MLK Weekend Thread (1/13-16) | 3-day/4-day Estimates: Avatar 32.4M/40.6M, M3GAN 18.26M/21.72M, Puss 14.39M/19.04M, Otto 12.8M/15.33M, Plane 10M/12.03M, House Party 4M/4.73M

[Tokugennumataka]

4 minutes ago, teard1972 said:

personally I wouldn't compare any global BO run to Titanic and Avatar. Those are true once in a lifetime kinda occurrences. 

Yes. But I wouldn't even rank them in the same echelon. Titanic's global run is far and above everything else.

[DaFlexi]

Anybody know when weekend actuals are coming in?

[M37]

19 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Yes. But I wouldn't even rank them in the same echelon. Titanic's global run is far and above everything else.

If Avatwo was having an equivalent run to Titanic, it would have made ~$140M for this 3-day weekend, just DOM  😂

[B J]

11 minutes ago, DaFlexi said:

Anybody know when weekend actuals are coming in?

Most likely Tomorrow after 4pm eastern.

[teard1972]

again personally, Avatartwo's achievement should be measured and judged as the direct sequel to one of the biggest grossers across global markets. How do other direct sequels perform against hugely successful originals.   

[Cooper Legion]

27 minutes ago, M37 said:

If Avatwo was having an equivalent run to Titanic, it would have made ~$140M for this 3-day weekend, just DOM  😂

Sounds to me like Puss is having an equivalent run to Titanic 

[Tokugennumataka]

6 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

Sounds to me like Puss is having an equivalent run to Titanic 

Cameron wishes he made Na'vi orange instead of blue.

[Cooper Legion]

2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Cameron wishes he made Na'vi orange instead of blue.

🎶 No one can rewrite 🎶 the stars 🎶

[Flip]

I think next weekend will be really important for $700m, it probably needs a better than 40% drop to keep the dream alive

[Sophia Jane]

1 hour ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Yes. But I wouldn't even rank them in the same echelon. Titanic's global run is far and above everything else.

Titanic is the most famous movie in the world

That’s not even comparable

[M37]

19 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

Sounds to me like Puss is having an equivalent run to Titanic 

That would also mean Showman is on Titanic level! 🤔

 

Wednesday Xmas openings behave differently than Friday openings: don’t really get that OW rush pre-Christmas, plus they’re usually living in the shadow of the bigger movie that came before and so blossom after Christmas. The compressed nature of the holiday release calendar messes with ratios, since other studios don’t back away from big openings knowing that lucrative period is just around the corner 

 

Jumanji & Showman don’t open a week after TLJ if it’s a May or July release, but wait a couple of weeks for it to die down, same for PiB & Avatwo 

[Shanks]

Numbers updated to 32.4m/564.2m (3 Day)

Monday 8.2m~

[interiorgatordecorator]

 

Hopefully actuals come in a bit higher and m37's club gets dunked on today

Edited January 16, 2023 by interiorgatordecorator

[GOGODanca]

no movie can have a run similar to titanic unless its 20+ x multiplier makes it the highest grosser domestically by a couple hundred million, greatest showman final number ended up not even beating the opening weekend of multiple films and PIB2 will end up the same

[Borobudur]

Including Monday, Avatar 2 is $47m ahead of TGM at the same time but TGM' summer weekdays was too strong to overcome! I wish Avatar could have made over year-end holiday. 

[charlie Jatinder]

35 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said:

Sounds to me like Puss is having an equivalent run to Titanic 

i know we r joking but 18-20 dec weekend > 23-25 dec. so titanic was matching a stronger weekend than a deflated one.

[hw64]

7 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Including Monday, Avatar 2 is $47m ahead of TGM at the same time but TGM' summer weekdays was too strong to overcome! I wish Avatar could have made over year-end holiday. 

 

Next weekend will drop the difference a lot, as Maverick pays back Avatar's holiday weekend advantage with a holiday weekend of its own.

 

Avatar should be around $7m above Maverick on this 4-day weekend compared to Maverick's equivalent Fri-Mon, and Maverick made $32.3m on its own 4-day this weekend, so Avatar will have to make $25m+ over Fri-Mon this week to come out at net neutral over these two 4-days.

Edited January 16, 2023 by hw64

[kayumanggi]

13 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

Hopefully actuals come in a bit higher and m37's club gets dunked on today

 

@CJohn, this is the $40M you were expecting the other day. 😅

[ando]

So about all that football that was supposed to affect the daily jumps/holds. Really doesn't seem like that happened at all. 

[kayumanggi]