few premium screens were recovered. Only way this is a disappointment is if you expect some sub 15% drop every weekend which just isn't reasonable when you have competition

[EmpireCity]

$13.5m

$10.25m

$8.5m

$7.5m

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, EmpireCity said:

$13.5m

$10.25m

$8.5m

$7.5m

Elvis

BP

TGM

JWD 

?

[CJohn]

Someone give @Brainbug the Dinosaur a hug for me whenever he shows up. He will need one.

[M37]

2 minutes ago, StormbreakerXXR said:

Elvis

BP

TGM

JWD 

?

Yes. And LY in 2nd weekend doesn’t even make the initial reporting cut 

[Hilpkioy]

Seems like TGM's weekly number almost matches up with Avatar and has the edge on Avatar during weekdays but Avatar edges it out during weekends.

[EmpireCity]

$5.2m LY

[GipJo]

6 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

$13.5m

$10.25m

$8.5m

$7.5m

Including preview I suppose?

[Cheddar Please]

1 minute ago, Hilpkioy said:

Seems like TGM's weekly number almost matches up with Avatar and has the edge on Avatar during weekdays but Avatar edges it out during weekends.

Jan and Feb are usually the months with the highest weekend bumps, while Jun-Aug are usually the weakest. E.g, NWH's weekends were regularly exceeding I2 and A1 despite the latter two managing 52 days above 1mil, while NWH only managed 38 days

[XXR & Friends]

So using EC’s numbers, the weekend shakes out something like…

 

Elvis - $35M

TGM - $31M

JWD - $27M

TBP - $25M

LY - $19M

Edited June 25, 2022 by StormbreakerXXR

[Hilpkioy]

2 minutes ago, StormbreakerXXR said:

So using EC’s numbers, the weekend shakes out something like…

 

Elvis - $35M

TGM - $31M

JWD - $27M

TBP - $25M

LY - $19M

No way Lightyear is gonna ruin the first 20m Top 5 in awhile wtf.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Lightyear is going to be under Toy Story 4's FOURTH weekend (20.9m) 

[MikeQ]

TGM's run is still mind-blowing to me. As of Thursday's gross, it is already sitting at a 3.88 multiplier and nearly $500M. It could have been yanked from theatres today, and it would be an excellent run at that.

 

The idea that it will still be making $30M+ this weekend, and continue to do well, is just remarkable. It's looking increasingly likely that it will have the second best multiplier for a large opener behind only Avatar. I mean, I don't know how else how to express how exceptional this run is...

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
2. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
3. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
4. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
5. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
6. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
7. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.89)
8. Top Gun: Maverick (2022) — 126.7 million (3.88)^
9. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
10. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
11. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
12. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
13. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
14. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.59)
15. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)

^Run not yet complete

 

Peace,

Mike

[John Marston]

Lightyear going sub 20m. What is this a horror film?

[interiorgatordecorator]

Just now, John Marston said:

Lightyear going sub 20m. What is this a horror film?

 

for disney? yes

[Tokugennumataka]

Holy shit, LY finishing under TS4 OW

[John Marston]

Is Lightyear even reaching 300m ww? This isn’t just a flop but a mega bomb

[thebig2000]

Welp, I guess we’ll have to settle for an over $20M top 4…

[Tokugennumataka]

Best 5th weekends of all time in history:

1. Avatar - 42.79M
2. Top Gun: Maverick - ~32M
3. Titanic - 30.01M
4. Frozen - 28.59M
5. Black Panther - 26.65M
6. The Force Awakens - 26.34M
7. The Sixth Sense - 22.89M
8. The Avengers - 20.49M
9. Spider-Man: No Way Home - 20.09M
10. Jumanji: WTTJ - 19.51M

 

How can anyone call this number disappointing in any sense. If last week wasn't inflated, it'll be looking at -18% or so this week.