bballman24 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Anything near 1b is an incredible number but knowing the potential... It is really depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Umm.. This isn't too good.I know the shooting has hit this movie but these drops are quite odd.They are ODD, but again there hasn't been a shooting in a theater in recent memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master Scottb Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The effects of the shooting plus The Olympics starting might be a bad combination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MagnetMan Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Anyone remember if there was an effect on "New Jack City"? I know it's not the same genre or demographic... or pretty much ANYTHING shared between the two movies. But that did have (I believe) more than one case of someone shooting inside the theater during the screening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 The effects of the shooting plus The Olympics starting might be a bad combination.Bad overall for all movies this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Olympics didn't hurt the box office in 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 From the looks of it everything else fell like 25%. but they also jumped 25%+ yesterday.I've been depressed by a lot of runs but TDKR's takes the cake.Overwhelmingly sad situation. The what-ifs will haunt box office enthusiasts for years to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Anything near 1b is an incredible number but knowing the potential... It is really depressing.Based on its performance in other markets, it looks like $1 billion will happen even without China. India is insane. TDKR already outgrossed TDK by 12% even though it just came out. Opening day admissions in France were 40% ahead of the Avengers opening day admissions, despite the fact that they had to cancel the Paris premier because of the shooting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 (edited) Yup, TDKR is the most depressing and frustrating run I've ever followed...and all because of some insane asshole. I hate that I can't think about the movie without thinking about the shootings and having it affect the feeling and mood surrounding the film, and they'll unfortunately forever be linked together.At this point, I'm waiting for a glimmer of hope but so far not one great drop to compensate for shootings. TDKR run's just doom and gloom so far. Edited July 26, 2012 by druv10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I wonder if the shooting is having the opposite effect overseas- publicizing the movie in markets where it may have done just okay numbers otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I wonder if the shooting is having the opposite effect overseas- publicizing the movie in markets where it may have done just okay numbers otherwise.Or just showing how big of an impact, it's having domestically. Luckily, it's destroying TDK OS so 1B WW should still happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tidbit Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 (edited) Actually looking at numbersDays 1-7 (1 week)Hunger Games 67.3 | DH2 91.1 | TDKR 75.5117.7 | 133.5 | 120.7152.5 | 169.2 | 160.9163.4 | 187.2 | 180.3173.7 | 202.6 | 198.2181.8 | 214.9 | 212.0So its beating THG's pace as well as quickly catching up to DH2 . The deficit on Day 1 was 15, by Sunday it was 9 and now its just 3. By the end of this weekend, it will catch up and go beyond DH2 which means 400 is a lock, now if it also makes more than THG in the 2nd weekend, the 450 is nearly a lock.Uhhh....Didn't Hunger Games have this little thing called school which deflated it's weekdays vs TDKR having summer days? I'm not saying it won't go past 400M and THG, but using Mon-Wed as any metric seems wrong. I know you're trying to do a whole week with assumed numbers for today, but giving the day-by-day deficit is misleading. Edited July 26, 2012 by tidbit 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I wonder if the shooting is having the opposite effect overseas- publicizing the movie in markets where it may have done just okay numbers otherwise.I doubt that. I think this is a situation where TDK was more popular overseas than its box office indicated, kinda like BB was more popular here than its box office indicated. TDK became one of the most bootlegged movies ever in China. From the sounds of it, TDKR is at extreme risk of not having a Chinese release (which would be a shame). But the same kind of issue seems to have occurred in other markets like India. If you told me after BB made $166m overseas that 7 years later a Batman movie could gross $600+ million without China, I would have said you were crazy. The overseas folks are finally figuring out what we've appreciated for decades about this character in the U.S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Olympics didn't hurt the box office in 2008.Opening ceremony will get good to great rating so Friday night showings will be effected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Everyone agrees the shooting had an effect on the weekend, but really, it's not going to really affect it that much during the week. These numbers are far from out of the ordinary, in fact, they are ordinary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Uhhh....Didn't Hunger Games have this little thing called school which deflated it's weekdays vs TDKR having summer days? I'm not saying it won't go past 400M and THG, but using Mon-Wed as any metric seems wrong. I know you're trying to do a whole week with assumed numbers for today, but giving the day-by-day deficit is misleading.To be fair, this has a pretty decent shot at beating THG's second weekend even though TDKR made less in its non-midnight opening ($130m for TDKR vs. $132m for THG). Plus TDKR has much bigger weekdays, which means its second weekend is being deflated compared to THG's second weekend. The bigger issue is late legs. I don't think TDKR will have them like THG did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Yeah, the OS growth looks fairly natural to me after the zeitgeist of TDK. Just glad there's some good news about TDKR's run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Everyone agrees the shooting had an effect on the weekend, but really, it's not going to really affect it that much during the week. These numbers are far from out of the ordinary, in fact, they are ordinary.Why wouldn't it? Especially since they are still talking about it nonstop and also talking about copycat killers and stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Why wouldn't it? Especially since they are still talking about it nonstop and also talking about copycat killers and stuffNot just talking about copycat killers, arresting them. Just makes the headlines even worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bballman24 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Based on its performance in other markets, it looks like $1 billion will happen even without China. India is insane. TDKR already outgrossed TDK by 12% even though it just came out. Opening day admissions in France were 40% ahead of the Avengers opening day admissions, despite the fact that they had to cancel the Paris premier because of the shooting.Thanks for the info. I did not know TDKR was performing that well OS!Hopefully it won't flop in Japan like TDK.I lived there when TDK came out, pretty sure group of my friends made up 50% of admissions there lolBut I hear that WB is marketing the crap out of TDKR ( release of bluray combo pack and broadcasting TDK on tv for the first time etc.) so it'll do better I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
