JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Mojoguy]

I think Zootopia fans should be nervous about that number.

$4m OW means it is going to need a 15x multiplier, which will be difficult, to get to $1 billion.

[POTUS 2020]

20 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

How bad is the exchange rate right now with Japan?

Not bad. Actually close to the 15 year average

[cannastop]

26 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

I think Zootopia fans should be nervous about that number.

$4m OW means it is going to need a 15x multiplier, which will be difficult, to get to $1 billion.

I actually am pretty nervous about Zootopia's $1 billion chances.

 

However, combined with the legs in North America, it think it has a shot. And it's not like Zootopia is a stranger to large multipliers. Also, the Japanese audiences online seem to recognize Zootopia as something really special.

[Max]

Zootopia will be in competition next weekend with Captain America CW. I wonder if super hero movies (Marvel, DC...) are popular in Japan...

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, Max said:

Zootopia will be in competition next weekend with Captain America CW. I wonder if super hero movies (Marvel, DC...) are popular in Japan...

Not that popular, actually. The latest Captain America might make ¥700 million on its first weekend in Japan.

[Planodisney]

I think 1 billion is almost dead.  

The only 2 markets it underperformed my expectations are Japan and the U.K.  Japan still has a shot but I don't see signs of a breakout.

Anyway, it's going to finish just ahead of DM2 WW and International number and right around Minions domestic.

Pretty awesome for an original animation.

[Cynosure]

It will probably open quite big but superhero movies have some of the worst legs in the market. Ultron opened to nearly 800 million yen for a 3.21 billion total.

[Emirazza]

Are Zoo actuals higher?

 

[Quigley]

5 minutes ago, Emirazza said:

Are Zoo actuals higher?

 

In line with estimates (¥446 vs 450M).

[Mojoguy]

Quigley, update the topic title with Zootopia's numbers.

Edited April 25, 2016 by Mojoguy

[a2k]

ZOOTP had a 6.6m Dom weekend, 6.8m OS-Japan weekend and 4m Japan weekend.

It's on 907m WW.

Will add ~20m more Dom and ~20m more OS-Japan for 947m.

Needs 53m more from Japan for a total of 57m including the 4m OW.

So multiplier of 14.25x (57/4).

 

If it can do 22-23m Dom and 22-23m OS-Japan, leaving 47-49m more from Japan (51-53m total; multiplier of 12.75-13.25x), 1b is possible.

Edited April 25, 2016 by a2knet

[Claudio]

7 hours ago, Max said:

As much as I would love to see Zootopia crossing $1B worldwide, I have a strange feeling that it will be tough.

 

The movie grossed already 907$ million, which is obviously very good, but it has already been released for at least a month or 2 in all the countries around the world, with a few exceptions like the U.K., New Zealand or Israel. Of course, Zootopia can add a few more millions WW but probably not that much. Japan is one of the last markets so basically, it will have to perform very well. I bet that it should make at least $80 million there to make sure to hit $1 billion ww.

Anyway, go Zootopia!

$80M is too much. Domestic still has about $20M and OS market witout Japan still has $15M which will put zootopia stand at $942M ( $4M from Japan ). So it needs at least $62M from Japan alone

[Claudio]

2 days more for CW to be released in Japan. Any update for it?

[Cynosure]

It's released on Friday, not in two days.

[LMAbacus]

10 hours ago, cannastop said:

I think I found a Japanese movie review site that has more traffic than yahoo movies.

 

https://filmarks.com/detail/60103

Huh, that site has almost the exact same numbers for practically every movie, including Frozen (horrible) and Spirited Away (middling). The latter one is especially surprising considering it's the highest rated animation of all time in IMDB. Personally I prefer Yahoo's rating system with its five-category breakdown.

[edroger3]

5 hours ago, Olive said:

weekend actuals:

Conan ￥679M/522K

Zootopia ￥446M/329.5K ADM

Revenant ￥179M/133k

So Zootopia had 63% adm in Usual Location and a 1,355 average ticket price while Conan 58% / 1,300 

Zootopia Monday should be 54MYen (0,48M$), very weak.

[Max]

I am sorry for veering a bit off the topic but I have a question regarding the BO Mojo and the-numbers.com websites.

 

Basically, I see a difference in numbers for Zootopia in some countries in these two links:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=disney2016.htm

http://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Zootopia#tab=international

 

For example in Russia: Zootopia grossed $33,799,743 as of 4/17/16 in the Mojo website. But in the-numbers website, Zootopia grossed $30,442,584 as of 4/20/2016 (it doesn't seem logic).

Is it me or is there something wrong with one of the two websites? Thanks for any clarification.

 

On 4/22/2016 at 0:56 AM, Arlo245 said:

I'm a pretty big fanboy.  but who knows who's the bigger one. I've seen the movie 14 times in theaters and I never got bored every time. But that shouldn't qualify me as a bigger fanboy. There are many factors really but I'd being veering off-topic if I continue 

 

Holy sh**! 14 times! And I though that my 8 times were already big lol. I don't know who holds the world record but I think you are a good contender ^^

[cannastop]

@Max

 

They might be going by different exchange rates.

Edited April 25, 2016 by cannastop

[edroger3]

2 minutes ago, Max said:

I am sorry for veering a bit off the topic but I have a question regarding the BO Mojo and the-numbers.com websites.

 

Basically, I see a difference in numbers for Zootopia in some countries in these two links:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=disney2016.htm

http://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Zootopia#tab=international

 

For example in Russia: Zootopia grossed $33,799,743 as of 4/17/16 in the Mojo website. But in the-numbers website, Zootopia grossed $30,442,584 as of 4/20/2016 (it doesn't seem logic).

Is it me or is there something wrong with one of the two websites? Thanks for any clarification.

 

 

Holy sh**! 14 times! And I though that my 8 times were already big lol. I don't know who holds the world record but I think you are a good contender ^^

I think it depends on how the exchange rate is applied: if it is calculate week by week or re-calculate entirely every week

 

Look at this for Star Wars VII in UK:

 

Boxofficemojo: United Kingdom    12/17/2015    $50,686,789       $174,740,270    4/17/16

The NUmbers: United Kingdom    12/17/2015    $50,726,098       $183,782,791    4/20/16

 

BOM use the last exchange rate to recalculate the entire gross:

 

This is the weekly gross of Frozen in UK on BOM: it was re-released in nov 2014 and added 278K$ but the total gross was 1,6M$ lower. This because the ER was different (lower) between Jun and Nov 2014

 

May 30–Jun. 1	28	$12,043	+139.2%	16	-1	$753	$65,715,897	26
Jun. 6–8	39	$4,224	-64.9%	11	-5	$384	$65,720,121	27
Nov. 28–30	7	$278,488	-	398	-	$700	$64,134,411	52
Dec. 5–7	13	$172,777	-38.0%	401	+3	$431	$64,063,498	53
Dec. 12–14	14	$104,763	-39.4%	293	-108	$358	$64,733,660	54

[LMAbacus]

22 minutes ago, Max said:

I don't know who holds the world record but I think you are a good contender ^^

 

There's a Korean person who had seen the movie 57 times by April 10, which given South Korea's release date works out to once a day since it came out.