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kayumanggi

2024 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

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On 5/4/2023 at 12:50 PM, poweranimals said:

I'm thinking something along the lines of...

 

#1. Avatar 3

#2. Deadpool 3

#3. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning, Part 2

#4. Joker 2

#5. Sonic 3

#6. Despicable Me 4

#7. Musafa

#8. Godzilla vs Kong 2

#9.Thunderbolts

#10. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

#11. Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse

#12. Captain American 4

#13. Blade

#14. Snow White

#15. Furiousa

Update:

 

#1. Deadpool 3

#2. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning, Part 2

#3. Joker 2

#4. Beyond the Spider-Verse

#5. Despicable Me 4

#6. Musafa

#7. Thunderbolts

#8. Godzilla x Kong

#9. Sonic 3

#10. Captain America 4

#11. Snow White

#12. Kung Fu Panda 4

#13. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

#14. Garfield

#15. Madame Web

Edited by poweranimals
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6 hours ago, Flip said:

I think Mufasa will probably move to an August release date, Despicable me would destroy it head to head

 

Disney has never done anything like that before with their classic live action movies. It's usually March, April, May, June, or July. Never August, but we'll see since it worked with GOTG before.

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On 6/13/2023 at 12:23 PM, Marathon said:

Might be the first year without a billion dollar grosser (2020 doesn't count for obvious reasons) since..?

That's what everyone said about 2023. I honestly think this year looks better in terms of potential billion grossers than 2023. MI8, BTSV, DM4, DP3, Joker 2, etc.

Edited by Bob Train
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Joker 2 is likely going to be absolutely huge. Fans of the first movie, fans of DC, fans of musicals, fans of Gaga… it’s something pretty fresh, weird and new in an ocean of generic crap. I can see it being the big experience of the year in cinemas. Definitely top three.

 

Deadpool also likely to be massive, if it takes the piss out of the whole superhero genre as well as it could do - though it’s now a Disney film, so it could just equally be a sanitised, corporate mandated bore fest, with all its teeth removed.

Edited by FunkMiller
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On 6/22/2023 at 3:23 AM, kayumanggi said:

 

Disney has never done anything like that before with their classic live action movies. It's usually March, April, May, June, or July. Never August, but we'll see since it worked with GOTG before.

Christopher Robin and Pete's Dragon were August. 

 

 

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10 hours ago, FunkMiller said:

Joker 2 is likely going to be absolutely huge. Fans of the first movie, fans of DC, fans of musicals, fans of Gaga… it’s something pretty fresh, weird and new in an ocean of generic crap. I can see it being the big experience of the year in cinemas. Definitely top three.

 

Deadpool also likely to be massive, if it takes the piss out of the whole superhero genre as well as it could do - though it’s now a Disney film, so it could just equally be a sanitised, corporate mandated bore fest, with all its teeth removed.

I think it will still be big, but definitely less than the first. The first was a real novelty, and it’s definitely going to be  hard to replicate that (especially with it being a musical)

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M:I DR - Part 2: 1.1b

Deadpool III: 1.1b

Beyond the Spider-Verse: 1b

DM4: 900m

Joker 2: 850m

Inside Out II: 800m

KFP4: 750m

Thunderbolts: 700m

Godzilla x Kong: 700m

Mufasa: 650m

Sonic III: 600m

Captain America IV: 600m

Gladiator II: 550m

Lord of the Rings: 500m

 

 

 

 

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Domestic initital predictions

 

1. Deadpool 3 - $475 million (last superhero movie I'm bullish on)

2. Spider-Verse IF RELEASED - $410 million

3. Inside Out 2 - $320 million

4. Despicable Me 3 - $315 million

5. Dead Reckoning 2 IF RELEASED - $280 million

6. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $260 million

7. Joker 2 - $240 million

8. Mufasa - $215 million

9. Beetlejuice 2 - $210 million (more buzz for this than there ever was for Keaton in Flash)

10. Gladiator 2 if good/Captain America if decent both around $200 million even

 

Not great, Bob! 

 

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14 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Domestic initital predictions

 

1. Deadpool 3 - $475 million (last superhero movie I'm bullish on)

2. Spider-Verse IF RELEASED - $410 million

3. Inside Out 2 - $320 million

4. Despicable Me 3 - $315 million

5. Dead Reckoning 2 IF RELEASED - $280 million

6. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $260 million

7. Joker 2 - $240 million

8. Mufasa - $215 million

9. Beetlejuice 2 - $210 million (more buzz for this than there ever was for Keaton in Flash)

10. Gladiator 2 if good/Captain America if decent both around $200 million even

 

Not great, Bob! 

 

Out of curiosity why so high for KFP4?

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2 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Domestic initital predictions

 

1. Deadpool 3 - $475 million (last superhero movie I'm bullish on)

2. Spider-Verse IF RELEASED - $410 million

3. Inside Out 2 - $320 million

4. Despicable Me 3 - $315 million

5. Dead Reckoning 2 IF RELEASED - $280 million

6. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $260 million

7. Joker 2 - $240 million

8. Mufasa - $215 million

9. Beetlejuice 2 - $210 million (more buzz for this than there ever was for Keaton in Flash)

10. Gladiator 2 if good/Captain America if decent both around $200 million even

 

Not great, Bob! 

 

You think Spiderverse is only going to increase 25m off one of the most acclaimed superhero movies of all time that ended on a cliffhanger like Infinity War?

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On 5/4/2023 at 12:22 PM, Eric Bunny said:

Hotter take - Joker 2 is the second-biggest movie of the year, only behind Avatar. It does have an uphill battle with superhero fatigue and the lack of novelty and moral panic hype, but it's also being offset by having one of the biggest movie stars front and center as Harley Quinn, you know Gaga's got some bangers, and I think the musical angle could actually breathe some life to the stagnant genre. As long as it delivers the same goods as the first (well, maybe not "goods", but has the stuff people inexplicably liked in that first movie), we could see something special.

Now I'm moving to #1 with no Avatar :lol:

 

Feel like especially after Barbie showed how an unconventional concept based off an iconic IP can cause massive success (and the first Joker frankly), I can see tons of hype and buzz depending on how they advertise it. And I have faith, despite me not even liking the first Joker movie.

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