The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Krissykins]

Deadline:

$30-36m for Exorcist: The Believer. Not sure if this is reflective of most tracking here yet though, so I won’t get my hopes up. 

https://twitter.com/deadline/status/1709275393071738930?s=46&t=ivGmGl6bx9yMhARnU2Vzxw

 

Embedding still isn’t working for me. Even if I change it to twitter. Shrug. 

Edited October 3, 2023 by Krissykins

[TwoMisfits]

Can anyone comp FNAF to Haunted Mansion?  Another frontloaded family-oriented live action spooky project might not be a bad idea...I know it didn't open that high, but I also know it really didn't ramp its last week...

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

https://twitter.com/deadline/status/1709275393071738930?s=46&t=ivGmGl6bx9yMhARnU2Vzxw

 

Embedding still isn’t working for me. Even if I change it to twitter. Shrug. 

 

Your hyperlink still reads as x.com when I highlight it, fwiw. I would try changing it in the address bar of your browser and then copy-n-paste that.

 

Example:

 

 

Edited October 3, 2023 by Porthos

[Youngstar]

Can someone confirm this? (Tickets on sale soon)

Edited October 3, 2023 by Youngstar

[Skim Beeble]

nvm

Edited October 3, 2023 by Skim Beeble

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, Youngstar said:

FYI: Tickets on sale in the next 2 days

Can someone else confirm this?

 

Apparently not:

 

 

FWIW, our main [current] source is @datpepper whose track record on this is nearly impeccable.  So I'll see what they have to say about the matter.

Edited October 3, 2023 by Porthos

[Youngstar]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

 

Apparently not:

 

 

yep. Already changed it ^^

[Krissykins]

30 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Your hyperlink still reads as x.com when I highlight it, fwiw. I would try changing it in the address bar of your browser and then copy-n-paste that.

 

Example:

 

 

Sharing with copy link from twitter on mobile so it doesn’t give me an address bar but thanks, someone did say it’s something to do with the X. But yeh not as instant and easy as it was previously. 

[Porthos]

Just now, Krissykins said:

Sharing with copy link from twitter on mobile so it doesn’t give me an address bar but thanks, someone did say it’s something to do with the X. But yeh not as instant and easy as it was previously. 

 

Yeah, I figured it might be something like that.  Don't use mobile all that much so I don't have an easy solution for you, I'm afraid.  Others might have figured out workarounds though.

 

(once again: Thanks Elon)

 

[Sparkle Jump Rope Queen]

 

[XXR & Friends]

Looks like a much heavier over-index at AMC than Eras had. Also…..

 

“We understand that on Fandango, Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour tickets outsold Beyonce 7-to-1.” 

[vafrow]

Cineplex has Renaissance tickets up for sale right now. 

 

Still nothing for FNAF. Not sure the holdup there. Maybe there's concerns about the theatre allocation.

[Hilts]

23 hours ago, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-7	22	80	0	5	129	16,341	0.79%
T-6	22	80	0	10	139	16,341	0.85%
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
T-4	22	80	0	30	191	16,341	1.17%
T-3	22	80	0	39	230	16,341	1.41%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.513x	=	$1.59m
Strays					1.377x	=	$1.51m
A Haunting In Venice					1.655x	=	$1.99m
Talk To Me					4.339x	=	$5.40m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					4.182x	=	$3.14m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.243x	=	$6.22m
The Nun II					1.554x	=	$4.82m
The Creator					0.939x	=	$1.50m
Saw X					1.361x	=	$2.72m

 

Comp average: $3.21m. Overall pretty steady with yesterday.

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-6	22	80	0	10	139	16,341	0.85%
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
T-4	22	80	0	30	191	16,341	1.17%
T-3	22	80	0	39	230	16,341	1.41%
T-2	25	101	0	48	278	18,794	1.48%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.477x	=	$1.48m
Strays					1.479x	=	$1.63m
A Haunting In Venice					1.503x	=	$1.80m
Talk To Me					3.089x	=	$3.85m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					3.861x	=	$2.90m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.007x	=	$5.04m
The Nun II					1.305x	=	$4.05m
The Creator					0.891x	=	$1.43m
Saw X					1.203x	=	$2.41m

 

Comp average: $2.73m. Unfortunately not the jump I was expecting today so lost ground on most comps.

 

Reckon it needs to follow Nun pace to get to Deadline's range, right now maybe it falls short but still time to turn it around.

[Hilts]

On 10/2/2023 at 9:26 PM, Hilts said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-15	20	163	0	47	11,579	28,984	39.95%
T-14	20	163	0	76	11,655	28,984	40.21%
T-13	20	163	0	65	11,720	28,984	40.44%
T-12	20	163	0	73	11,793	28,984	40.69%
T-11	20	164	0	118	11,911	29,080	40.96%
T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.205x	=	$25.42m	$38.13m
Oppenheimer				2.446x	=	$25.69m	$38.53m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.949x	=	$28.43m	$42.65m
T-11 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				19.494x	=	$21.44m	$32.17m

 

*+50%

 

Definite bump - best day since initial week of sales.

 

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-14	20	163	0	76	11,655	28,984	40.21%
T-13	20	163	0	65	11,720	28,984	40.44%
T-12	20	163	0	73	11,793	28,984	40.69%
T-11	20	164	0	118	11,911	29,080	40.96%
T-10	20	166	0	87	11,998	29,294	40.96%

 

T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.214x	=	$25.61m	$38.41m
Oppenheimer				2.464x	=	$25.87m	$38.81m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.978x	=	$28.64m	$42.96m
T-10 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				19.075x	=	$20.98m	$31.47m

 

*+50%

[Hilts]

On 10/2/2023 at 9:29 PM, Hilts said:

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-21	20	80	0	83	726	15,114	4.80%
T-20	21	82	0	116	842	15,266	5.52%
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
T-18	21	82	0	93	1,048	15,266	6.86%
T-17	21	82	0	70	1,118	15,266	7.32%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.437x	=	$15.09m
Barbie					0.834x	=	$18.52m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.184x	=	$19.22m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.387x	=	$9.99m
Sound of Freedom					1.368x	=	$7.12m
Asteroid City					17.469x	=	$19.22m

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-20	21	82	0	116	842	15,266	5.52%
T-19	21	82	0	113	955	15,266	6.26%
T-18	21	82	0	93	1,048	15,266	6.86%
T-17	21	82	0	70	1,118	15,266	7.32%
T-16	21	82	0	162	1,280	15,266	8.38%
Comps
Oppenheimer					1.557x	=	$16.35m
Barbie					0.886x	=	$19.68m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.340x	=	$20.59m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.520x	=	$10.95m
Sound of Freedom					1.441x	=	$7.50m
Asteroid City					19.104x	=	$21.01m

 

Another mega day. Reminder not to take too much into these numbers, I would look to other trackers on this one for more accurate reading 🙂

[misterpepp]

On 10/3/2023 at 2:11 PM, Porthos said:

FWIW, our main [current] source is @datpepper whose track record on this is nearly impeccable.  So I'll see what they have to say about the matter.

 

I've been hearing Monday thrown around as the ticket date, but I'm not 100% certain on it yet.

 

EDIT: Good thing I added that little bit, eh? 😏

Edited December 11, 2023 by misterpepp

[Hilts]

On 10/2/2023 at 9:39 PM, Hilts said:

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-25	15	61	0	195	195	10,575	1.84%
T-24	16	64	0	156	351	10,818	3.24%

 

Comps
Asteroid City					12.103x	=	$13.31m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.648x	=	$14.50m
Barbie					0.805x	=	$16.99m
Haunted Mansion					4.558x	=	$14.13m
Oppenheimer					0.562x	=	$5.90m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.592x	=	$4.26m
The Exorcist: Believer					9.750x
Killers of the Flower Moon					1.190x

 

Well the fan-rush not over yet. Added Oppy and Indy which started earlier for some perspective. Even keeping pace with KOTFM which is major over-indexing here. Will be interesting to see what the bottom of the curve looks like and when.

 

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-25	15	61	0	195	195	10,575	1.84%
T-24	16	64	0	156	351	10,818	3.24%
T-23	16	64	0	123	474	10,818	4.38%

 

Comps
Asteroid City					14.813x	=	$16.29m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.866x	=	$16.42m
Barbie					0.509x	=	$11.30m
Haunted Mansion					6.156x	=	$19.08m
Oppenheimer					0.748x	=	$7.85m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.765x	=	$5.50m
The Exorcist: Believer					10.533x
Killers of the Flower Moon					0.961x

 

Still doing really well improving on all, bear in mind though that besides TET I have not tracked anything really front-loaded in pre-sales.

 

I had to include EA on the Barbie comp otherwise it was getting out of hand.

 

We are presuming that this will run out of steam later in the run and have not great walk-ups so will lose a lot of ground it has gained so far, but who knows when/if that will be at this point. But definitely exceeded expectations so far I would say even though we kind of expected it hot out of the gate.

[JustLurking]

1 hour ago, Sparkle Jump Rope Queen said:

 

The replies on this tweet make the marvel/flash/TLM threads look civilised.

[Porthos]

24 minutes ago, datpepper said:

 

I've been hearing Monday thrown around as the ticket date, but I'm not 100% certain on it yet.

 

I was expecting that once I heard "in a few days" from Thur.  Perhaps tied to MNF?  Maybe GMA earlier in the day, though.

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-6	22	80	0	10	139	16,341	0.85%
T-5	22	80	0	22	161	16,341	0.99%
T-4	22	80	0	30	191	16,341	1.17%
T-3	22	80	0	39	230	16,341	1.41%
T-2	25	101	0	48	278	18,794	1.48%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.477x	=	$1.48m
Strays					1.479x	=	$1.63m
A Haunting In Venice					1.503x	=	$1.80m
Talk To Me					3.089x	=	$3.85m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					3.861x	=	$2.90m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.007x	=	$5.04m
The Nun II					1.305x	=	$4.05m
The Creator					0.891x	=	$1.43m
Saw X					1.203x	=	$2.41m

 

Comp average: $2.73m. Unfortunately not the jump I was expecting today so lost ground on most comps.

 

Reckon it needs to follow Nun pace to get to Deadline's range, right now maybe it falls short but still time to turn it around.

Oh man this is falling apart