fmpro Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Yes.And since TDKR has better WOM and IMAX, it should at least keep pace with DMC from here on.Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Yes.And since TDKR has better WOM and IMAX, it should at least keep pace with DMC from here on.Not sure about the WOM. There is no way of knowing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I'm new here.Why are we expecting an increase tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I'm new here.Why are we expecting an increase tomorrow?Discount Tuesdays, plus the Monday drop was bigger than expected (which makes increasing on Tuesday easier to achieve). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doublejack Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 It has a $29m lead on DMC through Monday. But yes, dailies are eerily similar between the two.Yes, I was rounding conservatively. Also, DMC finished at 423M. So if TDKR matches DMC dollar for dollar from here on out it will finish with 452M.Really, the range is looking to be 450-460M, with a near zero chance if finishes below that, and a smallish chance it finishes above. WOM will be the determining factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FishMB Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Not sure about the WOM. There is no way of knowing right now.I've yet to see it with somebody who didn't immediately think it was the best film they've ever seen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 (edited) Yes, I was rounding conservatively. Also, DMC finished at 423M. So if TDKR matches DMC dollar for dollar from here on out it will finish with 452M.Really, the range is looking to be 450-460M, with a near zero chance if finishes below that, and a smallish chance it finishes above. WOM will be the determining factor.I wouldn't say there is a near zero chance of it going below 450. I would say 435-460 is the range. Big range I know, but it's just so hard to tell what's going on with the film right now. How much is the shooting affecting it, how much are the Olympics affecting it, are the weekdays depressed because of the runtime, does the WOM suck, etc. It's very hard to tell right now.And before anyone says anything about the shooting not affecting it, the fact that I heard a radio report this morning that said "The Dark Knight Rises shooter made his second appearance in court yesterday" says it all. The media is piggy backing on the film's popularity in the culture to drive attention for their stories. In the meantime, they are creating a ton of negative publicity for the film. The man shot people in a movie theater. He should be referred to as the "movie theater shooter." Calling him "The Dark Knight Rises shooter" in your report is sensationalist bullcrap. Edited July 31, 2012 by redfirebird2008 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 (edited) So.... WORST CASE SCENARIO for this week is.....Monday: 8.2MTuesday: 9MWednesday: 6MThursday: 5.5MFriday: 8.5MSaturday: 12MSunday: 8M(28M Weekend)(57.2M Week Total)Total Gross: 344.2M Edited July 31, 2012 by EaZze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 as usual TDKR simply can't catch a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 So.... WORST CASE SCENARIO for this week is.....Monday: 8.2MTuesday: 9MWednesday: 6MThursday: 5.5MFriday: 8.5MSaturday: 12MSunday: 8M(28M Weekend)(57.2M Week Total)Total Gross: 344.2M-33% on Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doublejack Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I wouldn't say there is a near zero chance of it going below 450. I would say 435-460 is the range. Big range I know, but it's just so hard to tell what's going on with the film right now. How much is the shooting affecting it, how much are the Olympics affecting it, are the weekdays depressed because of the runtime, does the WOM suck, etc. It's very hard to tell right now. And before anyone says anything about the shooting not affecting it, the fact that I heard a radio report this morning that said "The Dark Knight Rises shooter made his second appearance in court yesterday" says it all. The media is piggy backing on the film's popularity in the culture to drive attention for their stories. In the meantime, they are creating a ton of negative publicity for the film. The man shot people in a movie theater. He should be referred to as the "Movie Theater shooter." Calling him "The Dark Knight Rises shooter" in your report is sensationalist bullcrap.The way I see it, TDKR is acting normally. I am basing this on the actual numbers and comparisons to other films. So with that, I will stick with my range. I wouldn't call 450M locked but it is very, very close to being locked. If TDKR manages $35M this weekend then that goes to full-on locked. We're only talking a 2.8 multi to reach 450, which is very reasonable for a SH flick with the reviews TDKR has.The Olympics are not shaping up to be a large factor either. This is backed up by the fact that nbcfail has been trending on twitter constantly since Friday. People are very unhappy with the coverage, and the drop TDKR saw yesterday was not out of the ordinary. DMC had the same drop, in a non Olympic year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 TDKR should cross 600M WW on Wednesday.700M WW by Sunday.800M WW by next Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 as usual TDKR simply can't catch a break I'm not sure why you said that? The number's in line with DMC, which it's following very very closely. This shows, TDKR will have big Monday drops for summer but Friday/Saturday jumps will be big as well. TDKR should finish around 450M domestically, nothing is wrong with that number. None whatsoever. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 http://www.ercboxoffice.com/index.php?section=movies&subsection=top10_details Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 35% week to week drop for Spidey. Where are the haters to say it has poor WOM? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 as usual TDKR simply can't catch a break That's cuz its not that great a film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 -33% on Wednesday? I think we're expecting a big a drop Weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bballman24 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 We are getting spoiled of ourselves if some of us think anything near 450 is a disappointment after what has happened (even without the incident, though in hindsight, I cannot believe it would've made over 500).I'd be excited for a number like this any day of the year to be honest even if it was the conclusion of my favorite superhero trilogy and one of my favorite trilogies of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Letsuseournoggin Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 Question for you box office geniuses. I am taking my daughters to a drive in theatre sometime in the next 10 days and for 6 bucks a person (4 bucks for children), I get a double feature of Ice Age 4 and TDKR. Just park my truck and tune in. Awesome deal, but my question is how does that money get divied up for the movies? Is it up to the theatre?Second question. I'm also taking my daugthers to Moody Gardens in Galveston, Texas this weekend which is basically a huge educational playground. There's an aquarium, museum, rainforest replica, water park and apparently, the largest IMAX screen in Texas. There's a package for 50 bucks a person that allows entrance to all these attractions and more which includes an evening showing of TDKR. Again, similar question. How does the money get distributed to TDKR?Just curiousity type questions to increase my BO knowledge, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I think we're expecting a big a drop Weds.Yeah, around 25%. Not 33%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
