The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[MovieMan89]

Sawpatrol wont be the new Barben,  but it’s pretty low to shame people for seeing a “kids” movie as an adult. I guess some have never heard of the Bronies… 

 

Edited July 23, 2023 by MovieMan89

[Porthos]

The Meg 2 showtimes are now populating; 3pm previews.   Also gonna be interesting to see the PLF/DBOX battle play out between it and TMNT3 as The Meg 2 is already grabbing some of the DBOX showings and nabbed the RPX screen as well.

 

[Boxofficerules]

Could Talk To Me surprise? The reviews are good and it looks more commercial than the rest of A24s movies.

[Eric Prime]

1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

Sawpatrol wont be the new Barben,  but it’s pretty low to shame people for seeing a “kids” movie as an adult. I guess some have never heard of the Bronies… 

 

You know darn well there's a difference between a Pixar or Dreamworks movie and a Paw Patrol movie. The former are designed to appeal to all ages. Paw Patrol is for 5 year olds and only 5 year olds. I'm sorry if I sound judgy, but I have concerns if you're in your 20s or 30s and you're watching something that airs daily on Nick Jr. on the big screen, unless your little one is dragging you to it.

[Derpity]

2 hours ago, Eric Bainbridge said:

This isn't gonna work out. Even outside of the whole "when corporations force a meme, it dies" thing, who is going to go out there and look like a creepy pedophile going to see the new Paw Patrol? Nobody, that's who.

 

It's called "a joke." It's pretty funny, too!

[Menor the Destroyer]

34 minutes ago, Eric Bainbridge said:

You know darn well there's a difference between a Pixar or Dreamworks movie and a Paw Patrol movie. The former are designed to appeal to all ages. Paw Patrol is for 5 year olds and only 5 year olds. I'm sorry if I sound judgy, but I have concerns if you're in your 20s or 30s and you're watching something that airs daily on Nick Jr. on the big screen, unless your little one is dragging you to it.

Meh, I don't see having unusual tastes as being concerning. 

[Bobzaruni]

1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

Could Talk To Me surprise? The reviews are good and it looks more commercial than the rest of A24s movies.

I don't think it'll blow up the box office, but horror is proving to be a stable reliable genre as-of-late and this is a unique approach, so i think it'll do really well for its budget.

[vafrow]

3 hours ago, Eric Bainbridge said:

This isn't gonna work out. Even outside of the whole "when corporations force a meme, it dies" thing, who is going to go out there and look like a creepy pedophile going to see the new Paw Patrol? Nobody, that's who.

 

If I'm being generous, I'm guessing the ambition of this stunt isn't to duplicate Barbieheimer type success, and more doing something just to make people realize that both of these films exist.

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

TMNT 

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	672	27662	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
10	477	1756	27.2%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

*Without EA

 

(1.249x) of Elemental

~$3.00M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

(4.510x) of Ruby Gillman

~$3.38M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

AVG: $3.19M TUE only + $1Mish EA = $4.19M+

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

TMNT 

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	715	27662	2.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

43

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
10	483	1756	27.5%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-9

*Without EA

 

(1.295x) of Elemental

~$3.10M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

(4.704x) of Ruby Gillman

~$3.53M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

AVG: $3.32M TUE only + $1Mish EA = $4.32M+

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Talk To Me

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
32	188	5408	3.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

33

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.913x) of Boogeyman

~$1.00M THUR Previews

 

(1.315x) of The Blackening 

~$986k THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $1M

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Talk To Me

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
32	204	5408	3.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

16

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(0.745x) of Boogeyman

~$819k THUR Previews

 

(1.283x) of The Blackening 

~$962k THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $890k 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/22/2023 at 6:31 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GRAN TURISMO

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-19

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
96	110	16828	0.65%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-19

EA Wednesday = 131 sold 

~$900k EA 

 

(0.081x) of Fast X

~$610k THUR Previews

 

~$1.6M total previews 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GRAN TURISMO

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
96	78	16828	0.65%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-18

EA Wednesday = 166 sold 

~$900k EA 

 

* Will leave this the same as yesterday...and hope Fandango figures their shit out. 

(0.081x) of Fast X

~$610k THUR Previews

 

~$1.6M total previews 

 

MTC3 showings are not showing up on Fandango anymore...

 

Edited July 23, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/22/2023 at 6:23 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	2001	19452	10.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

131

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.551x) of TLM

~$5.67M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	2069	19452	10.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

68

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(0.541x) of TLM

~$5.57M THUR Previews

[Porthos]

16 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

 

 

MTC3 showings are not showing up on Fandango anymore...

 

 

Huh, weird.

 

*checks locally*

 

Same here.  Is on the corp site, as I'm sure you already saw.  But, yeah, def Simon Cowell worthy when trying to do a count, especially — with all due respect to the corp in question — their site is absolutely horrible when it comes to trying to track things.

Edited July 23, 2023 by Porthos

[abracadabra1998]

On 7/16/2023 at 3:50 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Haunted Mansion (T-11):

Day: T-11, T-10	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	58	4	111	7216	1.54
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters	2	7	60	380	15.79
TOTALS:	60	11	171	7596	2.25

 

Just flat here.

 

Minneapolis-St.Paul Area Previews:

 

Haunted Mansion (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 17 theaters	58	82	193	7216	2.67
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters	2	56	116	380	30.53
TOTALS:	60	138	309	7596	4.07

 

New column is for a total of 7 days: average of ~20 tickets sold a day. It's not doing that hot here, % sold for both WED and THU is lower than katniss numbers.

 

Talk To Me (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 10 theaters	28	71	71	2133	3.33
Wednesday EA: 2 theaters	2	37	37	236	15.68
TOTALS:	30	108	108	2369	4.56

 

Comps:

0.67x Insidious: Red Door: $3.35 Million

0.32x Smile: $640k

1.95x Beast: $1.8 Million

 

Finally pulled these numbers. Kinda all over the place, but this screams early ticket buying from A24 fans and then weak final pre-sales, the exact opposite of my comps. So we'll see how these change

[TheFlatLannister]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Huh, weird.

 

*checks locally*

 

Same here.  Is on the corp site, as I'm sure you already saw.  But, yeah, def Simon Cowell worthy when trying to do a count, especially — with all due respect to the corp in question — their site is absolutely horrible when it comes to trying to track things.

I don’t have a script up and running for corp sites so if it doesn’t work on Fandango, I pretty much can’t track it. 

[ZackM]

Barbie is at almost 92% of Saturday today at Alpha.

[ZackM]

Oppenheimer is at 89% of Saturday today at Alpha

[keysersoze123]

It did even better than what I hoped this morning. 8% and 11% drop means we are starting to see something special. @ZackM can you look at Monday PS especially for B as I am expecting crazy monday 20m+. 

[ZackM]

Yeah, I'll run both of them tonight.

[redfirebird2008]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

It did even better than what I hoped this morning. 8% and 11% drop means we are starting to see something special. @ZackM can you look at Monday PS especially for B as I am expecting crazy monday 20m+. 

I would think Barbie goes over $25M for Monday.