The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

 

131 seats sold across 6 showings at Disney springs

 

24 seats sold across 139 showings💀

 

139/48= 2.895,     2.895*7= 20.27

 

Still proportionately not as many tix sold in MSP as in Orlando, but we're a bit closer now

 

  

[rehpyc]

On 10/12/2023 at 10:21 PM, M37 said:

Welcome back, sorry to hear about real life issues

 

Curious, if you know it, how does that ATP compare to a typical big preview like MCU, Barbie or Oppenheimer? The general range has been around +40-50%, which seems like it might be a bit low given that raw figure for ERAS

You're looking about 20.25 for TET (likely under indexed at this MTC), ~15.50 for MCU, ~14.50 for Barbie (didn't really have PLFs), ~18 for Opp (good PLF draw)

[interiorgatordecorator]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I dont see this having a big OW. Elemental previews hit 2.4m I guess due to it being heart of summer with schools being off. I think wish may not hit half that number. But its not about previews and more about the 5 day weekend. It could still have bigger OW than Elemental. How ever beating Elemental domestic is not going to be easy. 

 

I wonder if disney will ever do platform releases for its animated movies again

 

[Porthos]

So this Wish discussion made me curious...

 

Anyone want to guess the seats sold in the Greater Sacramento area? 🙂 

 

(I'll specifically tag @abracadabra1998 and @TheFlatLannister since they were the main discussion particpants)

 

ETA:

 

No cheating, folks!  Especially for the folks who know what movie theaters are in my area! 😉 

Edited October 14, 2023 by Porthos

[Bob Train]

Just now, Porthos said:

So this Wish discussion made me curious...

 

Anyone want to guess the seats sold in the Greater Sacramento area? 🙂 

0

[charlie Jatinder]

SAT drop seems likely for Taylor.

[Flip]

1 hour ago, rehpyc said:

You're looking about 20.25 for TET (likely under indexed at this MTC), ~15.50 for MCU, ~14.50 for Barbie (didn't really have PLFs), ~18 for Opp (good PLF draw)

18 seems high unless they were charging extra for not just IMAX but also 70mm

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

0

 

I'll wait 'till I get other answers before saying "HOTTER" or "COLDER"

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

SAT drop seems likely for Taylor.

 

Wouldn't surprise me, as even if Sacto Dark Magic failed spectacularly on the total, the pattern of sales has long suggested a F/St drop. 

 

Even checked Century Arden about two hours ago when I did my final check for Fri and Sat was at about 89%ish of Fri.

[Relevation]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I'll wait 'till I get other answers before saying "HOTTER" or "COLDER"

Elemental sold 37 on Day 1 so I’m planting my flag down for 25?

[Porthos]

Just now, Relevation said:

Elemental sold 37 on Day 1 so I’m planting my flag down for 25?

 

That's guess #2! 👍

 

Still not gonna leave any hints though.

Edited October 14, 2023 by Porthos

[tdangie]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

I'll wait 'till I get other answers before saying "HOTTER" or "COLDER"

I feel like you're trying to build hype for this reveal, so imma say it only sold 8 tickets... 

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, tdangie said:

I feel like you're trying to build hype for this reveal, so imma say it only sold 8 tickets... 

 

 

*puts you down for 8*

 

Really would like to get @abracadabra1998 though.  Hopefully they haven't logged out for the night. 🫰

 

ETA:::

 

Won't leave this thread in suspense too much longer though.  

 

I'll give it about 15 more minutes.

Edited October 14, 2023 by Porthos

[abracadabra1998]

18 minutes ago, Porthos said:

So this Wish discussion made me curious...

 

Anyone want to guess the seats sold in the Greater Sacramento area? 🙂 

 

(I'll specifically tag @abracadabra1998 and @TheFlatLannister since they were the main discussion particpants)

 

ETA:

 

No cheating, folks!  Especially for the folks who know what movie theaters are in my area! 😉 

Let’s split my 7 and @TheFlatLannister’s 24 and go with 15!

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Let’s split my 7 and @TheFlatLannister’s 24 and go with 15!

 

Reasonably sure that TFL has logged out for the night, but now that you're here do you want the reveal, or should I give it about 10 more minutes for any other entrants?

[abracadabra1998]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

 

Reasonably sure that TFL has logged out for the night, but now that you're here do you want the reveal, or should I give it about 10 more minutes for any other entrants?

I’m very curious now, but I don’t mind waiting! Just finished watching the OG Exorcist so I don’t think I’ll be going to bed anytime soon anyway…

 

Although with this build-up I’m expecting either 0 or 100 👀

[TheFlatLannister]

27 minutes ago, Porthos said:

So this Wish discussion made me curious...

 

Anyone want to guess the seats sold in the Greater Sacramento area? 🙂 

 

(I'll specifically tag @abracadabra1998 and @TheFlatLannister since they were the main discussion particpants)

 

ETA:

 

No cheating, folks!  Especially for the folks who know what movie theaters are in my area! 😉 

4

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

4

 

ENTRIES ARE NOW CLOSED!!!!

 

Reveal in three... two...

[Porthos]

5 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Wish (T-39, 6 PM Day 1):

Day: T-39	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 11 theaters	48	7	7	5706	0.12

 

Mostly wanted to get into the habit of pulling Day 1 numbers, and set up my sheets for this. Initial seat numbers similar to Haunted Mansion and Paw Patrol in like for like theaters. No Disney fan rush for this one!

 

                             I CAN GO LOWER

 

Wish ***Unofficial*** Check of the Greater Sacramento Region 

6/9291 (0.06% sold) [56 showings/13 theaters]

 

Split was:

 

1 ticket sold at [SPOILER DELETED] 

and then much much muuuuuuuuuuch later

5 tickets sold at [SPOILER DELETED]

 

AND THE RESULT IS A TIE BETWEEN @tdangie at 8 and @TheFlatLannister at 4!!!!! 

 

...

 

I tend to think The Price is Right rules about "closest without going over" is a fair tie-breaker, so CONGRATULATIONS TO @TheFlatLannister!!!!!

 

Appropriate I think, being in the Land of Disney. 🙂 

Edited October 14, 2023 by Porthos

[HummingLemon496]

9 (ok I technically made it late)

 

 

Edited October 14, 2023 by HummingLemon496