JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Mojoguy]

50m is considered a blockbuster hit in Japan. The last American movie that did it was Cinderella (2015).

 

I will spend my life wondering what the Japanese saw in frozen, good movie but this ticket is .............

Use the quote button, man. It is at the lower right part of every post.

 

The weird grey box replies are weird.

Edited August 9, 2015 by Mojoguy

[Rthmessiah]

Sat looking like JP4 around lc400m(be over $us3m) at least 250k admits,MI5 277m,Min 160m

[kowan]

I hope JW break $9m or even $10m in actuals!

[Mojoguy]

JW over or under Cinderella in Japan?

[kowan]

JW over or under Cinderella in Japan?

It was mentioned that $60m is a possibility now so probably over.

[POTUS 2020]

JW over or under Cinderella in Japan?

It should be over $14m total today

This week will be massive w holiday. $12-14m expected after having an $8m weekend

followed by a $6.5m-7m weekend. 33-35m total

at least 4x more next weekends 7m, $28m

I say $62m is the floor

80m-100m is possible with the way the numbers keep growing relative to other releases.

 

 

Top 12	T1MUK Sat1400	% of Total Admn	T1MUK Sun1400	% of Total Admn
JW	43964	18.5%	59937	20.1%
MI5	35421	14.9%	45232	15.2%
Naruto	32641	13.8%	33816	11.4%
Minion	25994	11.0%	36129	12.1%
Titans	25593	10.8%	19143	6.4%
Kamen	11207	4.7%	25603	8.6%
Monster	12310	5.2%	15855	5.3%
Hero	12310	5.2%	16003	5.4%
IO	11430	4.8%	16808	5.6%
Longest	11033	4.7%	13188	4.4%
Poke	9091	3.8%	12918	4.3%
School	6066	2.6%	3061	1.0%
	237060		297693

 

Minions down 30% from last sunday at 1400. decent hold. Yesterdays drop was skewed by last weeks discount day. I say it still breaks $30m

Aou down 62%, T5 -86%

[HesAPooka]

What kind of long term numbers can we expect for MI5?

[Jack]

This finally turns out to be another incredible run to track, as expected.

Now I just sit back and enjoy the show.

[Mojoguy]

80m-100m is possible with the way the numbers keep growing relative to other releases.

Wow, that would be insanely good for JW!

[POTUS 2020]

Top 12	T1MUK 1400	T1MUK Sa 2230	T1MUK Su1400	T1MUK Su Est	T1MUK xM	Sat Tot Adms	Sun Tot Adms	Ave Tix Price	Sat TotalM	Sat $ TotalM	Sun Proj	Sun $Proj	Week end	Week end $
JW	43964	128097	59937	165000	2.32	297185	382800	1575	468	3.77	603	4.86	1071	8.64
MI5	35421	101123	45232	120000	2.32	234605	278400	1400	328	2.65	390	3.14	718	5.79
Naruto	32641	71982	33816	74000	2.32	166998	171680	1400	234	1.89	240	1.94	474	3.82
Minion	25593	49342	36129	65000	2.32	114473	150800	1250	143	1.15	189	1.52	332	2.67
Titans	12310	36126	19143	42000	2.32	83812	97440	1350	113	0.91	132	1.06	245	1.97
Kamen	25994	35778	25603	36000	2.32	83005	83520	1250	104	0.84	104	0.84	208	1.68
Monster	11430	28060	15855	35000	2.32	65099	81200	1250	81	0.66	102	0.82	183	1.47
Hero	11033	27221	16003	33000	2.32	63153	76560	1250	79	0.64	96	0.77	175	1.41
IO	12310	22826	16808	31000	2.32	52956	71920	1300	69	0.56	93	0.75	162	1.31
Longest	11207	21267	13188	24000	2.32	49339	55680	1400	69	0.56	78	0.63	147	1.19
Poke	9091	12250	12918	16000	2.32	28420	37120	1250	36	0.29	46	0.37	82	0.66
School	6066	14788	3061	10000	2.32	34308	23200	1425	49	0.39	33	0.27	82	0.66
									1773	14.3	2106	17.0	3879	31.28

I used 1400 multiplier from last sunday. Most people are off tomorrow I believe, this evening could be stronger. JW has a shot at 1.1B/$9m

[edroger3]

 

Top 12 T1MUK 1400 T1MUK Sa 2230 T1MUK Su1400 T1MUK Su Est T1MUK xM Sat Tot Adms Sun Tot Adms Ave Tix Price Sat TotalM Sat $ TotalM Sun Proj Sun $Proj Week end Week end $ JW 43964 128097 59937 165000 2.32 297185 382800 1575 468 3.77 603 4.86 1071 8.64 MI5 35421 101123 45232 120000 2.32 234605 278400 1400 328 2.65 390 3.14 718 5.79 Naruto 32641 71982 33816 74000 2.32 166998 171680 1400 234 1.89 240 1.94 474 3.82 Minion 25593 49342 36129 65000 2.32 114473 150800 1250 143 1.15 189 1.52 332 2.67 Titans 12310 36126 19143 42000 2.32 83812 97440 1350 113 0.91 132 1.06 245 1.97 Kamen 25994 35778 25603 36000 2.32 83005 83520 1250 104 0.84 104 0.84 208 1.68 Monster 11430 28060 15855 35000 2.32 65099 81200 1250 81 0.66 102 0.82 183 1.47 Hero 11033 27221 16003 33000 2.32 63153 76560 1250 79 0.64 96 0.77 175 1.41 IO 12310 22826 16808 31000 2.32 52956 71920 1300 69 0.56 93 0.75 162 1.31 Longest 11207 21267 13188 24000 2.32 49339 55680 1400 69 0.56 78 0.63 147 1.19 Poke 9091 12250 12918 16000 2.32 28420 37120 1250 36 0.29 46 0.37 82 0.66 School 6066 14788 3061 10000 2.32 34308 23200 1425 49 0.39 33 0.27 82 0.66                   1773 14.3 2106 17.0 3879 31.28

I used 1400 multiplier from last sunday. Most people are off tomorrow I believe, this evening could be stronger. JW has a shot at 1.1B/$9m

 

I think the total is now for six chains (Aeon added), so the admission multiplier should be lower.

 

For example 

 

Naruto saturday 

 

Total 71920

 

Toho 37486

Kinezo 7934

United 9194

109 4497

Movix 12680

Aeon 18225 (25% of total)

 

So 43% (5 Chains) + 25% = 54% = 1,85 Multiplier

 

Tell me if you agree

 

Update: obviously not, 71920 is 5 chains total.......

Edited August 9, 2015 by edroger

[POTUS 2020]

I think the total is now for six chains (Aeon added), so the admission multiplier should be lower.

 

For example 

 

Naruto saturday 

 

Total 71920

 

Toho 37486

Kinezo 7934

United 9194

109 4497

Movix 12680

Aeon 18225 (25% of total)

 

So 43% (5 Chains) + 25% = 54% = 1,85 Multiplier

 

Tell me if you agree

 

Update: obviously not, 71920 is 5 chains total.......

so its 43%,  2.32x still

I checked Naruto today, it checked out

that would have been a bummer

[POTUS 2020]

Edit

Edited August 9, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[POTUS 2020]

Top 12	T1MUK 1900	T1MUK Sa 2230	T1MUK Su1900	T1MUK Su Est	T1MUK xM	Sat Tot Adms	Sun Tot Adms	Ave Tix Price	Sat TotalM	Sat $ TotalM	Sun Proj	Sun $Proj	Week end	Week end $
JW	96113	128097	121921	155000	2.32	297185	359600	1575	468	3.77	566	4.57	1034	8.34
MI5	75107	101123	90985	117000	2.32	234605	271440	1400	328	2.65	380	3.06	708	5.71
Naruto	55890	71982	58595	74000	2.32	166998	171680	1400	234	1.89	240	1.94	474	3.82
Minion	45057	49342	62240	67000	2.32	114473	155440	1250	143	1.15	194	1.57	337	2.72
Titans	27774	36126	37784	45000	2.32	83812	104400	1350	113	0.91	141	1.14	254	2.05
Kamen	34798	35778	34209	36000	2.32	83005	83520	1250	104	0.84	104	0.84	208	1.68
Monster	24293	28060	33074	37000	2.32	65099	85840	1250	81	0.66	107	0.87	189	1.52
Hero	22169	27221	29477	34500	2.32	63153	80040	1250	79	0.64	100	0.81	179	1.44
IO	21787	22826	28974	30000	2.32	52956	69600	1300	69	0.56	90	0.73	159	1.28
Longest	18799	21267	20963	23500	2.32	49339	54520	1250	62	0.50	68	0.55	130	1.05
Poke	12000	12250	17812	18000	2.32	28420	41760	1250	36	0.29	52	0.42	88	0.71
School	11068	14788	6143	8000	2.32	34308	18560	1425	49	0.39	26	0.21	75	0.61
													3837	30.94

[Heat Vision]

So how much can JW reach here?

[baumer]

So thats a good start for JW isn't it? Should go over 1.6 bill now.

[scoobysaurus]

So thats a good start for JW isn't it? Should go over 1.6 bill now.

$1.6b WW has been locked for a while now. $1b OS looked hard to get, but with the break out in Japan that's locked as well

[KATCH-2D2]

It should be over $14m total today

This week will be massive w holiday. $12-14m expected after having an $8m weekend

followed by a $6.5m-7m weekend. 33-35m total

at least 4x more next weekends 7m, $28m

I say $62m is the floor

80m-100m is possible with the way the numbers keep growing relative to other releases.

 

So JW is doing great in Japan as well. I love it! MI5 doesn't do too bad either.

 

I hope JW could do as well as your projection but then I remember how AOU dropped big after such a great opening....

[POTUS 2020]

So JW is doing great in Japan as well. I love it! MI5 doesn't do too bad either.

 

I hope JW could do as well as your projection but then I remember how AOU dropped big after such a great opening....

I think this different than AOU. Its gotten stronger, and scored a bigger weekend than AOU after 3 days of burn off. Reaching more demos too.

A big movie crashing 60% the following week like AOU is very rare in Japan. I wouldn't count on it

 

 

The evening wasn't as strong as yesterday as I thought it mite be with the holiday starting. Still a great day overall and JW increased its market share, showing WOM is in play. Looking for a few more $3m+ days this coming week

 

 

Top 12	T1MUK 1900	T1MUK Sa 2230	T1MUK Su1900	T1MUK Su Est	T1MUK xM	Sat Tot Adms	Sun Tot Adms	Ave Tix Price	Sat TotalM	Sat $ TotalM	Sun Proj	Sun $Proj	Week end	Week end $
JW	96113	128097	121921	141000	2.32	297185	327120	1575	468	3.77	515	4.15	983	7.93
MI5	75107	101123	90985	104000	2.32	234605	241280	1400	328	2.65	338	2.72	666	5.37
Naruto	55890	71982	58595	67000	2.32	166998	155440	1400	234	1.89	218	1.75	451	3.64
Minion	45057	49342	62240	66000	2.32	114473	153120	1250	143	1.15	191	1.54	334	2.70
Titans	27774	36126	37784	43200	2.32	83812	100224	1350	113	0.91	135	1.09	248	2.00
Kamen	34798	35778	34209	34600	2.32	83005	80272	1250	104	0.84	100	0.81	204	1.65
Monster	24293	28060	33074	37000	2.32	65099	85840	1250	81	0.66	107	0.87	189	1.52
Hero	22169	27221	29477	32000	2.32	63153	74240	1250	79	0.64	93	0.75	172	1.39
IO	21787	22826	28974	35800	2.32	52956	83056	1300	69	0.56	108	0.87	177	1.43
Longest	18799	21267	20963	22000	2.32	49339	51040	1250	62	0.50	64	0.51	125	1.01
Poke	12000	12250	17812	18000	2.32	28420	41760	1250	36	0.29	52	0.42	88	0.71
School	11068	14788	6143	8000	2.32	34308	18560	1425	49	0.39	26	0.21	75	0.61
													3714	29.95

[KATCH-2D2]

 

I think this different than AOU. Its gotten stronger, and scored a bigger weekend than AOU after 3 days of burn off. Reaching more demos too.

A big movie crashing 60% the following week like AOU is very rare in Japan. I wouldn't count on it

 

 

The evening wasn't as strong as yesterday as I thought it mite be with the holiday starting. Still a great day overall and JW increased its market share, showing WOM is in play. Looking for a few more $3m+ days this coming week

 

 

Top 12 T1MUK 1900 T1MUK Sa 2230 T1MUK Su1900 T1MUK Su Est T1MUK xM Sat Tot Adms Sun Tot Adms Ave Tix Price Sat TotalM Sat $ TotalM Sun Proj Sun $Proj Week end Week end $ JW 96113 128097 121921 141000 2.32 297185 327120 1575 468 3.77 515 4.15 983 7.93 MI5 75107 101123 90985 104000 2.32 234605 241280 1400 328 2.65 338 2.72 666 5.37 Naruto 55890 71982 58595 67000 2.32 166998 155440 1400 234 1.89 218 1.75 451 3.64 Minion 45057 49342 62240 66000 2.32 114473 153120 1250 143 1.15 191 1.54 334 2.70 Titans 27774 36126 37784 43200 2.32 83812 100224 1350 113 0.91 135 1.09 248 2.00 Kamen 34798 35778 34209 34600 2.32 83005 80272 1250 104 0.84 100 0.81 204 1.65 Monster 24293 28060 33074 37000 2.32 65099 85840 1250 81 0.66 107 0.87 189 1.52 Hero 22169 27221 29477 32000 2.32 63153 74240 1250 79 0.64 93 0.75 172 1.39 IO 21787 22826 28974 35800 2.32 52956 83056 1300 69 0.56 108 0.87 177 1.43 Longest 18799 21267 20963 22000 2.32 49339 51040 1250 62 0.50 64 0.51 125 1.01 Poke 12000 12250 17812 18000 2.32 28420 41760 1250 36 0.29 52 0.42 88 0.71 School 11068 14788 6143 8000 2.32 34308 18560 1425 49 0.39 26 0.21 75 0.61                           3714 29.95

 

 

Thanks. Too bad JW's going to miss 1b yen after coming so close. It would've reached 1b had it opened on Fri or Sat.

 

So what kind of multi we can expect for JW and MI5 if their WOM are good? Over 6X?

Edited August 9, 2015 by KATCH 22