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baumer

Weekend Estimates TDKR 62.84 IA4 13.3 TW 13 SU4 11.8

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It will pass THG, but Woody and Buzz are not going to go out without a fight as well as Simba, Jack, E.T. and Elloit, they will all be right there waiting for "Mr. Wayne".

Possible Celing for TDKR:

7 Shrek 2 DW $441,226,247 2004 8 E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial Uni. $435,110,554 1982^ 9 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest BV $423,315,812 2006 10 The Lion King BV $422,783,777 1994^ 11 Toy Story 3 BV $415,004,880 2010 12 The Hunger Games LGF $405,363,383 2012

George can rest easy, Both Star Wars are safe.

60m would be nearly 27% better than DH2's second weekend.

If TDKR only does 25% better than DH2 for the rest of its run after this weekend it makes 420m. How can THG even be considered a possible "ceiling" when, in actuality, it's hard to even call it a possible basement?

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Potter's frontloadedness is hilarious, especially considering the last one had amazing critical reception and supposedly great WOM.

I'm not sure why that's hilarious. It had a 20% jump in admissions from DH1. It's the seventh sequel. Of course it was going to be frontloaded. It had fantastic late-legs, though.
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I'm not sure why that's hilarious. It had a 20% jump in admissions from DH1. It's the seventh sequel. Of course it was going to be frontloaded. It had fantastic late-legs, though.

And so will TDKR.Multipliers after 2nd weekend:DH2: 3.3TDK: 3.9I expect TDKR to be somewhere in between. Probably closer to DH2 than TDK.3.5 after a 60m 2nd weekend would get it to 435m.
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Harry Potter was the most incredible franchise ever.Fact.8 films in ten years and billions of dollars of box office.Warner was sitting on a mine of gold.Now, Warner re discovers the difficulties of their business without the Potter magic.

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And so will TDKR.Multipliers after 2nd weekend:DH2: 3.3TDK: 3.9I expect TDKR to be somewhere in between. Probably closer to DH2 than TDK.3.5 after a 60m 2nd weekend would get it to 435m.

Sounds very reasonable. I'm currently expecting a finish in the $435-450m range myself.
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