Christmas Weekend Thread | Xmas Day #s - Purple 18.1, Aqua 10.6, Wonka 10.3, Boys 5.7, Migration 5.4, Ferrari 2.9 | #BlackGirlMagic dominates the charts

[Speedorito]

12 hours ago, M37 said:

This comparison is misunderstanding the data.  A film like Heron is going to play well in big cities, but not have much depth in middle and especially lower tier markets. That Aquaman 2 isn’t relying as heavily on the big markets, but filling seats more or less everywhere, is better for the industry

 

Unless ones goal is to reduce movie-going to a cinephile, niche audience and kill a lot of those mid and lower theaters 

Of course that’s what they want, it’s Film Twitter.

[Joyous Legion]

Looking at any Sats here @keysersoze123? Or all eyes on Xmas at this point?

[dallas]

I think $120M for Aquaman is likely with a +/- $10M range. 

[dallas]

Saturday looking good for Aquaman. Walkups are strong. Could probably land $11M Saturday and ~$5M Sunday for a $30M 3-day

[Jake Gittes]

48 minutes ago, M37 said:

All the way back in 2006 (the previous time with this calendar configuration) a sports themed somewhat downer of a film, We Are Marshall turned a $6.1M OW into a $43.5M total

 

The Good Shepherd is also a good comp. Did a clean 10/60. And that was a more divisive movie.

[Eric is Quiet]

About to see Iron Claw in a few minutes, brother and I are seeing Boy and the Heron tomorrow, family's going to the Eagles game on Chirstmas Day. Gonna be a fun weekend, before I get through the catchup rush of seeing everything else. Exciting time for the movies. Hooray!

[HummingLemon496]

1 hour ago, Legion Again said:

One claim I’m relatively confident making already is that the midpoint will be closer than either of our doms. Another W for wisdom of the crowd aggregation 😛

So the range is ~~$100M-128M?

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

So the range is ~~$100M-128M?

I mean we’ve still just got one day or hard data but that looks about right

[M37]

1 hour ago, Jiffy said:

Is the Wonka drop worse than expected? Haven't followed but thought the weekdays were pretty strong.

The overall drop is fine especially factoring in pre-holiday depression, but there was some hope earlier in the week it was going to track closer to Ferdinand off those M-W dailies, which had a huge +28% Thursday and go for $20M+, but instead Thur was -4% and weekend will be around -50% 
 

It’s just a weekday heavier audience, a flatter daily pattern than a pure animated film (as the smaller Sat increase from TFri on OW already suggested)

[LonePirate]

Attended a matinee showing of Poor Things. It’s a mixed bag for me. Once you accept the central premise of the movie as being possible in this cinematic universe, there are some entertaining and funny moments. On the flip side, some of it is simply too absurd and too prurient to serve any purpose. Then there was the clerical error of mixing up God and Goat on the last scene. Stone was terrific throughout as she fully committed to the role in every regard.

[nguyenkhoi282]

5 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said:

This is gonna be an epic showdown

 

Most over-powered weekend possible for legs, literally every day from Christmas to New Years is a Saturday

 

vs

 

super toxic word of mouth,

 

 

I think this happened before in 2017 with The Last Jedi. 

[HummingLemon496]

Just now, nguyenkhoi282 said:

I think this happened before in 2017 with The Last Jedi. 

This is different because of calendar configurations. TLJ was the pre-pre-Christmas weekend. Aquaman is just on the pre-Christmas weekend with the weekend being deflated by Christmas Eve and every day from Dec 25 to Jan 1 is basically a Saturday.

[nguyenkhoi282]

6 hours ago, joaqs said:

Deadline has Hunger Games numbers:

 

Hunger Games: Songbirds & Snakes (LG) 2,509 (-782) theaters, Fri $1.2M (-29%) 3-day $3.5M (-40%), 4-day $5.4M total $154.8M/Wk 6

Looks like 180M final to me. 4X multi seems in reach.

[stuart360]

Sucks for Aquaman as i liked the first film, but like i said many times on here, the film is a part of a dead universe that everyone already knows is getting rebooted.

I mean i have no desire to see the film because of that, and i liked the first film!.

 

No idea why WB announced the reboot so early when they knew they still had multiple films coming for the defunkt universe, films that all pretty much flopped because of it.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Giorno]

https://x.com/meJat32/status/1738761089897353476?s=20

[VanillaSkies]

Everything pretty muted for Saturday bumps, which makes sense as this weekend is a travel weekend for many, many people. 
The real gravy train starts Monday for most films, at least those with decent WOM.

[Cmasterclay]

Bad, bad, bad Saturday numbers. Definitely shifts perception of weekend for me tbh. Not sure Aquaman/Migration hit 100 from that. 30 mill gonna be tough for Anyone But You (and I assume Iron Claw) as well.

[Pinacolada]

Wtf