The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[el sid]

The Last Voyage of the Demeter had today 76 sold tickets for Thursday, August (7 days left).
Comps (all three films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday = 4 days left for the Demeter): The Invitation (775k from previews) had 96 sold tickets,
Barbarian (850k) 156
and Smile (2M) had 213 sold tickets.
The Boogeyman (1.1M) had on Sunday, with 4 days left, 74 sold tickets (with showtimes in NY which the Demeter doesn't have).
 

And for Friday (8 days left) it had today 56 sold tickets.
Comps (all five films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday = again 4 days left): The Invitation (6.8M) had 87 sold tickets,
Barbarian (10.5M) 70,
Smile (22.6M) 229,
Old (16.9M) 150
and The Night House (2.9M) had 24 sold tickets.
The Boogeyman (12.4M OW) had on Sunday, with 5 days left, 80 sold tickets.
 

Not bad. I still hope for (low) double digits.

[WrathOfHan]

11 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Meg 2 MTC1 previews(T-1) - 23147/326836 384705.93 2354 shows +5746

 

Anemic pace for T-1 day. Probably looking at 46kish finish. 2.3m previews. 

I don't think it'll hit 20M for the weekend if it barely crosses 2M previews. If WOM is bad that probably puts it closer to mid-teens than 20.

[Tinalera]

16 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

I still have ticket counts in the Cineplex app. Are you looking at the website or through the app? I'm on Android if that makes any difference.

 

If they switch it up that way, not sure if I'll be able to keep up anything significant. Especially when I do broader sweeps of the region.

website. I don't have the app on my phone. Not enought room (I have a cheapie phone lol

 

May try adding app to see if works and my phone doesn't have me. 

 

Havent got app up yet, but fortunately from previous counts I have seat numbers and totals. Its pretty easy to match up the counts for the theatres by just looking at my total for each show normally and deducting the sold seats. 

 

But yea hope for app it stays that way (seat numbers) because that's gonna be a bugger if they switch that over as well.

Edited August 3, 2023 by Tinalera

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

when are Saw X tickets on sale

[filmlover]

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 8/3/23)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Distributor
8/11/2023	The Last Voyage of the Demeter	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000		$14,000,000 – $28,000,000		Universal Pictures
8/18/2023	Back on the Strip					Luminosity Entertainment
8/18/2023	Blue Beetle	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000		$29,000,000 – $58,000,000		Warner Bros. Pictures
8/18/2023	The Hill					Briarcliff Entertainment
8/18/2023	Strays	$15,000,000 – $25,000,000	-8%	$38,000,000 – $71,000,000	-8%	Universal Pictures
8/25/2023	Golda					Fathom Events
8/25/2023	Gran Turismo (Sneaks on 8/11 and 8/18 weekends)	$17,000,000 – $22,000,000		$40,000,000 – $61,000,000		Sony Pictures
8/25/2023	The Hill					Briarcliff Entertainment
8/25/2023	Retribution					Roadside Attractions
9/1/2023	The Equalizer 3	$25,000,000 – $32,000,000		$65,000,000 – $88,000,000		Sony / Columbia Pictures

 

 

Long Range Box Office Forecast: THE EQUALIZER 3 - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

[CJohn]

All I see are BOMBS.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

All I see are BOMBS.

Times may change, the world may change, but August being a dumping ground for movies is one of those things that will always remain the same.

[Brainbug]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

All I see are BOMBS.

 

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

18 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 8/3/23)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Distributor
8/11/2023	The Last Voyage of the Demeter	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000		$14,000,000 – $28,000,000		Universal Pictures
8/18/2023	Back on the Strip					Luminosity Entertainment
8/18/2023	Blue Beetle	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000		$29,000,000 – $58,000,000		Warner Bros. Pictures
8/18/2023	The Hill					Briarcliff Entertainment
8/18/2023	Strays	$15,000,000 – $25,000,000	-8%	$38,000,000 – $71,000,000	-8%	Universal Pictures
8/25/2023	Golda					Fathom Events
8/25/2023	Gran Turismo (Sneaks on 8/11 and 8/18 weekends)	$17,000,000 – $22,000,000		$40,000,000 – $61,000,000		Sony Pictures
8/25/2023	The Hill					Briarcliff Entertainment
8/25/2023	Retribution					Roadside Attractions
9/1/2023	The Equalizer 3	$25,000,000 – $32,000,000		$65,000,000 – $88,000,000		Sony / Columbia Pictures

 

 

Long Range Box Office Forecast: THE EQUALIZER 3 - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

The higher end of Equalizer 3’s projected opening is in line with the prior 2 films, though a bit under.

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

THE MEG 2: THE TRENCH

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	667	31728	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

150

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.291x) of Mi7

~$2.04M THUR Previews

 

(0.225x) of Fast X

~$1.69M THUR Previews

 

(0.177x) of RoTB

~$1.56M THUR Previews

 

Comp AVG: $1.76M

 

Heading for ~$2m previews if I had to guess 

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE MEG 2: THE TRENCH

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-0 *Final Update 3:00pm

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	1077	31728	3.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 3:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

410

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-0

 

(0.280x) of Fast X

~$2.10M THUR Previews

 

(0.237x) of RoTB

~$2.09M THUR Previews

 

(0.722x) of Insidious 5

~$3.61M THUR Previews

 

(1.701x) of Talk to Me

~$2.12M THUR Previews

 

Comp AVG: $2.48M

 

Over $2M previews for sure, but under $3M I would guess. I'll go with $2.5M-$2.9M

Edited August 3, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[el sid]

Meg 2 counted today for today:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 170 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 96 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 21 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 28 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 17 (7 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 107 (7 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 147 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 586.

Up decent 36% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Thursday for Thursday): 47 Meters Down: Uncaged (516k) had 72 sold tickets in 5 theaters (all other films had 7 theaters),
Crawl (1M) had 328 sold tickets,
Beast (925k) had 263 sold tickets,

Uncharted (3.7M) had 1.294 sold tickets
and 65 (1.225M) had 300 sold tickets.

So on average ca. 2M from previews in my theaters.

Meg 2 counted today for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 187 (6 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 55 (12 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 40 (9 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 45 (7 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 33 (7 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 104 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 187 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 651. Not frontloaded. Of course a not very good WOM could hurt on Saturday and Sunday.

Up really ok 34% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Thursday of the release week for Friday; can't find the Insidious numbers for that day): 47 Meters Down: Uncaged (8.4M) had 63 sold tickets in 5 theaters,
Crawl (12M) had 269 sold tickets (would be ca. 30M OW),
Beast (11.6M) had 248 sold tickets,

65 (12.3M) had again 292 sold tickets
and Uncharted (44M) had 1.180 sold tickets.
 

In my theaters it stayed the same range: 25-30M OW. All depends on its walk-ups. Will it have better ones than e.g. Crawl which was an original film? I doubt it and think mid 20s are more realistic. Also because of the bad reviews.

[katnisscinnaplex]

9 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Meg 2	T-0	Jax	5	42	114	317	5,918	5.36%
		Phx	6	42	31	166	5,665	2.93%
		Ral	8	25	71	191	2,852	6.70%
	Total		19	109	216	674	14,435	4.67%

 

Meg 2 T-0 comps

 - Free Guy - 1.176x (2.59m)

 - Beast - 2.92x (2.7m)

 - Old - 2.055x (3.08m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.832x (2.66m)

 - Lost City (Thu) - .983x (2.46m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .988x (2.67m)

 - Death on the Nile (Thu) - 1.99x (2.19m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 2.56m

Growth model forecast - 2.88m

 

Meg 2 pace chart

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Meg 2	202.24%	52.91%		47.16%
Free Guy	87.87%	33.44%	51.23%	41.83%
Beast	192.41%	37.97%	46.94%	39.16%
Old	228.00%	51.00%		62.38%
Knock at the Cabin	117.75%	24.26%	22.66%	47.20%
Lost City	151.28%	25.64%	12.81%	42.03%
Jungle Cruise	185.36%	28.03%	29.07%	47.62%
Death on the Nile	104.85%			35.74%

 

Matched the growth of Jungle Cruise and Knock at the Cabin.  Ahead of most of the other comps (except Old).    I'm confident in 2.3m as the floor now, and I'll put my prediction at 2.55m.  Pretty interesting that the closest tickets sold comps I have (excluding EA) are Lost City and Jungle Cruise, which I would expect to cater to similar demographics.  

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Meg 2	1-Hr	Jax	5	42	212	529	5,918	8.94%
		Phx	6	42	86	252	5,665	4.45%
		Ral	8	25	182	373	2,852	13.08%
	Total		19	109	480	1,154	14,435	7.99%

 

Meg 2 T-1 hr comps

 - Free Guy - 1.328x (2.92m)

 - Beast - 2.929x (2.71m)

 - Old - 1.748x (2.62m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - missed

 - Lost City (Thu) - 1.151x (2.88m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.047x (2.83m)

 - Death on the Nile (Thu) - missed

All PG-13 movies - 2.36m

All action movies - 2.17m

All thriller movies - 2.84m

All 3pm movies - 2.42m

All movies - 2.48

 

Size adjusted comps - 2.87m

Growth model forecast - 2.96m

 

Pace chart:

Movie	T-2 to T-1hr	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Meg 2	285.95%	54.18%	64.96%	71.22%
Free Guy	147.58%	32.19%	47.48%	51.66%
Beast	248.67%	48.67%	34.48%	70.56%
Old	400.00%	59.09%		101.22%
Lost City	187.39%	38.97%	21.13%	46.21%
Jungle Cruise	235.98%	45.43%	26.26%	61.58%

 

Walkups are pretty great today.  The biggest evidence is in the Phoenix numbers, which are really T-3 hours, where shows haven't started filling in yet.  Even between my afternoon check and now I can see a big difference.  I am going to throw out a forbidden word and say that 2.5m is locked for the floor.  Official prediction: 3m

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

29 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Meg 2	1-Hr	Jax	5	42	212	529	5,918	8.94%
		Phx	6	42	86	252	5,665	4.45%
		Ral	8	25	182	373	2,852	13.08%
	Total		19	109	480	1,154	14,435	7.99%

 

Meg 2 T-1 hr comps

 - Free Guy - 1.328x (2.92m)

 - Beast - 2.929x (2.71m)

 - Old - 1.748x (2.62m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - missed

 - Lost City (Thu) - 1.151x (2.88m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.047x (2.83m)

 - Death on the Nile (Thu) - missed

All PG-13 movies - 2.36m

All action movies - 2.17m

All thriller movies - 2.84m

All 3pm movies - 2.42m

All movies - 2.48

 

Size adjusted comps - 2.87m

Growth model forecast - 2.96m

 

Pace chart:

Movie	T-2 to T-1hr	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Meg 2	285.95%	54.18%	64.96%	71.22%
Free Guy	147.58%	32.19%	47.48%	51.66%
Beast	248.67%	48.67%	34.48%	70.56%
Old	400.00%	59.09%		101.22%
Lost City	187.39%	38.97%	21.13%	46.21%
Jungle Cruise	235.98%	45.43%	26.26%	61.58%

 

Walkups are pretty great today.  The biggest evidence is in the Phoenix numbers, which are really T-3 hours, where shows haven't started filling in yet.  Even between my afternoon check and now I can see a big difference.  I am going to throw out a forbidden word and say that 2.5m is locked for the floor.  Official prediction: 3m

Reviews are so bad it's brought in the "so bad, it's good" crowd

Edited August 3, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Strays 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
138	215	24786	0.87%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.159x) of Oppenheimer 

~$1.67M THUR Previews 

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Strays 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
138	227	24786	0.92%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-14

 

(0.161x) of Oppenheimer 

~$1.69M THUR Previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Blue Beetle

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	511	26422	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

78

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.240x) of The Flash

~$2.33M THUR Previews 

 

(0.268x) of Indy 5

~$1.93M THUR Previews

 

(0.359x) of Fast X

~$2.69M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.31M previews 

Orlando-Melbourne-Gainesville greater region 

 

Blue Beetle

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	528	26422	2.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-14

 

(0.239x) of The Flash

~$2.32M THUR Previews 

 

(0.273x) of Indy 5

~$1.96M THUR Previews

 

(0.368x) of Fast X

~$2.76M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.35M previews 

[keysersoze123]

18 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Meg 2 MTC1 previews(T-1) - 23147/326836 384705.93 2354 shows +5746

 

Anemic pace for T-1 day. Probably looking at 46kish finish. 2.3m previews. 

Up to 40988 just now. Definitely not making more than 2.5m. Let us see how the late walkups go before honing on final number. 

[CJohn]

@TheFlatLannister save my shark please. Give me the Insidious comp for the ultimate preview number. Tomorrow you will all be calling me a visionary.

[tonytr87]

Wonder what the budget for Strays is...could be a small hit if low enough. 

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Meg 2 MTC1 previews(T-1) - 23147/326836 384705.93 2354 shows +5746

 

Anemic pace for T-1 day. Probably looking at 46kish finish. 2.3m previews. 

Meg 2 MTC1 Previews Final - 51609/323972 812714.83 2333 shows +28462

 

Final day walkups were really good. Bumping up to 2.8m. 

[DAJK]

I don’t know about you guys but Meg 2’s walkup % today is unlike anything I’ve seen all summer…