BadOlCatSylvester Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Is Avatar 2 actually about to pull a Rogue One and straight up die after the holidays? It would be pretty funny if it did. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 5 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said: Wed/mon will be the key as always. And wed/wed aside from M3G. Can you get California/natl @charlie Jatinder? Some weather impact plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dale Cooper Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 (edited) Overreacting is fun and all, but this was surely quite predictable for Avatar? It was never supposed to be a weekday film because of its runtime. It's gonna do its money mostly on weekends. Edited January 11, 2023 by Dale Cooper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 18 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said: Is Avatar 2 actually about to pull a Rogue One and straight up die after the holidays? It would be pretty funny if it did. Those terms are relative. Actuals will probably be 4.4-4.5 which puts A2 about ~155% ahead of R1 equivalent Tuesday and ~60% ahead of NWH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said: Those terms are relative. Actuals will probably be 4.4-4.5 which puts A2 about ~155% ahead of R1 equivalent Tuesday and ~60% ahead of NWH. 4.45 would be nearly the same tues/tues drop as RO and worse than NWH. But basically the rule for closely analyzing Tuesdays is — don’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 (edited) 26 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said: Is Avatar 2 actually about to pull a Rogue One and straight up die after the holidays? It would be pretty funny if it did. That's quite the overreaction. This week's weekdays are still tracking well above R1 and even NWH by a high margin. We already knew this would be a weekend film to begin with so ~13.5-14M weekdays are not bad at all in a vacuum (R1 had 7.7, NWH had 9.5 iirc). Though the tue bump is a bummer. Will need a very strong weekend to compensate these however. Edited January 11, 2023 by JustLurking 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaFlexi Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 26 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said: Is Avatar 2 actually about to pull a Rogue One and straight up die after the holidays? It would be pretty funny if it did. bruh💀 this is like a top5 non holiday 4th tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Damn that's a worse Tuesday for Puss in Boots than I thought, and I was underestimating with $1.55M. Hopefully actuals come in higher at 1.5M+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 minute ago, JustLurking said: That's quite the overreaction. This week's weekdays are still tracking well above R1 and even NWH by a high margin. We already knew this would be a weekend film to begin with so ~13.5-14M weekdays are not bad at all (R1 had 7.7, NWH had 9.5 iirc). Though the tue bump is a bummer. $650-700M finish is still on the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Danhjpn said: $650-700M finish is still on the table? I dont think so. I can see something like 653M now as a hard ceiling. Spoiler Spoiler For real, these weekday numbers dont mean that much since the real indicator if Avatar 2's later legs will be great or merely good will be the weekend numbers. 1 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: $650-700M finish is still on the table? Think 650 is a safe goal, 700 feels more wait and see to me since predicting late legs isn't really that easy most of the time. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaFlexi Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: $650-700M finish is still on the table? 650 feels more like the floor. People are overreacting way too much. As of rn it's very hard to predict i'm saying floor is 650, ceiling is A1:s original run. So like 750. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Why the hell did PiB jump only 24% this Tuesday? Sing 1 and 2 jumped 44% and 40%. So did Greatest Showman (40%). Heck even Jumanji WTTJ jumped 33% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mystery Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Not great but not terrible either in my opinion. Like others said I think Avatar will be more weekend heavy the further its run goes due to the runtime. I can see a finish between 650 - 700m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dandeak2000 Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 So maybe TUE - $4.3M / $525.4M WED - $3.2M (-25%) / $528.6M THU - $3.16M (-2%) / $531.76M $30M+ weekend gets it past $560M and $38.5M+ 4-day will push it past $570M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Was there a game last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 22 minutes ago, Dandeak2000 said: So maybe TUE - $4.3M / $525.4M WED - $3.2M (-25%) / $528.6M THU - $3.16M (-2%) / $531.76M $30M+ weekend gets it past $560M and $38.5M+ 4-day will push it past $570M I see it closer to 580 after the 4 day weekend, which would mean it needing 70mil; off a 30 something weekend. 650 is locked guys. 700 is probably going to hsappen too, i'd say its higher than a 50% chance anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Alex SciChannel said: Was there a game last night? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Just now, XXR the Conqueror said: Nope. I watched it a few days ago. I liked it. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 36 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said: Why the hell did PiB jump only 24% this Tuesday? Sing 1 and 2 jumped 44% and 40%. So did Greatest Showman (40%). Heck even Jumanji WTTJ jumped 33% Weekdays are largely irrelevant for family flicks. Yesterday was a surprise and a huuuge surprise at that. As M37 mentioned there might've been some regional holidays at play for some schools. And as always, the size of numbers do matter too. It opened to 55% of Sing 2 , which was also very leggy, but is now posting dailies nearly 180% of that film. There is still a real possibility that its 4th weekend is gonna end up HIGHER than OW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
