JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

Weekend Estimates (05/21-22)/2016年05月21日-2016年05月22日
01 (01) ¥476,000,000 ($4.3 million), +04%, ¥4,500,000,000 ($42.0 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK5
02 (03) ¥131,000,000 ($1.2 million), -29%, ¥460,000,000 ($4.2 million), If Cats Disappeared from the World (Toho) WK2
03 (02) ¥128,000,000 ($1.2 million), -34%, ¥555,000,000 ($5.1 million), The Magnificent Nine (Shochiku) WK2
04 (04) ¥121,000,000 ($1.0 million), -34%, ¥5,660,000,000 ($52.2 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) WK6
05 (05) ¥102,000,000 ($1.0 million), -39%, ¥940,000,000 ($9.0 million), 64: Part 1 (Toho) WK3
06 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($900,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($900,000), After the Storm (Gaga) NEW
07 (06) ¥90,000,000 ($820,000), -36%, ¥2,365,000,000 ($21.9 million), Captain America: Civil War (Disney) WK4
08 (---) ¥60,000,000 ($545,000), +1,870%, ¥1,975,000,000 ($17.0 million), Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) WK28
09 (08) ¥55,000,000 ($515,000), -29%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($17.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) WK6
10 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($515,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($515,000), Mobile Suit Gundam: The Origins - Chapter 3 (Shochiku) NEW

Zootopia continues its astonishing performance with what appears to be yet another weekend increase! Its fifth weekend is ~5% higher than its opening weekend, and its second biggest weekend-to-date, only behind its second weekend (by a mere ~7%).

It has also either exceeded a multiplier of 10, or is super close (9.9+), and has yet to show signs of slowing down or even reaching its peak weekly performance (excluding Golden Week). Walt Disney Animation has been on an incredible winning streak in Japan since Frozen, and we're all along for the ride once again with Zootopia. It's, honestly, impossible to project a possible finish since its week-to-week figures have been even/increasing since opening... The market is largely empty until July, so it just might have a shot of outgrossing Big Hero 6 (¥9.18 billion), and going on to achieve the uber-blockbuster milestone of ¥10 billion ($90 million+). We'll see!

After the Storm comes in with a rather disappointing debut, and might have missed the ¥100 million mark if it skewed old enough (seniors lowers the avg. ticket price). It'll likely have great legs due to its weekday business, but its chance of becoming a ¥1 billion earner aren't looking too good. And that'd be rather disappointing considering how well-received, and successful, director Hirokazu Koreeda's last couple films have been.

Girls und Panzer: The Movie sees some absurd increase near 2,000% due to expanding to 152 theaters, adding many premium format locations. Its last reported total was in late April, when it exceeded ¥1.9 billion, so it might have exceeded the ¥2 billion milestone in its twenty-seventh week in release. It'll eventually become the second-highest grossing late-night anime.

 

[cannastop]

Quote

The market is largely empty until July, so it just might have a shot of outgrossing Big Hero 6 (¥9.18 billion), and going on to achieve the uber-blockbuster milestone of ¥10 billion ($90 million+). We'll see!

Finally Corpse has seen the light.

[Olive]

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Olive said:

And you were one of the doubters. *tsk*

[CelestialFairyIX]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

And you were one of the doubters. *tsk*

There were many doubters.  Now it seems we have more believers.  It just takes much more sound evidence for others compared to others to see the light which isn't such a bad thing.  

Edited May 22, 2016 by CelestialFairyIX

[CelestialFairyIX]

HIGHEST GROSSING WALT DISNEY ANIMATION STUDIOS FILMS:

01. ¥25.48 billion ($249.5 million) :: Frozen

02. ¥9.16 billion ($77.7 million) :: Big Hero 6

03. ¥4.5 billion ($42 million) :: Zootopia

04. ¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) - Dinosaur (2001)

05. ¥4.05 billion ($37.2 million est.) - Aladdin (1993)

06. ¥3.20 billion ($31.7 million est.) - The Lion King (1994)

07. ¥3.00 billion ($32.3 million est.) - Wreck-It Ralph (2013)

08. ¥2.91 billion ($24.5 million) - Lilo & Stitch (2003)

09. ¥2.80 billion ($26.2 million) - Tarzan (2000)

10. ¥2.68 billion ($23.1 million) - Chicken Little (2006)

11. ¥2.60 billion ($20.2 million est.) - Beauty and the Beast (1992)

12. ¥2.56 billion ($32.1 million) - Tangled (2011)

13. ¥2.30 billion ($19.3 million) - Peter Pan 2: Return to Neverland (2003)

14. ¥1.95 billion ($18.4 million est.) - The Hunchback of Notre Dame (1996)

15. ¥1.65 billion ($17.4 million) - Bolt (2009)

16. ¥1.60 billion ($14.7 million) - Brother Bear (2004)

17. ¥1.28 billion ($10.6 million) - Atlantis: The Lost Empire (2002)

18. ¥1.20 billion ($8.9 million est.) - The Little Mermaid (1991)

19. ¥1.10 billion ($9.3 million est.) - Hercules (1997)

Still in release

Edited May 22, 2016 by CelestialFairyIX

[Quigley]

Zootopia's 5th weekend was higher than Big Hero 6's 5th weekend but the latter's total was ¥2B more at this point. Big Hero 6 also didn't drop more than 28% for 6 more weekends. Not saying Zootopia can't manage to out-gross it, but it's got a long way to go. It needs drops smaller than 15% to do it, which is possible but I don't plan to build up my expectations at this point.

[JohnnyG99]

13 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

04. ¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) - Dinosaur (2001)

 

How is this the number 4 movie in Japan over the likes of Wreck-it Ralph and Tangled.

[Murgatroyd]

24 minutes ago, JohnnyG99 said:

 

How is this the number 4 movie in Japan over the likes of Wreck-it Ralph and Tangled.

 

Tangled had the misfortune to be relased the day after the tsunami. I'm not sure what happened to Ralph.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, cannastop said:

And you were one of the doubters. *tsk*

@Olive is usually conservative. I'm not if I see something interesting in the numbers.

I think it bumps at least one more time then worst case holds flat. Corpse will call for another 15% drop. I'll lock $100m/$1.05B topping PotC, Olive will say 80m and @catlover would say "100m is not locked!" @Quigley will have his doubts but hope and @Omni will have digestion problems. The DVD get released in July and stops the run shy of $100m. Everyone gets disappointed,  Omni loses weight. @edroger3 and I will argue over the DVD release affect, like I'm arguing about piracy with the loons in the cap threads, insult him and get banned.

I think $100 has a good chance. Not going to lock it. I will donate $20 if it doesn't make though. 

Better yet let's do a contest

Pick a final gross for Japan total in dollars. $20 gift card and $20 fandango gift certificate or other international site

 

Edited May 23, 2016 by No Prisoners

[cannastop]

Oh, wow, another contest. Let me think about this one.

[yjs]

51 minutes ago, Murgatroyd said:

 

Tangled had the misfortune to be relased the day after the tsunami. I'm not sure what happened to Ralph.

 

Ralph was just not popular in East Asia despite its quality and I don't know why. Maybe it's the not-so-pretty anti-hero thing or its video game theme worked against the Asian market cause Asia has the strong video game culture on its own and the audience felt Ralph "westernized" it too much or didn't use it fully to its potential, I dunno. Tangled bombed too both in Japan and Korea thus couldn't establish WDAS brand either so maybe that's another factor.

 

At least in Korea, Dreamworks' Rise of the Guardians was much more of a thing due to the popularity of Jack Frost. People all hailed JF saying that they finally got a "good-looking male CGI character from a US production for once" 

Edited May 23, 2016 by yjs

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, cannastop said:

Oh, wow, another contest. Let me think about this one.

I'm going with $116.55m

 

Post your pick by this thursday 1159 pm, Tokyo. You can change pick up til that time, just edit your first and only post by Thursday night.

50k minimum increments 

Contest is for posters in this thread only prior to this announcement.

Edited May 23, 2016 by No Prisoners

[cannastop]

If the winner doesn't claim the prize, will the runner up get it?

[POTUS 2020]

9 minutes ago, cannastop said:

If the winner doesn't claim the prize, will the runner up get it?

Sure why not. 1 month after close to claim

@abra still hasn't claimed CA3 CBO prize yet.

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Sure why not. 1 month after close to claim

@abra still hasn't claimed CA3 CBO prize yet.

Sorry about another dumb question, but what is the timeframe for the contest? Is it when Zootopia is no longer in theaters?

[POTUS 2020]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

Sorry about another dumb question, but what is the timeframe for the contest? Is it when Zootopia is no longer in theaters?

When it closes in Japan. 

[cannastop]

Anyways, my prediction for Zootopia is $140M. Really. Might change it if something crazy happens on the weekdays.

 

Edit:

 

I have just realized that my prediction is actually ¥15.43B when converted into local currency.

Edited May 27, 2016 by cannastop

[Jason]

On 5/23/2016 at 9:18 PM, No Prisoners said:

Post your pick by this thursday 1159 pm. You can change pick up til that time, just edit your first and only post by Thursday night.

50k minimum increments 

Contest is for posters in this thread only prior to this announcement.

 

$95M. Deadline for revision is 1159pm in what time zone?

 

Revised: ¥10.4B ¥10.75B

Edited May 25, 2016 by Jason

[cannastop]

5 minutes ago, Jason said:

 

$95M. Deadline for revision is 1159pm in what time zone?

I'd also like to know if the rules stipulate that whoever is closest wins, or if you can't exceed the total.