Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32

[SchumacherFTW]

Feel like the over under number on Flash next weekend is $500k

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Bobzaruni]

3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

It has been said a lot already of course, but damn horror movies are just such a safe and profitable investment.

If the FNAF movie wasn't day-and-date it could have genuinely been a breakout

[WorkingonaName]

Fnaf will still have a Higher opening weekend then the flash. 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[robertman2]

3 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:

If the FNAF movie wasn't day-and-date it could have genuinely been a breakout

Considering it's on Peacock and not a streaming service people actually have, I think it'll still break out

[filmlover]

Some really strong holds this weekend, especially Elemental. $150M+ is certainly on the table now.

[straggler]

49 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

Anyone else find that the way critics treated this movie was odd? NHF has a higher audience and cinemascore than Joy Ride, yet the critics gushed over that film while NHF had to struggle mightily to get to "fresh" territory its opening weekend and going into its opening Friday was still in the green zone on RT. Not rooting against any film, but it was noticeable. It has clawed its way back nicely, but one would have hoped it would at least have gotten the critical treatment of Good Boys, a film with the same cinemascore, a slightly lower audience score and by the same director. Honestly not a fan of the social media/Rotten Tomatoes era where anyone with a film blog becomes a "critic" and is able to effect the overall  "grade" of a film. Some of the traditional newspaper critics were rotten, but at least they had a stake in the game. And you did not have the sense that films were getting targeted or dogpiled. I get that a film like this is not making a $100 million anymore, but I still thought it was done a bit dirty.          

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Valonqar]

18 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

 

These movies are crazy profitable. So is The Conjuring CU.

[MrHardapple]

10 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

These are outstanding numbers for this indie movie most uf us did not know about 10 days ago.

How far can it go?

[DAJK]

My crystal ball tells me that MI7 numbers next week will be okay, leading people to discuss how out-of-control the budget was etc.

 

The second weekend drop will be ugly due to Barbenheimer, and people will freak out to a “cancel DR:Part2!!” level.

 

And then legs will develop very strongly after that Elemental-style, and the movie will end up with a healthy 250M DOM 700M WW.

[Issac Newton]

Insidious is able to overpower lackluster critical scores (36%) and so-so audience scores (3 1/2 stars, 72% on Screen Engine/Comscore’s Postrak) to deliver at the box office. No matter what the response is here, it’s clear moviegoers are bewitched enough to get in the car and go. It’s a total jump scare movie with great set pieces.

 

Some 38% went to see Red Door because it’s part of a franchise they love, while another 38% went because they love horror movies. What encouraged the audience to go and see Red Door the most in the pic’s marketing campaign, more than its trailer? PostTrak audiences said it was Red Door‘s social media campaign.

[Eric is Anxious]

If Elemental follows the rest of Inside Out's run: 136.8M

Following Finding Nemo: 161.2M

[Issac Newton]

CMC Films has the Mandarin language movie Lost in the Stars from Rui Cui and Xiang Liu. Pic did big in NYC, Vancouver, Seattle, LA and Toronto for an $820K opening weekend or $13,2K per theater at 62 locations and 26 markets.

[narniadis]

That note about #1s in 2009 is a reminder of just now ridiculously great that year was for the box office. Meh winter 2008 holdovers led to a massive back to back smashes in January and it never stopped. Some #1s under performed (thinking of Wolverine and Angels & Demons in the summer) but it was just a solid year with great choices for all audiences. Imo 2009 was the last truly balanced year before the Superhero craze totally changed the landscape.

Shame we no longer have access to the BOM forum threads from that year. @baumer if I recall the summer game that year was wild due to have well the box office flipped expectations. 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Cap]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

Considering how close they are WW (251.9 to 247.9) I wonder when/if Elemental will pull ahead?

[Issac Newton]

Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:

Title	Estimated weekend	% change	Locations	Location change	Average	Total	Weekend	Distributor
Insidious: The Red Door	$32,650,000		3,188		$10,242	$32,650,000	1	Sony Pictures
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny	$26,500,000	-56%	4,600		$5,761	$121,205,000	2	Walt Disney
Sound of Freedom	$18,219,879		2,952		$6,172	$40,207,249	1	Angel Studios
Elemental	$9,600,000	-21%	3,440	-210	$2,791	$109,192,000	4	Walt Disney
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	$8,000,000	-33%	3,023	-382	$2,646	$357,668,000	6	Sony Pictures
Joy Ride	$5,850,000		2,820		$2,074	$5,850,000	1	Lionsgate
No Hard Feelings	$5,250,000	-33%	2,686	-522	$1,955	$40,412,000	3	Sony Pictures
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts	$5,000,000	-32%	2,475	-377	$2,020	$146,723,000	5	Paramount
The Little Mermaid	$3,500,000	-35%	2,080	-350	$1,683	$289,039,000	7	Walt Disney
Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken	$2,800,075	-49%	3,408	8	$822	$11,600,000	2	Universal
Asteroid City	$2,239,660	-48%	1,111	-790	$2,016	$23,994,000	4	Focus Features [Universal]
The Flash	$2,215,000	-58%	1,723	-995	$1,286	$105,160,000	4	Warner Bros.
Past Lives	$1,001,133	-40%	776	-130	$1,290	$8,384,303	6	A24
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3	$1,000,000	-51%	735	-430	$1,361	$357,578,000	10	Walt Disney
The Blackening	$610,000	-58%	436	-417	$1,399	$16,935,138	4	Lionsgate
The Boogeyman	$588,000	-68%	436	-584	$1,349	$42,680,000	6	20th Century Studios [Disney]
The Lesson	$157,752		268		$589	$157,752	1	Bleecker Street
Fast X	$130,000	-70%	172	-378	$756	$145,911,000	8	Universal
The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$75,000	-68%	184	-266	$408	$573,785,000	14	Universal
Every Body	$53,000	-65%	255		$208	$258,000	2	Focus Features [Universal]
Biosphere	$34,000		48		$708	$34,000	1	IFC Films
About My Father	$27,900	-59%	96	-31	$291	$12,051,398	7	Lionsgate
You Hurt My Feelings	$25,502		60		$425	$4,799,674	7	A24
Amanda	$9,450		2		$4,725	$9,450	1	Oscilloscope
Once Upon a Time in Uganda	$9,400		8		$1,175	$9,400	1	Yellow Veil
Revoir Paris	$5,828	-20%	6	3	$971	$33,012	3	Music Box Films

[WorkingonaName]

1 minute ago, Issac Newton said:

Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:

Title	Estimated weekend	% change	Locations	Location change	Average	Total	Weekend	Distributor
Insidious: The Red Door	$32,650,000		3,188		$10,242	$32,650,000	1	Sony Pictures
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny	$26,500,000	-56%	4,600		$5,761	$121,205,000	2	Walt Disney
Sound of Freedom	$18,219,879		2,952		$6,172	$40,207,249	1	Angel Studios
Elemental	$9,600,000	-21%	3,440	-210	$2,791	$109,192,000	4	Walt Disney
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	$8,000,000	-33%	3,023	-382	$2,646	$357,668,000	6	Sony Pictures
Joy Ride	$5,850,000		2,820		$2,074	$5,850,000	1	Lionsgate
No Hard Feelings	$5,250,000	-33%	2,686	-522	$1,955	$40,412,000	3	Sony Pictures
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts	$5,000,000	-32%	2,475	-377	$2,020	$146,723,000	5	Paramount
The Little Mermaid	$3,500,000	-35%	2,080	-350	$1,683	$289,039,000	7	Walt Disney
Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken	$2,800,075	-49%	3,408	8	$822	$11,600,000	2	Universal
Asteroid City	$2,239,660	-48%	1,111	-790	$2,016	$23,994,000	4	Focus Features [Universal]
The Flash	$2,215,000	-58%	1,723	-995	$1,286	$105,160,000	4	Warner Bros.
Past Lives	$1,001,133	-40%	776	-130	$1,290	$8,384,303	6	A24
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3	$1,000,000	-51%	735	-430	$1,361	$357,578,000	10	Walt Disney
The Blackening	$610,000	-58%	436	-417	$1,399	$16,935,138	4	Lionsgate
The Boogeyman	$588,000	-68%	436	-584	$1,349	$42,680,000	6	20th Century Studios [Disney]
The Lesson	$157,752		268		$589	$157,752	1	Bleecker Street
Fast X	$130,000	-70%	172	-378	$756	$145,911,000	8	Universal
The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$75,000	-68%	184	-266	$408	$573,785,000	14	Universal
Every Body	$53,000	-65%	255		$208	$258,000	2	Focus Features [Universal]
Biosphere	$34,000		48		$708	$34,000	1	IFC Films
About My Father	$27,900	-59%	96	-31	$291	$12,051,398	7	Lionsgate
You Hurt My Feelings	$25,502		60		$425	$4,799,674	7	A24
Amanda	$9,450		2		$4,725	$9,450	1	Oscilloscope
Once Upon a Time in Uganda	$9,400		8		$1,175	$9,400	1	Yellow Veil
Revoir Paris	$5,828	-20%	6	3	$971	$33,012	3	Music Box Films

How did Once upon a time in uganda make $9K this weekend.