JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Arlborn]

2 hours ago, Baumer said:

What do you guys think Deadpool is going to do here?

I'm curious about that myself. Any ideas guys?

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

(C)2016 Disney. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Actuals (05/14-15)/2016年05月14日-2016年05月15日
01 (01) ¥458,930,800 ($4.2 million), +19%, ¥3,728,873,500 ($35.0 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK4
02 (---) ¥194,881,200 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥229,764,400 ($2.1 million), The Magnificent Nine (Shochiku) NEW
03 (---) ¥184,709,900 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥184,709,900 ($1.7 million), If Cats Disappeared from the World (Toho) NEW
04 (02) ¥183,598,100 ($1.7 million), -34%, ¥5,432,868,900 ($50.1 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK5
05 (03) ¥168,813,900 ($1.6 million), -35%, ¥708,688,300 ($6.8 million), 64: Part 1 (Toho) WK2
06 (04) ¥140,954,600 ($1.3 million), -37%, ¥2,154,707,900 ($20.0 million), Captain America: Civil War (Disney) WK3
07 (09) ¥100,020,900 ($921,000), +26%, ¥631,429,200 ($5.8 million), Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (Toei) WK4
08 (06) ¥78,483,500 ($722,000), -30%, ¥1,787,122,100 ($16.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) WK5
09 (07) ¥72,963,900 ($671,000), -30%, ¥1,319,017,700 ($12.5 million), I Am a Hero (Toho) WK4
10 (08) ¥65,194,500 ($600,000), -37%, ¥942,081,400 ($8.8 million), Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) WK3

>Zootopia wins its second-consecutive week atop the box office, after climbing to the number one position last weekend, its third week of release. Walt Disney's latest hit saw a very, very impressive 20% jump in admissions, selling 351,049 tickets over its fourth weekend of release; bring its four week admissions above 2.9 million. Its fourth weekend, in terms of gross and admissions, ranks as its second biggest weekend-to-date (behind its second weekend).

The film may have started off below expectations, but it's now well on its way in exceeding them. A very conservative projection now is that it'll exceed the ¥5 billion ($45 million+) blockbuster milestone, but there's no reason anymore doubt that it's going to go comfortably higher than that mark. Its actually been improving upon its weekday performance (Monday, yesterday, was up once again versus last week) and has been playing a bit better in the evening than during its first couple weeks in release. All of this indicates positive WOM has definitely spread, and it's begun to attract a very wide audience that includes adults.

So, given that it's just now found its stride and has yet to find its peak, even after four weeks, there is a lot of potential here for a huge run still to come that'll probably go into July. I wouldn't be too surprised if it's able to eventually exceed ¥7 billion ($65 million+), which would give it a multiplier above 15 (on par with Big Hero 6).

>The Magnificent Nine comes in a solid second place, selling a decent 159,960 admissions over the weekend on 308 screens. The film is the latest is a successful streak of period comedies that has really become a bankable genre over the past few years. It should have little trouble exceeding the ¥1 billion milestone, and could make a run at ¥1.5 billion ($12-14 million).

>If Cats Disappeared from the World narrowly manages a third place start, selling 141,691 admissions across 290 screens over the weekend. Overall, this is a mediocre debut, even if it's the standard opening for a May/June release. At the helm was acclaimed director Yoshihiro Nakamura; pre-sales were encouraging, and most theaters gave it their largest screens, yet it was unable to captivate many over the actual weekend. Still, it should be able to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, so considering it a modest success.

>Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare continues to hold on fairly well and is about to outgross Yo-Kai Watch 2 to become the second biggest film of the year. It's already become a blockbuster by exceeding ¥5 billion, as well as becoming the highest-grossing, and most-attended, film in the series, so the only achievements left are to simply outgross other films.

>Captain America: Civil War slips two more spots, falling out of the Top 5 after three weeks in release. However, it continues to outpace Iron Man 3, though narrowing its lead from 11% to just 5%, with a similar third weekend gross, so it should still be on track to outgross it; becoming the market's highest-grossing non-Spider-Man/Avengers film in the market.

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

New Era Walt Disney Animation Showdown
Zootopia vs Big Hero 6 vs Frozen


¥446 million ($4.0 million)
¥509 million ($4.8 million), +14%, ¥1.44 billion ($13.3 million)
¥387 million ($3.6 million), -24%, ¥2.99 billion ($27.9 million)
¥458 million ($4.2 million), +19%, ¥3.73 billion ($35.0 million)



¥600 million ($5.2 million)
¥454 million ($3.9 million), -24%, ¥2.08 billion ($17.4 million)
¥665 million ($5.6 million), +46%, ¥4.14 billion ($35.2 million)
¥546 million ($4.6 million), -18%, ¥5.72 billion ($48.6 million)
¥426 million ($3.7 million), -22%, ¥6.41 billion ($54.7 million)
¥349 million ($3.0 million), -18%, ¥7.03 billion ($59.9 million)
¥307 million ($2.6 million), -12%, ¥7.57 billion ($64.5 million)
¥227 million ($1.9 million), -26%, ¥7.97 billion ($67.9 million)
¥163 million ($1.4 million), -28%, ¥8.38 billion ($71.5 million)
¥131 million ($1.1 million), -20%, ¥8.61 billion ($73.4 million)
¥159 million ($1.3 million), +21%, ¥8.84 billion ($75.1 million)
¥63 million ($540,000), -59%, ¥8.96 billion ($76.2 million)



¥763 million ($7.5 million)
¥872 million ($8.5 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million)
¥881 million ($8.6 million), +01%, ¥5.28 billion ($51.6 million)
¥850 million ($8.3 million), -03%, ¥7.71 billion ($74.8 million)
¥841 million ($8.2 million), -01%, ¥9.28 billion ($90.7 million)
¥826 million ($8.1 million), -02%, ¥10.73 billion ($104.8 million)
¥772 million ($7.6 million), -07%, ¥12.10 billion ($118.4 million)
¥1.12 billion ($11.1 million), +46%, ¥14.62 billion ($143.4 million)
¥738 million ($7.2 million), -34%, ¥17.08 billion ($167.4 million)
¥807 million ($7.9 million), +09%, ¥18.53 billion ($181.8 million)
¥700 million ($6.9 million), -13%, ¥19.85 billion ($194.6 million)
¥759 million ($7.5 million), +08%, ¥21.23 billion ($208.1 million)
¥592 million ($5.8 million), -23%, ¥22.33 billion ($218.9 million)
¥392 million ($3.8 million), -34%, ¥23.10 billion ($226.4 million)
¥364 million ($3.5 million), -08%, ¥23.76 billion ($233.0 million)
¥274 million ($2.7 million), -25%, ¥24.25 billion ($237.9 million

[cannastop]

11 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Zoo up 31% WoW on Monday at 1900. Most holdovers down 30-40%. We got a runner

Shouldn't be much competition from now til summer.1B locked I guess.

Can Japan do the same for TJB during OBON? It's going to need $60m+

Zootopia might still be making bank in Obon for all we know. It all depends on when Disney releases the video in Japan.

[cannastop]

3 hours ago, Baumer said:

What do you guys think Deadpool is going to do here?

Looking at comparable June movies like Tomorrowland, and considering the state of superhero movies in Japan, I'd say that it will likely make no more than $15 M. I have no idea if it might be a surprise hit, though.

[Quigley]

Corpse just said $65M would be no surprise. Given that we survive the nerve-racking wait, we'll see this film reach $1B in early June.

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Quigley said:

Corpse just said $65M would be no surprise. Given that we survive the nerve-racking wait, we'll see this film reach $1B in early June.

Lol, and earlier he said that it would be $40 million, even after Zootopia proved itself in multiple countries.

[Jason]

17 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Lol, and earlier he said that it would be $40 million, even after Zootopia proved itself in multiple countries.

 

I think he was basing his projections purely off of sales in Japan rather than considering performance elsewhere. Are there examples of films that had near universal appeal elsewhere but did relatively poor in Japan?

 

He may also just prefer to make conservative estimates. I know that as much as I believed Zootopia ought to do well in Japan, I didn't want to presume it would.

[cannastop]

Just now, Jason said:

 

I think he was basing his projections purely off of sales in Japan rather than considering performance elsewhere. Are there examples of films that had near universal appeal elsewhere but did relatively poor in Japan?

 

He may also just prefer to make conservative estimates. I know that as much as I believed Zootopia ought to do well in Japan, I didn't want to presume it would.

Inside Out, maybe. That wasn't big everywhere, though.

[LMAbacus]

What? Inside Out did great in Japan. Compared to WDAS releases, maybe not, but it was the third-highest foreign market after the UK and South Korea. And Inside Out did really poorly in China.

 

I'd go with Ice Age 4. It was a bit weak in South Korea and only decent in the US, but killed it everywhere else. It didn't even get a theatrical release in Japan, going straight to Blu-Ray and DVD.

[catlover]

1 hour ago, LMAbacus said:

What? Inside Out did great in Japan. Compared to WDAS releases, maybe not, but it was the third-highest foreign market after the UK and South Korea. And Inside Out did really poorly in China.

 

I'd go with Ice Age 4. It was a bit weak in South Korea and only decent in the US, but killed it everywhere else. It didn't even get a theatrical release in Japan, going straight to Blu-Ray and DVD.

 

Yeah I would say the Ice Age movies. They were huge almost everywhere except Japan, in which they bombed. And I also agree, Inside Out actually did great in Japan.

 

It's interesting that 3 last WDAS movies, with different themes and styles all have extraordinary legs in this country.

Edited May 17, 2016 by catlover

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, catlover said:

 

Yeah I would say the Ice Age movies. They were huge almost everywhere except Japan, in which they bombed. And I also agree, Inside Out actually did great in Japan.

It doesn't compare well to Monsters University, Big Hero 6 or Zootopia.

[LMAbacus]

53 minutes ago, cannastop said:

It doesn't compare well to Monsters University, Big Hero 6 or Zootopia.

 

Wow, never knew Monster University did that well in Japan. Looks like that movie did well everywhere except South Korea, and maybe Germany.

[LMAbacus]

DP

Edited May 17, 2016 by LMAbacus

[Emirazza]

So, the 50M is not a problem now? 

[Foul01]

6 hours ago, Emirazza said:

So, the 50M is not a problem now? 

 

Considering that Zootopia just made $4.2M last weekend and using the other Disney movies as reference:

 

Cinderella made another $26M after the weekend box office of $4.2M (after deducting two holidays from Golden Week)
Frozen made another $23M after the weekend box office of $3.8M
Big Hero 6 made another $22M after the weekend box office of $3.7M

 

Keep in mind that Zootopia is still on an increasing trend while Cinderella, Frozen, and Big Hero 6 were all on their way downhill after those $4M weekend box offices.

 

So I would say Zootopia should make at least an additional $20M... which means at least $54~$55M in Japan

 

The bigger question should be "can Zootopia hit $60M in Japan?"

[Quigley]

1 hour ago, Foul01 said:

The bigger question should be "can Zootopia hit $60M in Japan?"

 

As long as it reaches $1B, I don't really care to be honest. I know that's not the right way to look at it, but that's the reality.

[Arlo245]

Why did Zoo drop like 36% today?

 

    AEON 9:53 PM JST 

    *1　*16483　ズートピア

　*2　*16464　殿、利息でござる！

　*3　*10648　世界から猫が消えたなら

　*4　*10532　６４－ロクヨン－前編

Edited May 17, 2016 by Arlo245

[ThiagoMaia]

Why did Zoo drop like 36% today?

 

    AEON 9:53 PM JST 

    *1　*16483　ズートピア

　*2　*16464　殿、利息でござる！ 　*3　*10648　世界から猫が消えたなら 　*4　*10532　６４－ロクヨン－前編

Wow or dod?

[cannastop]

10 minutes ago, Arlo245 said:

Why did Zoo drop like 36% today?

 

    AEON 9:53 PM JST 

    *1　*16483　ズートピア

　*2　*16464　殿、利息でござる！

　*3　*10648　世界から猫が消えたなら

　*4　*10532　６４－ロクヨン－前編

Because it's Tuesday, and audience members are waiting for Women's discount Wednesday.

Also, this is higher than last week.