The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/24/2024 at 7:59 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

Horizon

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
405	541	78594	0.69%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.964x) of The Watchers $964k

(0.244x) of Civil War $706k

(0.479x) of Challengers $766k

Comps average: $812k

 

Maybe this gets to $1M previews, but pace is not great so idk 

FLORIDA 

 

Horizon

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
405	688	78594	0.88%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

147

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-2

(0.984x) of The Watchers $984k

(0.266x) of Civil War $772k

Comps average: $878k

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 5038/108787 60465.96 1023 shows +1203

Friday - 6363/165261 76163.19 1528 shows +1466

 

its definitely accelerating a bit. May be 1.5m previews and low teens OW?

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 6176/117124 73807.62 1126 shows +1138

Friday - 8846/192133 104803.46 1831 shows +2483

 

Not convinced its going to hit 1m previews. Friday is looking better but I may have to reduce expectations even with MTC1 expected to under index. 

[Unfitclock]

@charlie Jatinder just curious how is horizon looking near you?

[charlie Jatinder]

47 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 6176/117124 73807.62 1126 shows +1138

Friday - 8846/192133 104803.46 1831 shows +2483

 

Not convinced its going to hit 1m previews. Friday is looking better but I may have to reduce expectations even with MTC1 expected to under index. 

I mean I get this film is not doing well everywhere but MTC1 has locations where it is doing VERY WELL, so sales nationwide should be better than what they are at the moment.

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

A Quiet Place: Day One: 

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 24 Tickets

Theater 2: 19 Tickets

 

FNAF: $2.13M

The Nun 2: $7.02M

Insidious 5: $9.77M

Scream VI: $3.71M

HE: $6.28M

Nope: $6.12M

Black Phone: $4.30M

 

Bit of variety, but I'll go for $4M-$6M right now

A Quiet Place: Day One: 

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 35 Tickets

Theater 2: 22 Tickets

 

FNAF: $2.59M

The Nun 2: $5.52M

Insidious 5: $9.50M

Scream VI: $4.06M

HE: $6.69M

Nope: $4.24M

Black Phone: $4.91M

 

Still a bit wide, but I'm sticking with $4M-$6M right now

 

Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 19 Tickets

Theater 2: 42 Tickets

 

FNAF: $2.79M

The Nun 2: $16.50M

Insidious 5: $20.08M

Scream VI: $8.82M

HE: $5.97M

Nope: $7.16M

Black Phone: $13.39M

 

Idk, wide range. I'd level around $13M for now

[Flip]

On 6/24/2024 at 10:07 PM, Flip said:

A Quiet Place (T-3)

 

theater no longer closed

 

12 showtimes/331 tix sold (+50)

.75x Inside Out 2 (T-3) [9.75m*]
1.53x Bad Boys 4 (T-3) [8.54m]
4.53x Watchers (T-3) [4.53m]

* take this with a grain of salt, due to both genre differences and AQP over indexing since I’m tracking NYC where the movie takes place.

Watchers comp is probably the best to follow.

 

 

A Quiet Place (T-2)

 

12 showtimes/424 tix sold (+93)

.819x Inside Out 2 (T-2) [10.64m]
1.27x Bad Boys 4 (T-2) [7.08m]
4.82x Watchers (T-2) [4.82m]

Goal for tomorrow should be to sell >120 tickets
 

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I mean I get this film is not doing well everywhere but MTC1 has locations where it is doing VERY WELL, so sales nationwide should be better than what they are at the moment.

Not sure I got what you are saying. it is not doing great anywhere. Best theater for Friday is one in Woodbridge VA near DC. For previews highest single show has sold 46 tickets 🙂 in LA area. Only 17 shows have sold 30 or more tickets. Its doing horrendous in NY area as I dont find any show in Top 30. 

 

Let us see how walkups go. 

[crazymoviekid]

On 6/24/2024 at 11:39 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1:

 

Thursday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 3 Tickets

Theater 2: 8 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $1.77M

KotFM: $.92M

Indy 5: $.60M

Asteroid City: $.48M

Elvis: $.94M

 

Comps are a bit wide. I'll just say $1M for now.

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1

 

Thursday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 3 Tickets

Theater 2: 8 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $1.45M

KotFM: $.65M

Indy 5: $.52M

Asteroid City: $.32M

Elvis: $.60M

 

Absolutely no sales today. Dropping comp to $.6M.

 

Friday Comp:

 

Theater 1: 0 Tickets

Theater 2: 22 Tickets

 

The Bikeriders: $5.12M

KotFM: $2.34M

Indy 5: $2.04M

Asteroid City: $1.82M

Elvis: $1.67M

 

yikes. Going for a $1.5M-$2.5M range

[charlie Jatinder]

Sure DP3 can open to just $150M but if you see it open to just $150M at this moment is because you want it to open to $150M. Sales don't tell that, at least at this moment.

 

Just for some context, DP3 sales are roughly where Thor 4 was at T-17 days i.e. roughly 15 days from now on.

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Not sure I got what you are saying. it is not doing great anywhere. Best theater for Friday is one in Woodbridge VA near DC. For previews highest single show has sold 46 tickets 🙂 in LA area. Only 17 shows have sold 30 or more tickets. Its doing horrendous in NY area as I dont find any show in Top 30. 

 

Let us see how walkups go. 

I meant that MTC1 has plenty locations in midwest where it is doing HUGE, they should be enough to push nationwide nos. a bit higher.

 

But guess places it isn't doing well are just awful.

[emoviefan]

12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Sure DP3 can open to just $150M but if you see it open to just $150M at this moment is because you want it to open to $150M. Sales don't tell that, at least at this moment.

 

Just for some context, DP3 sales are roughly where Thor 4 was at T-17 days i.e. roughly 15 days from now on.

 

 

 

Yeah kind of scratching my head at the pessimism all of a sudden.I could see if we were in release week but we are still 4 weeks to that and before the last marketing push happens. 

Edited June 26 by emoviefan

[THUNDER BIRD]

19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Sure DP3 can open to just $150M but if you see it open to just $150M at this moment is because you want it to open to $150M. Sales don't tell that, at least at this moment.

 

Just for some context, DP3 sales are roughly where Thor 4 was at T-17 days i.e. roughly 15 days from now on.

 

 

 

I trust you

[abracadabra1998]

On 6/24/2024 at 12:01 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

A Quiet Place: Day One (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	138	90	426	23458	1.82

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		296	46	69.48
MTC1:		275	44	64.55
Other chains:		151	46	35.45

 

Comps:

0.94x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $4.68 Million

0.89x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $3.98 Million (17 theaters)

1.9x Exorcist Believer: $5.42 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $4.69 Million

 

All of these numbers are from yesterday. Hope it starts accelerating now

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

A Quiet Place: Day One (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	159	282	708	25530	2.77

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		473	177	66.81
MTC1:		426	151	60.17
Other chains:		282	131	39.83

 

Comps:

0.98x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $4.88 Million

1.08x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $4.88 Million (17 theaters)

2.3x Exorcist Believer: $6.55 Million (17 theaters)

1.75x Blue Beetle: $5.79 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $5.53 Million

 

Added Blue Beetle, not a great comp but trying to find blockbusters that skew young. Decent pace over these last two days!

[abracadabra1998]

On 6/24/2024 at 12:12 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

Horizon: Chapter 1 (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	55	108	108	5730	1.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		19	19	17.59
MTC1:		39	39	36.11
Other chains:		69	69	63.89

 

Comps:

1.19x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $1.01 Million

3.11x Arthur the King: $2.57 Million

3.11x Ordinary Angels: $885k

 

Average: $1.49 Million

 

Bikeriders comp tomorrow will probably be my best one here

 

Blue Lock the Movie: Episode Nagi (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 10 theaters	28	22	22	2471	0.89

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		17	17	77.27
Other chains:		5	5	22.73

 

Comps:

0.08x Spy x Family Code White: $55k

 

Yo wtf? Didn't realize this was gonna be so bad, wouldn't have bothered if I did  

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Horizon: Chapter 1 (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	67	46	154	6879	2.24

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		30	11	19.48
MTC1:		63	24	40.91
Other chains:		91	22	59.09

 

Comps:

0.96x The Bikeriders: $1.4 Million

0.99x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $845k

2.57x Arthur the King: $2.12 Million

Ordinary Angels: Missed

0.35x Boys on the Boat: $610k

 

Average: $1.24 Million

 

Comps are all over the place but that's because I have nothing really like this. Bikeriders probably the best comp of the bunch?

 

Blue Lock the Movie: Episode Nagi (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 10 theaters	27	19	41	2179	1.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		36	19	87.8
Other chains:		5	0	12.2

 

Comps:

0.08x Haikyu: $65k

0.12x Spy x Family Code White: $80k

 

Non-entity

[keysersoze123]

When it comes to MCU @Porthos has been mostly on point. So we better keep an eye on trends on where its ending up. Look at daily pace along with total. At this point anything is possible. But I am predicting what I am projecting based on current pace and general trends of MCU movies. 

[Porthos]

44 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Just for some context, DP3 sales are roughly where Thor 4 was at T-17 days i.e. roughly 15 days from now on.

 

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

When it comes to MCU @Porthos has been mostly on point. So we better keep an eye on trends on where its ending up. Look at daily pace along with total. At this point anything is possible. But I am predicting what I am projecting based on current pace and general trends of MCU movies. 

 

*checks locally*

 

Roughly at T-20 locally (L&T T-20: 5525 | DP3 T-31: 5519) but perhaps quibbling.

 

I would point out though that since Thor 4 started out at T-24, it was much more concentrated than most other MCU films we've been discussing, and especially DP3.

 

 

Edited June 26 by Porthos

[Mojoguy]

How are the Regal Summer Express tickets selling? $1 tickets sold every Tues and Weds for rereleases, this week DM3 and Migration. Are they not being reported? Just a way for theaters to make money selling food to families over the summer?

[Rorschach]

23 hours ago, Rorschach said:

A Quiet Place: Day One (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 60/1,672 (3.6% sold)

XD Fan Event showing: 15/238 (6.3% sold)

3 IMAX showings: 17/1,164 (1.5% sold)

8 2D showings: 28/737 (3.8% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $4.41 mil

Furiosa: $3.75 mil

Average: $4.08 mil

 

Friday: 59/3,474 (1.7% sold)

5 IMAX showings: 28/1,940 (1.4% sold)

16 2D showings: 31/1,534 (2% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes: $10.09 mil

Furiosa: $6.74 mil

Average: $8.42 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 119/5,146 (2.3% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes: $15.39 mil

Furiosa: $10.62 mil

Average: $13.01 mil

 

 

I'm expecting this will perform closer to the Apes comps, though its current sales at this theater are about the same as Furiosa's numbers on its respective Monday. 

A Quiet Place: Day One (Tuesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday: 70/1,672 (4.2% sold) [+10]

3pm XD Fan Event showing: 17/238 (7.1% sold)

3 IMAX showings: 21/1,164 

8 2D showings: 32/737 

 

Comps:

Apes (w/o EA): $4.43 mil

Furiosa: $3.66 mil

Average: $4.05 mil

 

Friday: 107/3,474 (3.1% sold) [+48]

5 IMAX showings: 41/1,940 

16 2D showings: 66/1,534 (4.3% sold)

 

Comps:

Apes: $13.43 mil

Furiosa: $8.63 mil

Average: $11.03 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 177/5,146 (3.4% sold) [+58]

 

Comp:

Apes: $17.93 mil

Furiosa: $12.06 mil

Average: $15 mil

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 44221/550557 872059.67 2741 shows +6191

Friday - 35009/1022727 664961.67 5200 shows +6053 

 

It exceeded my expectations for today and so its on but Friday pace being lower is weird this late. Its IM may not be as good as what I expected earlier. But its going to go for 6m previews I think.  

A Quiet Place: Day One MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 53019/585612 1035076.71 3038 shows +8798

Friday - 45546/1171815 851430.28 6348 shows +10537

 

Solid day and Friday also shot up as expected. I am sticking with this movie beating expectations. 

[Rorschach]

23 hours ago, Rorschach said:

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1 (Monday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

4 2D showings: 19/438 (4.3% sold)

 

Comps:

The Bikeriders: $1.97 mil

 

Friday:

7 2D showings: 65/594 (10.9% sold)

 

Comps: 

The Bikeriders: $10.81 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 84/1,032 (8.1% sold)

 

Comps: 

The Bikeriders: $11.51 mil

 

 

Haha Midwest go brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 1 (Tuesday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Thursday:

4 2D showings: 24/438 (5.5% sold) [+5]

 

Comp:

The Bikeriders: $2.18 mil

 

Friday:

7 2D showings: 85/594 (14.3% sold) [+20]

 

Comp: 

The Bikeriders: $7.8 mil

 

Thurs + Fri: 109/1,032 (10.6% sold) [+25]

 

Comp: 

The Bikeriders: $9.96 mil